staytru20

Member Since

Jun 26, 2018

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Washington Capitals

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Colorado Avalanche

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1112

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116

Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 2:16 pm

Thread: A new Nicklas Backstrom

Backstrom isn't going anywhere. He parted ways with his agent, and is negotiating with the Caps directly. I don't think he'd do that if he was looking to leave DC.

Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 2:15 pm

Thread: Prospect Swap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Eli</b></div><div>E svech is two years older, and on pace for zero points this year. Detroit adds something. Okay, maybe they don't add G. Smith or Lindstrom without the Caps adding a 4th, but maybe they throw in Bowey, whose defense is a project but whose offense is fine, and who already knows the team and the coach.</div></div>

I think the ship has sailed on Bowey. He'll be 25 by season's end, and it's not likely that he's going to develop much further than what we see from him today. I'd much rather re-sign Gudas to a 2 or 3 year deal than acquiring Bowey.

Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 1:05 pm

Thread: Risto to caps

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigDog91</b></div><div>Yeah no way seattle takes Oshie he will be 34/35 at that point and still have 4 more years. I think Orlov better days are already past him and will be worse in 2 years. In two years you will have to make room for Backstrom, Ovi, Vrana, samsonov, backup goalie and couple dman. That is alot of cap space.</div></div>

The Capitals would likely offer a package of picks/prospects for Seattle to draft Oshie. For clarity, Oshie is from Washington state, and would be a good candidate for a captain. They'll also need to hit the cap floor, so I don't think his deal is too prohibitive.

Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 12:56 pm

Thread: Risto to caps

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigDog91</b></div><div>He is a good player and worth more then risto which is why i added sheary. I think he will be perennial 30 goal guy and 50-60 points. But if he puts up 30 + goals next two years can caps afford him. He could be looking at skinner money because what you are describing in a player is skinner.</div></div>

The Caps will make room for him. With Holtby's deal expiring, the Caps will have a bit more flexibility. Between Orlov and Oshie, one of them will likely be taken by Seattle in the expansion draft, too. I don't worry about Vrana's cap hit, because he's likely going to be worth the ticket he commands.

Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 12:44 pm

Thread: Risto to caps

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BigDog91</b></div><div>Yes he has a good stretch but i doubt you will see him in top 20 at the end of the year.</div></div>

The "good stretch" you're referring to is probably a bit more than that. It's not simply an uptick in shooting percentage that's driving his success. He's generating 1.04 shots more per game this season than he was last season, has better possession metrics, and is getting LESS offensive zone starts. I'd be really surprised if he didn't end up with around 30 goals this season. He's on pace for 40 so far.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 6:25

Thread: 2020 deadline and next year roster

If I'm the Avs, I look at Hall as more of a pure rental. Bring him in to go all in this season, but try to add a bunch of conditional draft picks based on re-signing Hall. You don't have to make it clear you're not going to extend him, but you'd have a much lower price to pay to acquire Hall if you're not acquiring him with an extension in place.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 5:58

Thread: Kings Iafallo What might it take Kings fans

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MaxDomi13</b></div><div>Iafallo that good?</div></div>

I don't think so. Panik and Iafallo are comparable at best, and I'd probably argue that Panik is better.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 4:29

Thread: Capitals Acquire Taylor Hall

I don't think that this is the kind of deal that MacLellan makes at the deadline anymore. Look for a more bargain-bin-value pick-up instead of a pure rental like Hall.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 12:16

Thread: Scorer find his repair

Please don't make me see Mike Green in a Penguins jersey.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 12:05

Thread: keep it going

I'd rather just re-sign Gudas.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 5 at 11:47

Thread: They can win again

Richard Panik is a good player. There's no reason to move him right now. Since he came back from his injury on 11/11, here's what his stats look like:

TOI: 127:03
CF%: 56.81%
FF%: 55.95%
GF%: <strong><em>100%</em></strong>. Dude has not been on the ice for a goal against in 12 games at 5 on 5 play! 12 GAMES!
Goals: 2
Assist: 0
Points: 2

Has he been burning it up offensively? Nope. But he's unreal defensively. The offense will come. The Caps are also tied for third in the NHL in Goals/60 and currently have the most goals for in the NHL. I don't think we need to worry too much about the offense. Panik's real value will come in the playoffs when the games get tighter.

Forum: Armchair-GMDec 4 at 3:41

Thread: Kovy

I don't really see a point in trading Panik, especially in bringing in Kovalchuk. Panik is a very capable two way player, and he's been getting dumped on by Caps fans because he had a slow start. He's been fine. Could he be better? Yes. I think he will get better though. He's talented, and adds value as a PKer.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 26 at 2:25

Thread: Nicklas Backstrom vs Evgeni Malkin

I think it's a story of two different players. Looking at points and offensive production, it's hard to argue against Malkin being the better player. I think the unsung quality that Backstrom has is his overall two-way game. I'm having trouble finding the exact record, but the Caps do not fare very well when he's not in the lineup.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 26 at 2:16

Thread: WSH and EDM trades

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>FloppyBiscuit</b></div><div>That's fair, and good point about the Orlov NTC. I guess if I was Washington, it's not the cost, but the term of the Jensen and Panik deals that has me worried.

Would it seem more reasonable if the 1st round pick was downgraded to a lower pick?</div></div>

I think it's still too early to say that Panik's contract is bad. He's been injured, and has been slow in picking up the Caps' system. The value of his contract is pretty low too, so I'm not super worried about him. He's still a serviceable third liner who can penalty kill at a high level. Jensen's deal isn't great, but the value on the contract is low. I think he's still got some positive value as a right shot defenseman, so I don't think the Caps need to sell a higher draft pick to get rid of those contracts.

At this point, if you can find a suitor for Jensen, I think you take it for any positive value. You can move Siegenthaler over to the right side on the third pairing and let Djoos or Fehervary come up and play on the left side on the third pairing. That'd free up a decent amount of cap space so the Caps don't have to play cap space chess every day.

All that being said, I don't think the Caps move Orlov. The difficulty in getting Brodin is that his contract expires at the same time as Vrana and Ovechkin's, so if the Caps were interested in retaining his services, that could prove difficult. Orlov's contract gives a bit more cost certainty to the Caps leading up to the Expansion Draft.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 26 at 11:35

Thread: WSH and EDM trades

I don't really see a reason why the Caps make that deal. The Panik and Jensen deals aren't THAT bad to be negative value. Orlov is also very valuable, and has a NTC, which he likely wouldn't waive for Minnesota. I do like Brodin, but I don't really like the bones of this deal. There's no reason for the Caps to move 3 players off of their NHL roster, as well as draft capital, to make this happen. The Caps are still at the top of the NHL standings, so I don't see a huge shakeup like this coming in.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 3:42

Thread: hindsight

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Capitalfail67</b></div><div>Both players have also been injuired and most of the offense has come from the top 6. With the development of Vrana mix with those two guys our goals per game would be much higher and the defensive numbers aren’t much better imo</div></div>

They aren't much better, but the trend so far is more sustainable than last season. The Caps were hemorrhaging high danger chances against last season, and that's what did the team in. There's still pieces to that are lingering, but the Caps are still the highest scoring team in the league, so I'm not too concerned there.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 3:22

Thread: Ths league is a joke

The crazy thing is, Hathaway got 3 games for spitting on Gudbranson. So I guess cross-checking a dude in the back twice, causing injury/intent to injure, is only one game worse than spitting on someone. Got it.

(PS, I think Hathaway spitting on Gudbranson is gross and has no place in hockey)

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 3:17

Thread: TDL moove

I think in a scenario where we'd trade for a defenseman, you're correct that we'd want a RD. I think with that, though, we'd probably want to move out Jensen more than Hagelin. That way, our defensive group would look more like:

Kempny - Carlson
Orlov - Martinez
Siegenthaler - Gudas

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 25 at 3:15

Thread: hindsight

I don't think replacing Connolly and Bura with Panik and Hagelin wasn't predicated on replacing offense. The biggest weakness this team had last season was the penalty kill and overall defensive play. Let's look at this year and last year:

2018 (full season):

Goals per game: 3.34
Goals Against per game: 3.02
Penalty Kill %: 78.9%
Team Save %: 90.41%

2019:

Goals per game: 3.52
Goals Against per game: 2.92
Penalty Kill %: 83.1%
Team Save %: 90.71%

IMO, I'd take 2019's stats over 2018's.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 22 at 1:39

Thread: If the prospects are NHL ready

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dad</b></div><div>What're your thoughts on Protas? I think he already signed a contract over the summer.</div></div>

Looks pretty solid in the WHL. He could probably use some more development time before he's absolutely NHL ready, though.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 22 at 11:28

Thread: If the prospects are NHL ready

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claesson4Norris</b></div><div>What about Brett Leason's season makes you think he'll be ready for NHL action any time soon?</div></div>

A lot can happen between now and the start of next season. He looked pretty good in the preseason. If not, then there's plenty of cap space for a short term signing in the middle six.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 20 at 3:08

Thread: Bad contract good intetions

I'd rather have Panik at that cap hit than Wennberg, and not have to give up a prospect and a pick.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 20 at 1:33

Thread: Capitals Statistically Smart 2nd pairing RHD options via Trade--Read Description

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mondo</b></div><div>the city might</div></div>

Nah, DC doesn't have those Pennsylvania quality roads

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 20 at 1:23

Thread: Capitals Statistically Smart 2nd pairing RHD options via Trade--Read Description

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mondo</b></div><div>cody ceci</div></div>

The Caps don't need a traffic cone.

Forum: Armchair-GMNov 20 at 1:16

Thread: Expected lines with Backstrom and Hathaway out Hags LTIR

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Eli</b></div><div>She's got Kempny with Carlson, though. You had me worried, for a minute. :)

Here's hoping Sgarbossa and Malenstyn fit right in and have some fun with the puck.</div></div>

Oops - yeah Kempny is with Carlson

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