staytru20

Member Since
Jun 26, 2018
Forum Posts
860
Posts per Day
2.23
Forum Threads
88
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 4:48 pm
Thread: Top of Metro this year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>But those 30 year olds are all their main core. Backstrom, Ovie, Oshie, Karlsson, and Hotlby will start showing their age before too long. They'll still be a very good team, not doubt, but the days of contention are fewer ahead than behind.</div></div>

I don't disagree, but I think that it's about 3 years out from being reality. Holtby will be gone after this season, replaced with Samsonov on his ELC, and Carlson is 29. I think the only concern right now is Oshie. Backstrom has been relatively healthy other than a broken finger during the 2018 Cup run. No one really knows when Ovi is going to regress, because by all measures of projection, he should have been regressing by now in terms of scoring.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 2:06 pm
Thread: Top of Metro this year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LoganOllivier</b></div><div>I would be mildly surprised if the Canes finished 1st, its a division in transition. Washington is regressing, Pittsburgh is not likely to be much better than last year, Philly should be better, the Rangers should be much better as well. Columbus will regress but still has some talent and a very good defence, the Islanders are doubtful to be as good as last year. So what will happen in Carolina? I think they could be better than last year, but I also think they could take a step back as well. I don't have faith in their goaltending to be super great but they have a great system so that helps.

Honestly its hard to predict the Metro. I think its pretty likely that both wild card spots will be going to Atlantic teams so, to make the playoffs, Carolina has to finish in the top 3 for the division. Tampa, Boston, TO are all locks, and I think Florida and Montreal and maybe Buffalo are all really good teams as well.</div></div>

I'm not sure I agree with Washington regressing. The Caps did lose some depth scoring, but replaced it with players who are much better defensively, have good shot suppression metrics, and can kill penalties - essentially the three biggest issues the Caps had last season. Could I see them not winning the division? Absolutely. But I think the team isn't overall worse.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 12:28 pm
Thread: Whoo Boy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ClockReads2113</b></div><div>Protas nor McMichael will be 3C ready next season. MAYBE Pilon or Sutter, but doubtful. But you'll have space to keep Eller longer until they are ready.

I love Backstrom but no way in hell I'm giving a 33yo a 8 year deal at $9.5M. I bet we can get him for $8M for like 5 years.

Caps would be incredibly stupid to sign Holtby, UNLESS they plan on trading him soon after or as you said let Seattle take him.</div></div>

I don't think Holtby even takes that offer. Some team desperate for goaltending would likely offer him $10M for 7 years, or even more depending on how this season goes for him. He has one big leg up on Bobrovsky - he's won a Cup. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get 10.5-11M a year for a 7 year deal from a team like Jersey.

I think the Caps have to be willing to walk away from Holtby after this season. You need to see what Samsonov has. That $10M for Holtby allocated here is just too rich for a team like the Caps, not to mention you have to re-sign Ovi the next off-season. I just don't see it right now, unless the cap goes up considerably, or the NHL moves to a soft-cap system.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 10:24 am
Thread: Damn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>Yeah I originally had New Jersey and Philly fighting for WC and Washington as top 3. But yeah Pitt would be next in line fighting for a WC berth.</div></div>

Yeah, on top of that, the Caps also addressed their biggest weaknesses in penalty killing, shot suppression, and high-danger chances. The bottom six got considerably better defensively, and the d-core is younger and better at moving the puck. I think you'll probably see Holtby's SV% raise too, so I'd be really surprised if WSH wasn't top 3 in their division. I could definitely see the case of trading out depth scoring for defensive responsibility, but I don't think Washington regressed enough and other teams in the Metro improved enough for them to fall out of the top 3.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu at 10:17 am
Thread: Damn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>I think every team can make it in the Atlantic. But if I were to put money, id say Isles, Columbus, Pittsburgh drop out. Rangers, Carolina and Philly take the top 3 spots with New Jersey and Washington fighting for wildcard spots.</div></div>

I could definitely be wrong, but I don't think Philly improved enough to be a top 3 finisher in the Metro. They only really added Niskanen and Hayes. I think the Rangers are still a fringe playoff team. Panarin and Trouba were good adds, but you'd still be relying on a 37 year old Lundqvist and a relatively unproven Georgiev to backstop them. IMO, the top 3 in the Metro will be some order of Carolina, Washington, and Pittsburgh. I won't count out the Pens with Crosby and Malkin on their roster until I'm proven otherwise.