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HabsCanucks
Member Since
Dec. 3, 2022
Favourite Team
Montreal Canadiens
2nd Favourite Team
Vancouver Canucks
Forum Posts
470
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
17 hours ago
Thread:
Canes CAN afford Necas
I think you're 1-2 million per year short on most of those contracts. Also, Necas probably wants to be in the top 6 wherever he ends up, if not on the top line.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 4:51 p.m.
Thread:
Depth Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shanesaw9</b></div><div>This is just me, but I feel Kovacevic is underutilized in MTL. I just don't understand their thought process sometimes...
Justin Barron requires waivers next season. Its a make or break year. Let's send him to Laval for half the season (even though he outperformed Struble), thus reducing his trade value.
Jonathan Kovacevic is on a steal of a contract this season and the next. Let's make him a healthy scratch consistently even though he's one of the best PK guys on the team and has always had positive results in his role at 5v5, thus reducing his trade value.
I think both players have performed about as well as you could expect in their respective roles... but MSL doesn't see it I guess? Now I question where they fit long term with MTL because if they can't fit now what will happen in a few years? They should have been boosting their trade value in these lost seasons if they aren't a part of the long term plans... it's really perplexing for me to say the least.</div></div>
Yeah, I'm not really sure how they make those decisions. I know that NHL teams have access to way better intel and analytics than we do, but some of their decisions are a bit strange. I assume MSL has a lot of leeway to just do things based on how he feels about players, which won't always be right.
I had thought that Kovacevic had a down year this season, but the more I look at his numbers, the more it looks like they just didn't use him properly.
Barron seems to me like a guy who will have decent metrics, but makes too many major mistakes to stick in that kind of role. So I get why they don't seem to be counting on him to stay long-term, but I wish they had done more to maximize his trade value.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 4:18 p.m.
Thread:
Depth Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shanesaw9</b></div><div>How much of an upgrade is Chatfield over Kovacevic? I think you need to be wary of a defenseman who is performing well surrounded by dominant players. In Montreal Chatfield would not look so good. I also see no need to commit to Chatfield for 3 years as MTL be transitioning to their new defence anyways.
Not sure why you are concerned about Barron or Kovacevic as partners for Guhle, they are already proven:
342:35 with Barron: 50.00 GF%, 48.92 xGF%
175:44 with Kovacevic: 58.82 GF%, 52.76 xGF%
Not bad numbers in the context of a team that finished 5th last. I personally don't see the appeal of trading Kovacevic for a 3rd or 4th round pick that probably won't be playing NHL hockey.</div></div>
Wow, the Kovacevic numbers are actually shockingly good considering their deployment. Fair enough, I guess they should just keep him around and see if they can keep up the good chemistry over a larger sample size.
The Chatfield deal was for 2 years though to avoid blocking the young guys.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 4:01 p.m.
Thread:
Depth Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blazingbat11</b></div><div>Sales pitch to Pesce is "We'll drop off a truckload of $$$, give you 7 years and a NMC, and you'll get 1st pairing minutes the whole time". $7mill x 7 years.
If you want to develop Guhle on the left side as a top pairing Dman...Matheson <strong>HAS</strong> to go. full stop. Guhle played 1st pairing minutes at 5v5 all year, but had to do it on the right side because of Matheson. So if they were to give him the same time but, on the left, you'd be taking away time from Matheson (and subsequently everyone else on the left side like Hutson, Xhekaj, etc.), and I just don't see Marty St.Louis cutting Matheson's ice time, or even bumping down Guhle to playing 2nd pairing minutes (he's a top pair talent, stick to that).
Also, Guhle's style of play, utilization, and performances follow very closely Jacob Slavin's at the same age... and guess who Slavin's partner was who complimented each other perfectly....yup, Brett Pesce.</div></div>
I'm not sure that the Habs want to have Pesce at 7 million into his late 30s, though I take your point about him being a good fit for Guhle. Personally, I would go with the cheaper option with less term, and let Reinbacher/Mailloux grow into the top 4 roles on the right side.
Guhle can play first pairing minutes on the second pairing, while Matheson plays 1st pairing minutes on the first pairing. Xhekaj and Savard can play lower amounts on the 3rd pairing, I don't think that's too much of a problem. Savard plays on the PK and Xhekaj get PP2 time anyway.
I would be fine with trading Matheson, but that's not going to happen.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 3:44 p.m.
Thread:
Depth Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shanesaw9</b></div><div>I think you've made a few presumptions here that I don't agree with.
First, Reinbacher will probably still spend the season in AHL. I'm just saying there is absolutely no need for Chatfield with Reinbacher already there as depth.
Second, I would also start Mailloux in Laval and call him up if there are injuries or maybe if MTL trades Savard and/or Kovacevic at the TDL. MTL can just claim defenseman off of waivers I'd they don't want to interrupt a potential Laval playoff run as well.
Why does having Hutson in the NHL force Guhle to right side? I would personally dress 7 defenseman next season (Montreal barely uses their 4th Line anyways).
Matheson - Barron / Savard
Guhle - Barron / Kovacevic
Hutson - Xhekaj - Savard
Essentially Matheson and Guhle would play full minutes on the left side. Barron / Kovacevic / Savard would split time on the right side in the top 4, while Hutson, Xhekaj, and the veteran Savard would split time on the 3rd pair.
Icetime would look like this,
- Matheson: 21:00 (-4:33)
- Guhle: 19:00 (-1:51)
- Savard: 18:00 (-2:14)
- Hutson: 15:45
- Barron: 14:50 (-3:48)
- Kovacevic: 13:40 (-2:51)
- Xhekaj: 13:15 (-2:41)
My belief is that Matheson was overused last season and Guhle was misused on the wrong side. This 7 D system fixes both of those issues without having to make any moves on defence.
Edit: Also, I just noticed you buried Barron in the AHL to accommodate this move? In which case he will be claimed off of waivers. Strongly disagree with this move, I don't see any reason to acquire a depth defenseman like Chatfield when MTL is trying to incorporate youth and upgrade.</div></div>
So, we agree on Reinbacher playing the season in the AHL and Mailloux starting there and being called up as needed.
I would also be fine with a 7 D system, but I don't think Barron or Kovacevic are great options to partner with Guhle. Chatfield is an upgrade on Kovacevic, who could be traded for a 3rd or 4th this off-season no problem. Alternatively, they could trade Barron if there's a decent offer for him. I don't see either of them as being on Montreal's defence in the long-term.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 2:28 p.m.
Thread:
Depth Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shanesaw9</b></div><div>Mailloux and Reinbacher are already waiting for the opportunity when Savard gets traded. Hutson should be in the lineup too, this signing makes no sense.</div></div>
Reinbacher should spend the year in the AHL.
If Mailloux is going to play in the NHL, he can take Kovacevic's spot. The Habs can move Kovacevic for assets, while getting an upgrade in Chatfield for free (It costs cap space, but that Habs aren't using that anyway in this scenario).
If Hutson is in the NHL, Guhle has to play on the right, which I would rather avoid. Plus, having him in the AHL with Reinbacher allows them to get used to playing together.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blazingbat11</b></div><div>At least 2 Dmen would need to be moved before going out and signing a RD. and if Habs were to target someone, it would probably be a bonafide top 4 guy (Pesce would be my choice). It would allow you to trade Savard once Reinbacher and Mailloux are ready AND would still let MTL shelter their usage / minutes. Chatfield wouldn't really be sheltering them. More like taking away the time you'd want to play Mailloux and Reinbacher...
Chatfield is a 4-5 Dman... Habs definitely don't need him.</div></div>
You can go for a guy like Pesce, but he'll be in higher demand and will likely prefer to play in a competitive American market, not a rebuilding Canadian one.
The idea with Chatfield is to give Guhle a solid RHD partner, so that he can develop properly on the left side. Chatfield is playing nearly 20mins a night in the playoffs, so he and Guhle can play 18-20 mins a night together.
Yes, other defencemen will have to be dealt, but that is going to happen anyway, and I would prefer to prioritize the development of the one that's definitely staying over the ones that are probably getting traded out soon. Plus, if Chatfield has a good season as a 28-year-old right shot fourth defenceman, he might be worth something decent at the trade deadline or in the off-season.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:48 p.m.
Thread:
Development Year
Swap Armia with Anderson
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9 at 11:31 p.m.
Thread:
Curiosity Killed the Cap itols
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SMH</b></div><div>10 and 13 for 5th and 25th isn't cutting it for montreal, they need a player closer to be NHL ready and usually they're only available at the top. They also need quality over quantity</div></div>
Any 2 of these players would be worth 5+25 for the Habs if Celebrini, Demidov, and Lindstrom are gone:
Zeev Buium
Sam Dickinson
Artyom Levshunov
Berkly Catton
Tij Iginla
Cole Eiserman
Zayne Parekh
Beckett Sennecke
Carter Yakemchuk
Anton Silayev
Konsta Helenius
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9 at 11:18 p.m.
Thread:
Curiosity Killed the Cap itols
Deal (assuming Demidov and Lindstrom are off the board at 5)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9 at 9:16 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens WISH LIST 24-25
If you don't want the unsigned players in your ACGM, you can use the option for a 2024-2025 team. Just have to re-sign the ones you want.
Spending a 1st to get rid of a slightly overpaid player who will be off the books next year makes no sense.
And I can't imagine that Nashville would accept that offer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9 at 9:11 p.m.
Thread:
Getting younger
Yeah, that trade up offer doesn't get it done. If Demidov and Lindstrom are both off the board, 9 + a top 36 pick for 5 would be reasonable.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 8 at 2:48 p.m.
Thread:
Trading Down to Trade Up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shaun80</b></div><div>The only way I see them doing it is if Lindstrom is available, but if Lindstrom is available Montreal is just drafting him.</div></div>
Yeah, we wouldn't trade away Lindstrom
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 8 at 2:42 p.m.
Thread:
Trading Down to Trade Up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shaun80</b></div><div>You should have read the comments on the athletic article. Flames don't do it.</div></div>
Fair enough, it did seem a bit unlikely, but I've spoken to a couple Flames fans who would.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
May 8 at 12:15 a.m.
Thread:
The Athletics post lottery Mock
I like it for the Habs. There are four forwards I'd be okay with at 5 once Celebrini, Demidov, and Lindstrom are gone, so trading down to 9 makes a lot of sense and a late 1st is decent compensation. I wonder how high they could get by packaging together the Winnipeg and Vancouver 1sts.
Buium is a good pick if that's who the Flames want. I'd be a little wary about star NCAA defencemen if I were them, and trading up to avoid Iginla is a bit odd in a way, but it could be a good call.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
May 7 at 2:41 p.m.
Thread:
Guessing Montreal's List Based on the TSN Article
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Z0ra</b></div><div>The three people that Montreal is currently high on are:
Demidov
Lindstrom
Iginla
Normally Montreal values hockey sense, compete, and character in their prospects. The three that make the most sense are Iginla, Sennecke, and Stiga. Yes Montreal has been drafting bigger prospects, but those 3 things are what Hughes and company value the most.
Lindstrom doesn't make a lot of sense for the Canadiens given his compete level in the playoffs, I didn't like the way he played. Demidov is from Russia and he would 100% be the pick if he's available. Montreal would have to win the lottery in order to get him. Iginla checks all the boxes: goal-scorer, physical player, but also has the hockey sense, character (Jarome's son), and compete (had a solid U18 and was the driving force for Kelowna).
But the question is, how do you know that certain players have met with Montreal?</div></div>
I think Stiga will be out of consideration for the same reason that Catton is; Habs management want to enough big, skilled forwards to support their smaller guys in the playoffs. Also, it's not impossible to imagine Stiga falling to the Winnipeg pick (even if some other teams would be making a mistake in letting it happen).
As for Lindstrom, I don't want to be too harsh on his playoff performance, since he was definitely still dealing with injury. Of course, that's cause for some concern itself, but every option after Celebrini comes with its own set of trade-offs. I do think there's a fit for him on the Habs playing on Dach's wing. He's strong in the face-off dot even though he's more of a natural winger, so he could split face-off duties with Dach. Lindstrom's more of a shooter while Dach is more of a playmaker, and their combined size could be difficult for teams to handle.
To answer your question, all my knowledge on that front comes from media reports throughout the season. Obviously, we can't know that they didn't talk with other prospects, but I'm using the information that we do have as best as I can.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 6 at 12:54 a.m.
Thread:
fun fun fun
I don't see Minten as worth spending on
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 29 at 4:17 p.m.
Thread:
Based on recent draft history - with explanations
Putting aside that 5OA is way too high for Boisvert, Montreal don't take low-pace forwards. If Montreal were to make a genuinely shocking forward selection, my guess would be Sennecke.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 26 at 8:22 p.m.
Thread:
Everyone Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TyeZerker</b></div><div>Whats with everyone being like DEVILS ARE GONNA MOVE UP AGAIN. If Devils move up imma be mad, they get handed too much stop 2 first overal picks jumped up to 2nd, how much help do they need.</div></div>
It's a random simulation; I just took what the site gave me. Not really predicting that or hoping for the Devils to move up (though I'd be okay with it if the Habs moved up as well)
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 26 at 2:57 p.m.
Thread:
Everyone Trades
HIt publish by accident, was still working on this, sorry about that.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 26 at 5:48 a.m.
Thread:
Gonna keep throwing these out
Celebrini and Sennecke is the draft I dream about for the Habs. On the production front, Sennecke had an unremarkable season for his talent level, but he's up to 15 points in 10 playoff games, which puts him 2nd in playoff ppg among CHLers in their draft year.
I agree that Lindstrom is the perfect fit for New Jersey, and Levshunov makes a ton of sense for the Sharks if they drop.
Buffalo reaching for another LHD would be unexpected, but it wouldn't be an NHL draft without something weird happening, and the rest of the picks all make sense to me. It's nice to see so many steals and reaches that look actually plausible.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 24 at 2:48 a.m.
Thread:
First 2024 Mock with Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ryminister_92</b></div><div>Gotta love and appreciate the effort on this one, seems like you did your research on everything well.
That being said, I don’t see Igor Chernyshov being high on Toronto’s list - at least the people I know that work for the team haven’t mentioned his name a lot.
Treliving typically doesn’t draft a lot of Russians and Chernyshov doesn’t fit his style of play. He’s more of a skilled playmaker and perimetre player whereas Treliving values the bigger, stronger, meaner guys earlier on in the draft and typically saves the skilled players for later in the draft as project picks.
I’ve heard they’re keeping an eye on Charlie Elick - a big, strong skating right handed defender playing for Brandon in the WHL. & that seems to not only fit Treliving’s draft history style, but also the team needs. Elick should eventually round out as a solid #3 or #4 defender that plays a push back style game - it’s something the Leafs don’t have a single prospect in the system that plays that way at that position so I gotta believe my sources are right that Elick is high on their board. If he’s available, gotta think Treliving runs to the podium to get him</div></div>
Elick is already gone at 15 in the mock though. Maybe Badinka would be a good alternative.
Also, Chernyshov is 6'2", 192lbs, so hardly a small guy.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 24 at 2:45 a.m.
Thread:
First 2024 Mock with Trades
Great work on the analysis; I always learn a thing or two when I read through your draft lists. As a Habs fan, I'm happy to hear that the Hawks are looking at defensemen.
Utah with Celebrini would be very dangerous in a few years.
The picks all make sense to me, though I can't see Sennecke or Hage making it out of the 1st round at this point. I have them both in my top 20, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them go even higher than that.
Other people have already pointed out some of the issues with your mock trades, but I can see the two pick swaps happening (probably with more compensation coming from the teams moving up though).
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 23 at 2:14 a.m.
Thread:
Predictions vs Reality in the 2023-3024 Season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GiggywithGibby</b></div><div>There were a lot of injuries to key contributors on the Ducks this season, we only got half a season of Leo, 3/4 a season of McTavish, 1/3 a season of Zegras (1/6 where he was actually healthy) and Mintyukov was down for a spell as well.
Here's to hoping next season, with the addition of Cutter, we move up to 4/5 in the Pacific. Calgary and Seattle should be catchable to jump up.</div></div>
Yeah, I think you guys are well on track to be competitive in ~2 years. Next year should be more fun than this year at least.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 17 at 1:26 p.m.
Thread:
Buyout Anderson and Dvorak
Habs don't need the money now and don't want the cap penalty for Anderson on the books for three extra years. Send him to the AHL and wait for 2026 to buy him out. Dvorak buyout makes no sense, he isn't even on that bad of a contract.
Habs can't afford to add all those contracts, they would run out of money in the next two years between Slaf, Guhle, Dach, Reinbacher, and Hutson needing raises.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 17 at 12:10 p.m.
Thread:
Trading up
This would make sense if the Habs were desperate for cap space. Maybe if they add a big free agency signing or trade acquisition, but as it stands, it doesn't really work.
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