Apr 8, 2017
Nov 1, 1987
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JakeD</b></div><div>I could be wrong, but I'm pretty sure he needs to play in at least 10 games in order to burn a year off of his ELC, otherwise it would slide. With only 13 games left, one would hope that management would give him a 9 game try-out and allow his contract to slide and therefore, begin next year.</div></div>
Nope, despite the likes, you’re incorrect. See Mittelstadt, Casey; Gaudreau, Johnny for a couple examples. Gaudreau played just 1 game and a year was burned off. Same will happen for Hughes. It’s an exception to the 10-game rule as <a href="/users/SabresFan1996" target="_blank">@SabresFan1996</a> noted above.
The story is Hughes would only sign if a year is burned off & he becomes an RFA come 2021. I’m not sure about his eligibility for the expansion draft however, a concern raised by <a href="/users/HockeyWise" target="_blank">@HockeyWise</a>, but if it’s tied to the same criteria then he could be considered eligible with 3 pro years under his belt by the time of the 21 draft. Not like Vancouver has anyone on defence they’d probably want to really hold onto by that point.
It’s reasons like this why I was the only one, it seems, who voted “no” to this contract! What the hey guys? Better to wait 15 months til he’s played 3 years in college and push back his RFA date to 2023. Or trade him if the little brat won’t sign.
Brandon Montour is, by most accounts, easily among the Top 40 RHD in the NHL today (possibly in the Top 30). A very strong 2nd pair but with a legitimate case to be a 1st pairing defender. Combined with the crop of other young D-Men that have arrived/taken strides this season (Dahlin, Pilut, Ristolainen, McCabe), adding Montour whist not subtracting anyone off their current roster immediately raises the Buffalo blue-line from slightly below-average to easily among the Top 5-10 in the NHL (with a trajectory that will only make them better in the next 2-3y).
As others have iterated, Guhle was buried in the depth chars on the LHD side, and so really while an “asset” in the abstract, held little to no intrinsic value for Buffalo as an organization beyond what he could recoup. And wow, does he fetch a big fish.
The 1st round pick is a wild-card. If Buffalo has another surge and makes the playoffs then Anaheim is likely looming at around 18th give or take, possibly later if Buffalo upsets the top seed. But - if Buffalo misses the playoffs (and by most prognostications that’s at least an 80% probability), then we’re looking at a lottery pick, albeit one with very long odds. If Buffalo misses the playoffs and “wins” the lottery (moving up to the top 2/3) then Anaheim wins. But in the other 96% of scenarios I find it hard to fathom a borderline LHD and a mid-round 1st providing more value than a young RHD in the Top 30/40 of the NHL.
There’s the 80% possibility that Buffalo