rktkt66

rktkt66
Member Since
Jun 11, 2018
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Buffalo Sabres
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Edmonton Oilers
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Phoenix, AZ
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Forum: Armchair-GMSep 7, 2019 at 8:41
Thread: Move Risto
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 9, 2019 at 7:53
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>Of course his ppg is higher, he is a forward. His +/- is only high because he was playing on Cup winning teams as you said while Risto was stuck playing top minutes on the worst team in the league. If you swapped their scenarios, their +/- would also swap. Sending Risto to Tampa would mean he would be +30 on the season. +/- is just a stat that reflects the team's goal differential, not necessarily the player's defensive/offensive play.</div></div>

The Corsi numbers are just as tilted in Toffoli's favor - and he was on only 1 Cup team. Obviously, comparing stats between a forward and a defenseman is pointless - I only referenced their career production because your first comment was about Ristolainen having more offensive impact last season.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>All your other points make sense. Personally wouldn't trade Risto for a sketch top 6 winger who could just walk, leaving us with no tangible return</div></div>

You mean like Skinner this summer or Vesey next summer? I did include the conditional 2nd in 2021 becoming a 1st round pick if Toffoli somehow didn't pan out - which is more or less the return the Sabres got for Kane. Botterill definitely acknowledged in his WGR interview this week that the plan of having 10 expiring contracts next year works in the team's favor because of the obvious motivation those players have to produce in their final year. Toffoli fits right into that model - and I would bet he follows Skinner's example in thriving with Eichel in 1st line role on young and upcoming team (which LA is not) near his hometown.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 9, 2019 at 5:01
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>Toffs isnt the kind of player we would look for.</div></div>

100% disagree and here's why:

1. Like Skinner last year and Vesey this year, he comes on an affordable, expiring contract - meaning, if things don't work out for him and/or the team, the Sabres aren't handcuffed cap-wise beyond this season. Their cap space for 2020-21 isn't impacted.

2. Like Skinner did last summer before becoming a Sabre, Toffoli comes off a down-year in LA and in need of a change of scenery - meaning, his market value is probably lower than what it will be when he likely rebounds this season with another 20+ goal season (which he's done in 3 of his 6 NHL seasons so far).

3. Like was the case with Skinner, Toffoli is from the Toronto area so the chance to play home games in front of friends and family will not only lead to a motivated but happy player.

4. Despite his off-year in production last season, Toffoli was 1 of only 13 players in the entire league whose possession stats for generating offensive chances and for preventing scoring chances against when he was on the ice were both on the positive side of metrics. He's been over a 50% Corsi player for his entire career. He would be the defensively-responsible member to cover for Eichel and Skinner when they lapse on their coverages. Although he can play on either specialty team, the majority of his production is at 5-on-5......again, a dire need for Buffalo's roster.

5. Although he only had 13 goals last year, Toffoli took over 200 shots for the 4th time in past 5 years and drove play from the wing......which is what the Sabres would want for anyone replacing Reinhart on Eichel's line if the 1st line is to remain as potent as it was last year. How many players do the Sabres have that can come close to generating 226 shots on net (not counting those that don't get registered)?

6. Toffoli is a Cup winner with playoff experience - which we hear Botterill as recently as this week say over and over again how valuable that is for him to add in the Sabres' locker room.

7. Toffoli is durable, playing a full season 3 of the last 4 seasons.

8. You noted Ristolainen's offensive stats but the reality is that Toffoli's 251 point in 437 GP I still better than Ristolainen's 194 points in 424 GP....and it's hard to overlook the disparity of Toffoli's +80 over 6 seasons to Ristolainen's -143 over the same time span.

Finally, of all the possible scenarios for teams needing defensive help and having offensive assets to help Buffalo's needs, a trade with LA seems the most realistic. The Sabres won't find a center for the 2nd line that is available and an upgrade over Johansson, Mittelstadt or Rodrigues. Targeting young wingers like Ehlers or Rakell also seems unrealistic without an overpayment. Given that the GM of the Kings was an offensive-minded defenseman with a mean streak and physical edge during his playing days, I suspect that Ristolainen may have a rosier impression in Blake's eyes than perhaps some other GMs.

In my opinion, the case for chasing Toffoli as a trade target is a no-brainer.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 9, 2019 at 1:20
A few reminders relative to Botterill's latest interview:

1. At the draft last year, when asked about O'Reilly, he said that Ryan was a part of their team and denied rumors about a trade. Two weeks later, O'Reilly was dealt to St. Louis
2. He staunchly defended Housley to the media just before the trade deadline this year....several weeks later, he fired Housley.
3. He recently told the media how they liked the versatility of Sheary, Vesey and Nylander to play either wing.......a week after his interview with the Buffalo media, Nylander was traded for Jokiharju.

Moral to the story is that just like Regier did and 99% of the GMS not named Murray or Rutherford, Botterill is never going to reveal a pending move out of fear that he loses some bargaining leverage in discussions with other teams. I listened to the WGR interview from Tuesday and it was the usual "we're fine...we're happy with things....we want to get better when there's an opportunity to do so....yada, yada"

I'm not expecting a buyout or a bunch of cap dump-type deals but I am expecting that, before opening night, a RHD will be traded and another offensive-minded forward to bolster the top 9 will be acquired. The Sabres had one of the worst offenses last year and Botterill isn't foolish enough to think that adding Vesey and Johansson and promoting Olofsson is going to solve that big of a problem. My gut feeling is that it will be a RW for Eichel's line as opposed to a 2C that are few and far between in terms of realistic targets and improvements over Mittelstadt, Johansson or Rodrigues.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 6, 2019 at 10:20
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 3, 2019 at 7:13
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 28, 2019 at 11:19
Thread: Sabres
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rktkt66</b></div><div>Well done on all 3 trades, two of which sync with players I've been lobbying proposals on!

Only criticism I'd make is on the actual lineups.

1st line and 3rd line are logical and good fits.

On the 2nd, I have concerns. For the same reasons that everyone points to Johansson not being a good center fit ("he's played LW for most of past 3 seasons"), it applies to Reinhart and why not to move him to center. Of the two, Johansson is a better skater and defensive player so I'd rather see him be the center on that line and keep Reinhart on RW where he's flourished.

1st defense pairing makes sense to me but I don't see Krueger/Botterill putting two RHD on the 2nd pairing and then two LHD on the 3rd pairing. Whether they put Pilut-Montour / McCabe-Miller (as Yerdon's article proposed) or McCabe-Montour / Pilut-Miller (which I'd prefer, mainly to put a defensive presence in McCabe with a weaker defensive player like Montour who needs the freedom to roam), it's solvable.</div></div>

Been thinking about the proposal - still like a lot of what you're recommending. I just wonder if the Jets' swap would be possible when their holes on defense have been widely documented as lacking experience behind Bfyuglien and Morrissey. Whereas the rumored interest in Ristolainen make sense from that perspective, would they really trade their 2LW for a prospect defenseman yet to play in the NHL? The 1st rounder certainly would be a major sweetener but it's hard to find many reports that the Jets are unhappy with Ehlers......it sounds like they may almost be willing to consider dealing Laine if they can't agree on a contract.

With Scandella, I know the Coyotes have cap issues at the moment but my gut tells me that Housley's role there with the defense corps could lead to AZ asking about Scandella. It was no secret how much Housley defended and relied on Scandella last year....and there's been reports for the past year that AZ would love to get out from under Goligoski's contract as his play has plummeted for the past 2 seasons.

With Toffoli, if he were to be acquired (and I hope Botterill has him on his shopping list, given how we know Botterill places an emphasis on Cup-winners when he can add them), my guess is that he'd come in the same way as Skinner did: get used to the team and see if it's a good fit before Botterill decides if he wants to re-sign him. If Toffoli produces like Skinner did, I would think Botterill learned his lesson and would push hard to extend him sooner than the end of the season. But the aspect of Toffoli playing with Eichel as a good 2-way RW who can cover defensively and also convert on chances seems logical as does the likelihood of Toffoli rebounding in a contract year where he's playing close to home.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 28, 2019 at 11:06
I know anything's possible when it comes to Benning's decisions but the Canucks have already committed to Myers and Edler as their top pairing and are going to be hard-pressed to squeeze in Boeser's new contract (probably in the $6.5M-7M range) so Ristolainen, from depth and cap situation, doesn't seem plausible. And, even if it were to happen as proposed, would Botterill really target Virtanen as a RW (which the Sabres need) only to see him on the 4th line. He'd seem as good a candidate for the top 9 as Vesey, Sheary or Olofsson.

I know fans want to see the dead wood players jettisoned but I can't believe Botterill - or even Fenton - would agree to a draft pick for Wilson AND Scandella. Maybe Scandella gets dumped somewhere for a low draft pick but at Wilson's salary and the limited depth at Rochester, I suspect the Sabres will keep Wilson and take their chances he clears waivers to start with the Amerks.

As to lineup, there is no way that Botterill would bury Okposo in the AHL - for starters, the cap savings of doing so is minimal and secondly, I think the message it would send to both the player and his teammates is one that neither Krueger or Botterill would want to mess with.

The defense corps, with additions of Staal and Juolevi don't make sense - Pilut and Bogosian are both reported, for now, to probably only miss the first 2-3 weeks of the season. Maybe Bogosian becomes the 7th D but there's no way Pilut doesn't get a top 6 spot......which then creates a numbers game when you have 7 D without either player from IR.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 27, 2019 at 10:11
Thread: Sabres
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 22, 2019 at 6:25
Thread: Stuff
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 22, 2019 at 6:15
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>1.) Toffoli is much better than sheary</div></div>
Yes, but Kings need to add speed - and Sheary scored more goals last season than Toffoli. It sounds like Blake wants to mix things up and won't be able to dump Carter or Kovalchuk; they also have little in way of defensive prospects which they'd be adding as well.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>2.) Arizona has ekman Larsson, goligoski and chychrun at LHD and are almost the cap</div></div>
Goligoski has been an anchor they've been trying to unload for a while - and Tocchet clearly trusts Housley's input with the hire to run the defense. We know how Housley used Scandella last year....

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>3.) Adding echl players to ristolainen isnt getting ehlers</div></div>
Stevens was in Rochester (AHL) last year....I could see Sabres retaining some of Ristolainen's salary to help Jets situation but they can't take on Perreault's contract.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>4.) Ottawa is at the floor and isnt trading assets for depth players</div></div>
When they barely have an NHL roster as it is, they can't put jerseys on draft picks of the future. Wilson is the kind of veteran bottom 6 player that a young rebuilding team like Ottawa could be willing to take, especially if it's only for a 1 year commitment at barely over $1M. A 4th rounder isn't a high quality asset either.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 10, 2019 at 1:00
Forum: Armchair-GMJul 4, 2019 at 9:56
Thread: Brassard
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DahlinOlofsson67</b></div><div>just a few things 1) I think Brassard should be number 2 center 2) Victor Olofsson should be on the team and not Tage Thompson. other than that i think the team is good</div></div>

While Brassard costs nothing in assets, he is 32 this season and will probably be looking for $3.5M minimum coming off his $5M prior contract. I floated the idea of the Sabres bringing in Sam Gagner as the 2C for the following reasons:
1. Oilers have cap issues and by a lot of reports from Edmonton, would happily dump Gagner and his $3.1M contract. He's presently slotted as their 3rd line winger.
2. However, Gagner turns 30 this fall and is in final year of his contract - so there's no long-term commitment to worry about if the Sabres envision Mittelstadt needing only 1 more year in a less-pressured 3rd line role until he assumes the 2C position.
3. Gagner is still an offensively-creative player who is effective on power plays and has some decent speed.
4. Gagner played under Krueger for 2 seasons and had some good seasons in the process - so there's a good chance reuniting coach and player might squeeze some decent production out of Gagner in a 2C role with increased ice time........plus we know that Reinhart will be more of the offensive catalyst on the line so that could boost Gagner's contributions.
5. Related to # 1, Sabres could probably send Oilers a draft pick or the RFA rights to Girgensons to get Gagner.

Again, just as with Brassard, the M.O. is for a 1-year stop gap. All of the legitimate 2Cs under more term aren't on the market or affordable with what assets Sabres have to offer to get them IMO.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26, 2019 at 8:02
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OrganizedConfusion55</b></div><div>I'm not moving risto for a rental</div></div>

Toffoli is the same age as Skinner, is also from the Toronto area and one of 13 players in the league to be as good in generating scoring chances for as he is in preventing scoring chances against. He'll help the 5x5 play, give Eichel a RW similar to Reinhart to boost the 1st line while Reinhart anchors the 2nd line and he adds much-needed leadership and experience from a championship-winner. I'd rate the odds high that he could have a bounce-back season and thrive with Eichel, Krueger and a team close to home in better market than southern California.....and that he'd want to re-sign. I don't think he'll explode offensively like Skinner did but if he contributes 25+ goals, 65-70+ points, that would be a boost and maybe lead to a new contract in the $6-7M range.

Ristolainen has proven what he is......he's not on a rollercoaster where he may magically improve next season into what everyone hoped he'd be. The longer the Sabres hold onto him, the lower his market value becomes as he gets older and his term shrinks. You may think Toffoli is a rental with an expiring contract but that also works in any team's favor if they go for him in that they would be buying low after an off-year. Ristolainen is a diminishing asset they need to cut bait on....and teams seem to be hesitating now on taking him on because they see him as what he is. My hope is that some GM like Benning, Waddell, Fletcher or Blake (remember, he chose Kovalchuk as his first UFA last year) are gullible enough to take Risto.