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worldwidesensei
Member Since
Feb. 18, 2018
Favourite Team
Buffalo Sabres
Forum Posts
1617
Posts per Day
0.7
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 10 at 12:34 p.m.
Thread:
Trevor Zegras Trade Comps
That Buffalo one is garbage. Firstly, it was Carter on the block, not Vorecek. That context absolutely matters. Secondly Carter coming off a 66 point season vs Thompson coming off a 94 point season is well, you can spot the difference. Thirdly, Carter and Richards were known problems in Philly, hence the trade. Is Tage a problem?
Overall terrible comp.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 5 at 11:35 a.m.
Thread:
Is he anything near available Price
The Sabres signed Samuelsson to a seven year deal a little over a year ago so they probably have some interest in keeping him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 5 at 7:29 a.m.
Thread:
Using Comcast money to buyout Michkov
Sabres couldn't hang up fast enough
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 30, 2023 at 3:05 p.m.
Thread:
Look North for help
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tjm220</b></div><div>The Rangers would do backflips to be out from under Trouba’s contract. Miller would make more sense just from that perspective alone.</div></div>
Nothing here makes sense. Rangers would nose dive without Trouba. Miller is another dream.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 17, 2023 at 1:20 a.m.
Thread:
My friend is over Vasi Whats his value tho
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Justafan79</b></div><div>Dude he was injured didn't have training camp what the F*** are you talking about underperforming. Dude put down the hallucinogens.
Stamkos isn't waiving. Btw didn't he run like hell away from Toronto last time after meeting them.ohh yeah he cancelled his meetings with Buffalo and Detroit and we t into Yzerman's office the very next morning said give me what you can Full NMC and Buy-out proof I'll sign it. This story confirmed by both Stamkos and Yzerman. He realized the childhood dream would be an adult nightmare.</div></div>
Bro calm down, it was a top of discussion with a bolts fan and we wanted to gauge what the people thought....be more open to discussion man
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 12, 2023 at 10:12 p.m.
Thread:
A Partner For Dahls
<a href="/users/Chapee44" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Chapee44</a>
I don’t think Dahlin needs an “all-star” quality partner
Just need Samuelsson to get back to form
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 12, 2023 at 9:31 p.m.
Thread:
TDL if they can somehow get back in the mix
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Brolekb2b</b></div><div>you would need to retain or take salary back from Tampa to make the trade work</div></div>
No need to take back any salary because they won't be moving Joker for a 3rd. He's worth more to them than that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 10, 2023 at 1:50 a.m.
Thread:
Trade Deadline
Why in the world would we trade so much for a 3rd liner and a JAG defenseman?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 10, 2023 at 12:21 a.m.
Thread:
moves
Tuch isn't on the table for anything reasonable.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 9, 2023 at 11:56 p.m.
Thread:
moves
Sabres say absolutely not
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 9, 2023 at 8:26 p.m.
Thread:
Hire me Terry
Krebs for a rental ?
Giving up on Samuelsson???
These moves don’t make much sense to me
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 9, 2023 at 10:56 a.m.
Thread:
Creating a third line
Nashville obviously accepts
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 7, 2023 at 11:46 p.m.
Thread:
Darren Dreger thinks the Flyers can get a 1st round pick for Sean Walker
The Kings moved out Durzi, Faber, Walker (which are 1, 2, 3 on their respective teams in ice time) and Grans. Have Doughty, Roy, Spence with Clarke still in AHL (and this kid Sparkes who people seem to like). And Mania.
Thats some log jam.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 5, 2023 at 3:35 a.m.
Thread:
Krebs take 2
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>That’s LITERALLY what you’re doing with your “finding fair value” in order to complete a FAKE TRADE FOR KREBS
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Wow, are u actually delusional ?</div></div>
no just playing you around
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 2, 2023 at 9:43 p.m.
Thread:
where to go from here theysuck
Well don't trade Samuelsson for starters, would think DeMelo is going to be looking for a raise.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Dec. 1, 2023 at 3:25 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AStovetop</b></div><div>The thing is it can change on a dime when a "starting" goalie struggles, or when a "backup" gets hot. Like now Swayman is debatable their #1 guy when going into the season he would have been categorized as a 1b behind Ullmark</div></div>
For sure but you "buy" a guy based on expectations.
Ullmark-Swayman fit the "Tandem" category since pre season and what the coach/GM said and haven't changed at all. In fact it is a near "perfect" split.
LAK started as Tandem and then 1A/1B and maybe even going into Workhorse/Backup soon.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Dec. 1, 2023 at 3:30 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AStovetop</b></div><div>The thing is it can change on a dime when a "starting" goalie struggles, or when a "backup" gets hot. Like now Swayman is debatable their #1 guy when going into the season he would have been categorized as a 1b behind Ullmark</div></div>
What I mean is that Swayman was never what I categorize as a "Backup"; hence why I suggest the term get better defined; it makes it seem like he is on the same goalie start expectation as Anthony Stolarz or Kevin Lankinen.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Dec. 1, 2023 at 12:53 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AStovetop</b></div><div>Uhh no it's not. For a solid tandem goalie maybe. but that's way too much for a backup.</div></div>
I think we have to "redefine" what a backup is. See my post above
Forum:
NHL Signings
Dec. 1, 2023 at 12:52 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
I've been tracking goalie contracts and deployment for a few years now.
For 2023 the Avg Cap Hit per Start = $88,758
For reference, I have found a range like this seems to hold fairly true for deployment (major injuries aside):
<strong>Workhorse Goalie</strong> = 59-72 starts (80% start rate or 4 out of 5 games)
<strong>1A</strong> = 47-58 starts (65% start rate or 2 out of 3 games)
<strong>Tandem</strong> = 36-46 starts (50% start rate; every other or "hot hand" rotation that evens out)
<strong>1B</strong> = 24-35 starts (35% start rate or 1 out of 3 games)
<strong>Backup</strong> = 10-23 starts (20% start rate or 1 out of 5 games)
<strong>Spot Duty/Call-up</strong> = 1-9 starts (injury fill-in from AHL, rookies on ELC slide, or the "old school" backup that only played in B2B games)
Cap inflation next year is expected to be around 5%; thus projecting a $93,542 figure (the actual will be less since many AAV's carryover; but the UFA/RFA's are unkown)
This means the $3,150,000 contract is roughly "average price" for 34 starts per year; thus an above average 1B goalie.
Another way of looking at is the Habs committed 41% of an average team's goalie budget to Montembeault.
In that sense this seems perfectly fine. The question for Montreal (a team coming off one of the most expensive goalie contracts ever) is are they trying to lowball the position (Avs, Kings, Coyotes) due to lots of pending RFA deals; or do they see someone else as their 1A long term (Primeau, Fowler ?).
The good thing about this deal is they have flexibility either way (and with lack of NMC/NTC).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 1, 2023 at 1:29 a.m.
Thread:
Filling some holes
Ostlund + for a 4C & a backup goalie???
No, absolutely not
Forum:
NHL Trades
Nov. 30, 2023 at 6:12 p.m.
Thread:
(CGY/VAN) - Zadorov for 2024 5th (CHI), 2026 3rd (VAN)
Leaf fans about to blow a gasket…
Forum:
NHL Signings
Nov. 28, 2023 at 11:51 a.m.
Thread:
Detroit Red Wings signed Patrick Kane (1 Year / $2,750,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan98</b></div><div>Kane's hips becomes a major issue and affects ADB and Larkin's play (the 2 line mates Kane is probably going to play with...) and Detroit falls out of the playoffs</div></div>
If he torpedo's that entire line don't play him there.....seems easy enough. They could literally healthy scratch him for the rest of season if he plays THAT bad.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Nov. 28, 2023 at 11:25 a.m.
Thread:
Detroit Red Wings signed Patrick Kane (1 Year / $2,750,000 AAV)
I frankly cant understand lopsided voting on "No", 1 year prove it deal for a future HoF with plenty of winning experience. Not to mention the overwhelming chemistry with Cat. If he struggles off the surgery so be it, but the risk-reward is favorable given it's not a long term commitment. No question a W for the team.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 23, 2023 at 3:43 a.m.
Thread:
Lets see
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OrganizedConfusion55</b></div><div>A year from now, I think Levi will be ready. Plus I'm doing what they tend to do.
I know. But that probably gives us a top 5 d crop in the league. Which would also help the Goaltending.</div></div>
Na
There’s a reason Carolina doesn’t wanna give him a long term deal. He’s already started to decline.
A 7 year deal, likely turns into a disaster sooner than later
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 20, 2023 at 1:04 a.m.
Thread:
Flags Fly Forever
And that trade for Zadorov is a MASSIVE overpay
If u think that has ANY chance of happening, idk what to tell ya- other than it’s crazy to think we’d give that up for a LD when it’s already a position of strength- not to mention, Zadorov is a UFA after this season
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