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sabresparaavida

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Buffalo Sabres
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Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 11 at 9:15 a.m.
Thread: Next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Flames1217</b></div><div>I see the appeal for Anderson from the Sabres perspective but I don't see the need for Kuzmenko.

I<strong> also don't see how the Sabres keep all three of centres going-forward as one of the three will want more ice somewhere else and the Sabres will need to plug their holes</strong>.

If the Flames end up trading everyone than I can see a deal to he had for Ras, if they want a quick retool I can't see him getting dealt. He is too important to the team.</div></div>

I don’t really see this being an issue. Cozens(5), Mitts(2), and Thompson(3) are all each in the top 5 of the Sabres forwards in ice time per game, and each have played at least some wing in the NHL. Mitts in particular can play anywhere in the top 6, so when the Sabres are fully healthy, he can stay at wing or be a 3C with great matchups and still get PP time. If the Sabres sign Mitts for ~7.1 mil a year, they still will have 19 million to resign/replace Krebs, Joki, Girgs, Okposo, UPL, and Erik Johnson. (Some of which might be replaced by prospects).
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 2 at 5:10 p.m.
Thread: Buy targets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>?? Just because of the 2nd</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>Rather keep Krebs, we need to add grit, not subtract. If he becomes a solid bottom 6 center, great. If not, ylonen and a second aren't much consolation. I'm not worried about his offense, he could still have value as a defensive forward, he still has to get better at it though.</div></div>

Krebs is pacing for 15 points this season over 82 games. That is definitely not good enough for 3C, and his defensive game isn’t so strong that it makes up for a lack of an offensive game. I’d rather we used his roster spot and cap space on a 4C that is good at faceoffs (Something lacking from our top 3 centers, each unquestionably better than Krebs) for key scenarios and is good in his own end. Getting a second and Ylonen would be a good return for someone I don’t see the Sabres getting much value from. Ideally, after this trade the Sabres could add to this package and get an upgrade.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 2 at 7:00 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 25 at 6:45 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 15 at 8:07 a.m.
Thread: something fairly reasonable
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NYR1983</b></div><div>Definitely. Crazy stats that fans don’t know.

Vesey/goodrow/pitlick was just ranked 19th best xGoals% in the league. So while they don’t produce a ton of offence they also don’t allow much. Other than seeing 3.6M on your 4th line, what is the issue with him? Am I right?</div></div>

Well, one issue any team will have is that he’s been abysmal away from those two players. For 24 games, Goodrow has played with that line, having an xG% of ~56.5%. Over the course of the season, including being on a good line half the season, Goodrow has an xG% of 36%. Absolutely atrocious. Every line Goodrow is on gets worse with him on it. https://hockeyviz.com/fixedImg/replacements/2324/NYR/goodrba93/wrap
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 28, 2023 at 8:31 a.m.
Thread: Next Year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>I would sure hope not</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>And why isn't he, he actually does everything we probably could use. Plays 22min a night, Hits, blocks shots.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PenGoater99</b></div><div>Love the age old strategy of "give me your good players and we'll give you spare parts in return"</div></div>

These trades make Buffalo worse. We’re sending out Mitts, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Rosen, and 2 picks for Crouse+Weegar.
Mitts right now has very good analytics, with a very strong team relative corsi and Fenwick, pacing for about 70 points, and overall has been one of the Sabres best couple players this season. Meanwhile Crouse is pacing for about 55 points and has pretty average analytics for Arizona.

Weegar has negative team relative numbers for corsi and Fenwick, and surprisingly those numbers are nearly identical to Jokiharju’s. Samuelsson has worse team relative corsi numbers, but his team relative Fenwick is positive, and significantly better than Weegar’s. Weegar is definitely the better defenseman than either of those two, however he is an offensively inclined player, and we don’t need more of those on defense.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 2, 2023 at 6:32 p.m.
Thread: Trading Graves
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMLBRIAN</b></div><div>I haven't been watching, but all his stats seem super reasonable. What does his poor play look like?

I know Pits has no 3rd pair to speak of. That doesn't help at all.</div></div>

I haven’t been watching a ton of Penguins hockey, so I’m not the most qualified to answer this, but a quick peek into his analytics show that while he’s on the ice, the Penguins get slightly less shots (relative to when he’s not on the ice and relative to the opponents), but the expected goals are pretty average (relative to when he’s not on the ice and relative to opponents). His G/60 and A/60 are both down, and the majority of his assists are secondary assists. It appears that he hasn’t been driving offensive play as well.

If you compare his analytics to years prior, with little eye test, the takeaway is that his defensive game is similar to years past, and team relative it is slightly better. However, his offensive production has fallen off, despite being given more minutes than last year.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 12, 2023 at 7:00 a.m.
Thread: Tkachuk Bros and P Kane
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Boltsradynasty</b></div><div><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Quantity doesn't equal quality both trades are quantity over quality. </strong></strong></strong></strong></strong>
Mathew Tkachuk isn't waiving anywhere in the people's republic of New York instead of sunny freedom loving South Florida.</div></div>

Both trades have Quantity over quality? Usually you only say that if the quantity is garbage, not like the Matt tkachuk trade. That trade includes:
Cozens (who the athletic ranked as the 6th best u23 player/prospect heading into the season), Kulich (who is averaging near a goal a game as an 19 yo in the AHL), Peterka (who looks to be breaking out, pacing for 35 goals and 60 points, building on an elite WC), as well as 2 firsts. That is a package of both quantity and quality, and I wouldn’t want the Sabres to give it up for Tkachuk