SalarySwishSalarySwish
Avatar

tgasp98

I like to hockey
Member Since
Apr. 17, 2019
Favourite Team
New Jersey Devils
2nd Favourite Team
Seattle Kraken
Forum Posts
390
Posts per Day
0.2
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 1, 2022 at 5:42 p.m.
Thread: Pittsburgh to Vancouver via New Jersey
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Knuckl3s</b></div><div>Yeah, I understand being apprehensive of making such a bet, but on the ice, Miller plays nothing like Barclay Goodrow or Blake Coleman. He doesn't throw the body to anywhere near the same extent as those two guys do</div></div>

I'll admit, I don't follow Miller's game a ton so I can only really go off of what those like Marek, Friedman, and a couple of scouts say about how he plays. Although it doesn't have to be barrelling towards guys and throwing big hits, even being overly physical in board battles and in front of the net can start to wear on players. The biggest point for me is I'm not the biggest fan of giving a 30-year-old that much money to play on a team that is at the very least 2 years away from making real noise in the playoffs.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 1, 2022 at 5:28 p.m.
Thread: Pittsburgh to Vancouver via New Jersey
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Knuckl3s</b></div><div>How does he play the type of game that doesn't age well? You've given no basis for that argument</div></div>

Miller plays like a power forward. That puts a lot of stress on the body that will inevitably catch up to him in his 30s in a way that it won't for more finesse players. That is aside from any injuries which will speed along the deterioration in play. Additionally, as the league gets younger and faster, I believe he will start to have a harder time keeping up in year 4 and beyond of that deal.

He will be 30 as a UFA meaning he is probably looking at this as his last chance to cash in. That equates to a long-term deal of 6-7 years which will make him 36/37 at the end. The number that I am seeing thrown out there is anywhere from $8.5-9 million. With everything that I said above, I have a hard time predicting he is anywhere near an $8.5 million player in the later half of that deal.

Maybe the cap explodes in the next 4 years and 8.5 million seems like nothing. Or, there is a chance his body does hold up over 5-6 years and he doesn't slow down during that time. I hope that is the case but I don't want NJ making that bet, especially for significant assets because it will most likely end up like the Seguin situation.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 1, 2022 at 9:26 a.m.
Thread: Pittsburgh to Vancouver via New Jersey
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Knuckl3s</b></div><div>Emphasis on the word "probably". Until Miller signs a deal, he's not a lock to be bound to an albatross contract. We have to stop acting as though it's a foregone conclusion, because it's not</div></div>

Nothing is a lock, but all the signs are there for his next contract to be rough. He will be 30 when he signs so he knows it may be his last chance to cash in, he plays the type of game that is typically unsustainable into the mid-30s, and his level of production has been all over the place throughout his career. Now that it is a contract year he will probably produce similar to last season but that type of production doesn't seem like it will last.

He could be the exception to all of these factors but that is very unlikely and has to be at the back of any team's mind as they look to sign him.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 7, 2022 at 11:45 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 18, 2022 at 6:21 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 15, 2022 at 11:29 a.m.
Thread: Dahlin
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>Honestly I have no idea all I know is what I've read so far they just played U of M so I will try to find a replay to watch or their next televised game Jan 22nd. He is a 2nd rd pick in 2021 and he is having a good freshman season and unless offered something ridiculous teams don't usually consider trading players is situations like this. So unless you are overpaying you probably won't get him. His play over 2 months of his freshman year of college isn't enough to justify overpaying for him. That is just my opinion.</div></div>

My idea is getting Morrow in a package for an extended rental like Severson if NJ doesn't plan on extending him. Everything that I heard about him was impressive and he's in one of the best college programs to develop his game and adjust to stronger competition. To me, it would be foolish for Carolina to trade him but you never know what they would do if they were desperate to go on a long playoff run.