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sensibleguy
Serf
Member Since
Jun. 15, 2016
Favourite Team
Ottawa Senators
Forum Posts
3417
Posts per Day
1.3
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 14, 2022 at 4:39 a.m.
Thread:
contender kessel
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ural740811</b></div><div>Don't bother trying to convince Oilers fans not to do it. I myself am not a supporter of this exchange, I am absolutely comfortable with Barry in our team, even as the seventh defender, he adds variability to defense, with the right partner, Barry is a defender in a scarce position, with unique skills. It's just that with Kessel's signing rumors on the rise, Barry's trade is the only way to fit Kessel under the ceiling in our team.</div></div>
If you need cap space, trade Barrie to Buffalo for say, Owen Power, it is just for cap space, right? lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 14, 2022 at 4:34 a.m.
Thread:
contender kessel
These Tyson Barrie trades to Ottawa aren’t happening, and Zub going the other way is just ridiculous.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 14, 2022 at 4:31 a.m.
Thread:
Oilers well that ends well
So this is three Tyson Barrie to Ottawa suggestions in the last three EDM ACGM threads involving trades with Ottawa. Just an fyi, Tyson Barrie isn’t the answer for Ottawa. Dorion would get roasted if he traded for Barrie, lol.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 14, 2022 at 4:22 a.m.
Thread:
Kadri
EDM
Zub, Artem ($1,250,000 retained)
OTT
Puljujärvi, Jesse
Barrie, Tyson
Please explain the logic for Ottawa to consider this deal. Ottawa doesn’t have room for another forward that makes more than $2MM, and Zub is a better D than Barrie, for considerably less cap hit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 4, 2022 at 10:40 a.m.
Thread:
If Greig must be included
The top6 is set for awhile. I expect DeBrincat to resign, so it’s more likely that Giroux is the first to be replaced in that top6. Greig might replace him, or maybe it’s Joseph, or maybe an UFA, but it won’t be Formenton or Boucher. There’s three seasons to figure it out.
Chychrun moves the bar on this team. It doesn’t matter if it’s Greig going the other way, or Zub, a top3D of Chabot, Chychrun, Sanderson is playoff worthy.
Chychrun is more valuable than Pinto, but I don’t trade Pinto for Chychrun.
I would give the 2023 1st with either Zub or Greig for Chychrun. Yes it’s a lot, but the Sens win the trade even if they lose the value exchange, as long as Zaitsev’s contract goes as well. No Zaitsev’s contract is not bad enough to account for the entire value of the 1st. It’s actually only about $1MM over value, but Ottawa needs to dump it, and that’s why they’ll need to pay extra.
Don’t come at me with crap about Zaitsev being worth less than $3.5MM per, because I can respond equally well. It’s bias that fuels that opinion.
Just some thoughts. I try to avoid Capfriendly during the offseason, as it gets a bit ridiculous here with some “logic”. So if you respond, be patient for my response.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Jul. 13, 2022 at 1:56 p.m.
Thread:
Florida Panthers signed Colin White (1 Year / $1,200,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rollie1967</b></div><div>fell off a cliff after signing the big deal.
no risk for this deal, could be a solid 3rd liner for cheap.</div></div>
Improved his CF% every year he's been in the NHL <a href="https://www.nhl.com/stats/skaters?aggregate=0&report=puckPossessions&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20162017&seasonTo=20212022&gameType=2&position=C&playerPlayedFor=franchise.30&nationalityCode=USA&shootsCatches=R&draftRound=1&draftYear=2015&birthStateProvinceCode=MA&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=satPct&page=0&pageSize=50" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">LINK</a>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 10, 2022 at 5:11 p.m.
Thread:
Long Term Sens and 2022 Draft Targets
I read most of the first parts, but skipped over a lot of the draft, too volatile to predict.
Goalies
I don’t have an issue with 3 goalies, especially since the best one has concussion issues. Having Gus around as the 3rd goalie doesn’t hurt, imo. If Murray is healthy and feeling fine, he’s as good as anyone in the league on any given night. If his concussion symptoms return, put him on IR and keep going. Make sure Murray is good to go before he starts, and run him as long as he’s able, to the end of this contract. If cap is tight in Murray’s final season, then he needs to step up, or sit on LTIR, and let insurance pay 80% of his salary, I think that’s the going rate.
Forsberg is not a good #1 goalie, and neither is Gus, but Gus could be a solid starter, an average #1 goalie.
Ottawa goalie prospects since 2007
2020 #71 Leevi Merilainen
2019 #37 Mads Sogaard
2018 #157 Kevin Mandolese
2017 #183 Jordan Hollett
2016 #55 Filip Gustavsson (included because his NHL debut was with Ottawa)
2015 #199 Joey Daccord
2013 #78 Marcus Hogberg
2012 #76 Chris Driedger
2012 #166 Francois Brassard
2009 #46 Robin Lehner
Most goalies are drafted in the 3rd round, which are now picks #65-#96, but before 2016, it was picks #61-#90. Goalies considered better than avg, based on draft position;
2009 #46 Robin Lehner
2016 #55 Filip Gustavsson
2019 #37 Mads Sogaard
Gus is fine for now, until Sogaard is ready, and Forsberg should be fine for now, as Gus gets better. Murray just gives that hope of dominating, when the concussion symptoms aren’t there. We’ll see where this trio goes, but these three guys, Murray, Forsberg, and Gustavsson, are holding the spot for Sogaard.
Defence
Chabot - a true #1D
Sanderson - a definite #2D-#3D even never having played an NHL game
Zub a very solid #3D-#4D
Zaitsev - the never complaining workhorse that the farmer relies on to pull the plow, while everyone wants to see the thoroughbred horses pull the plow
Hamonic - just another workhorse
Brannstrom - the thoroughbred that looks like a thoroughbred, acts like a thoroughbred, but doesn’t perform like a thoroughbred
JBD - the workhorse that’s undersized, but gets the job done
Thomson - the wildcard, might be a #2D-#3D, might be a #4D-#5D, we want the former, of course, but he isn’t, yet
I always come back to missing out on Graves last offseason, and now watching Chabot pair with Graves at the WC, it stings worse 😆
This is the season that one or both of Thomson and JBD work their way into the lineup. They don’t need to be there on opening day, but eventually injuries will get them into the lineup.
The team doesn’t need a top4 D unless they think Thomson and or JBD aren’t going to be top4D, since they have Chabot, Sanderson, Zub. They’re not getting anyone better than Chabot or Sanderson. BTW, when I say top4D, I mean playoff team top4D.
Have to go, I’ll do the forwards later
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 10, 2022 at 3:23 p.m.
Thread:
Long Term Sens and 2022 Draft Targets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Alfie11</b></div><div>sensibleguy PLDGEY Green4D4Again thoughts?</div></div>
I think I have some reading to do, lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 7, 2022 at 7:41 p.m.
Thread:
Monahan Healthy 2022-23
“It helps Ottawa hit the cap floor”
Really? Ottawa is $2.7MM from the floor and still need to sign 9 players. This is beyond ridiculous
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 7, 2022 at 7:37 p.m.
Thread:
Change Up
Joseph ahead of White for top6, Joseph has the better shot, better shooting percentage, and White is more of a passer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 7, 2022 at 7:01 p.m.
Thread:
ProbabilityOilers 22
Mike Smith at 299 career wins. He might stick around one more season
299-263-78 2.70 GAA .912 SV%
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 6, 2022 at 9:42 a.m.
Thread:
Big Offseason
NSH
Del Zotto, Michael
2023 7th round pick (NSH)
OTT
Myers, Philippe
Ottawa isn’t taking on more salary on a guy they aren’t going to play. Better to buyout MDZ, or bury him again
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 4, 2022 at 3:09 a.m.
Thread:
Wheeling and dealing
VAN
2022 1st round pick (OTT)
2022 3rd round pick (BOS)
OTT
Boeser, Brock [RFA Rights]
Additional Details:
I feel this is fair, I would probably drop the 3rd and still make the trade assuming one of Jiricek/Nemec is still available at 5 and Philly is willing to trade down.
Boeser only has two more seasons of RFA left, and teams aren’t giving that high a pick without more guaranteed term in return.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 3, 2022 at 2:56 a.m.
Thread:
Trades and Free Agency to Make us Winningpeg
WPG
2022 1st round pick (OTT)
2022 3rd round pick (BOS)
2023 2nd round pick (OTT)
OTT
2022 1st round pick (PHI)
Ottawa says no
If you want to trade down, 7th overall and 2022 TBL 2nd for the 5th overall would be the offer, and it wouild depend on who's still available at 5th on if Ottawa accepted the offer
Value chart has the 5th at 8.2, 7th at 7.1, and the 61-64 at 1.1
7.1 + 1.1 = 8.2
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2022 at 1:06 p.m.
Thread:
Cap with Giroux
Bye bye Sanderson, ripe for an offer sheet with no money to sign him
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2022 at 11:22 a.m.
Thread:
Ottawa Senators
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Zuki9797</b></div><div>Personally not a fan of the MTL trade. Sure del zotto can be buried but Byron brings a huge leadership factor to the team. Habs also have way too many dmen that could be nhl caliber next year (guhle norlinder harris barron)</div></div>
That was for all the Habs fans who have been trading Byron to Ottawa on this site for that last few years, lol. Was also a part of my original plan to sign Giroux and De Haan, and trade for Byron. I just left that one, lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2022 at 3:41 a.m.
Thread:
Ottawa Senators
Formenton and Joseph had 32 and 30 point seasons, these are one year “show me” contracts. Rather than sign for 2 seasons at maybe $2MM each, this gives them a chance to show they’re worth much more than $2MM.
Pinto playing with Stützle would benefit him in his rookie season, Calder Memorial Trophy, quest. Could also put him with Norris and move Batherson down.
4th line and scratches can be interchanged at will.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 1, 2022 at 11:26 p.m.
Thread:
Cap Hell
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mr_noodles</b></div><div>Figured they might want someone to pair with Chabot but agree Barrie might not be the best fit. They are desperate to end the rebuild so I wondered if they might be buying on defence.</div></div>
Ottawa is reported to be looking for a top4 defenceman, but I think that’s a little vague. What they are looking for is a top3 defenceman with a high defensive awareness that could possibly pair with Chabot.
The problem is, they have nine NHL defencemen.
Chabot, Zaitsev, Hamonic, Zub, Del Zotto, Holden, Sanderson, Brannstrom, and Mete, not to mention rookies Thomson and Bernard-Docker. They already said they weren’t giving Mete a QO, so that leaves eight, so if they acquire another defenceman, two have to go, and the rookies stay in the AHL.
They’re trying to consolidate assets, but so are all the other teams coming out of rebuild, namely Detroit, New Jersey, and Los Angeles.
Connor Murphy is a guy I wanted, but now he has concussion issues, so better to wait a year on him to see a full recovery.
Anyway, just some info, no need to respond.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 1, 2022 at 4:07 p.m.
Thread:
Serviceable for Futures
CHI
Ostapchuk, Zack
Murray, Matt
2022 2nd round pick (TBL)
OTT
Kubalik, Dominik [RFA Rights]
Murphy, Connor
2022 3rd round pick (TOR)
There’s no reason for Ottawa to do this deal. Connor Murphy is coming off a two concussion season, the second he had to be taken off on a stretcher, and Kubalik is just another bottom6 left shot winger, which Ottawa has plenty of, including Parker Kelly, the guy who hit Murphy for that second concussion.
Matt Murray also has concussion issues, but if he’s fine, he’ll play well, and if he’s not, they’ll put him on IR and let insurance pay his salary, or LTIR him if they need the cap space.
Ottawa isn’t giving up a decent prospect like Ostapchuk, and lose on a pick swap, for these players.
Ottawa says no
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 1, 2022 at 3:41 a.m.
Thread:
Cap Hell
Ottawa doesn’t need Tyson Barrie, he’s just another Michael Del Zotto, more points but worse defensively
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 1, 2022 at 12:45 a.m.
Thread:
Weegar comes home
Florida doesn’t need to trade Weegar, they have enough coming off the books next season to deal with him and Huberdeau
I don’t think they have enough to resign Giroux, $4MM in cap space and they need 4-7 skaters
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 31, 2022 at 10:36 p.m.
Thread:
van with quinn
VAN
Sokolov, Egor
2022 2nd round pick (OTT)
OTT
Garland, Conor
I don’t know why so many Canuck fans want to trade Garland, but I’d pay that to get him. I’m not a Garland fan, but he just keeps performing well, and at some point, I have to just say, I was wrong, he’s legit.
Sure he’s not a 30 goal scorer, but he’s a very solid top6 winger, preferably 2nd line. He’s basically what I expect out of Colin White, if White was given the same opportunity that Garland has had, a 20G-30A-50 point player. Four more years at $4.95MM is fair as well.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 8:07 p.m.
Thread:
PIT looking to trade Marino
I’d rather have Thomson than Marino, Ottawa says no, to both trades
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 12:52 p.m.
Thread:
CAPTAIN STUFF
Then next season you have $21MM to sigh Stützle, Pinto, and Zub, plus 7 more players.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 2:21 p.m.
Thread:
Pinto
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xspyrit</b></div><div>Uh... When I said "What a weird comment that was", I was not talking about your comment, but the other posters'
Sorry thought it was obvious. And if you read my post, it just gives more support to your argument.</div></div>
Thanks for the heads up, I’ll go back and reread the comments, lol
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