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Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Fri at 9:39 am
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - News and Important Info Thread
<a href="/users/TonyStrecher" target="_blank">@TonyStrecher</a> <a href="/users/A_K" target="_blank">@A_K</a> <a href="/users/Bo53Horvat" target="_blank">@Bo53Horvat</a> <a href="/users/BoltsPoint21" target="_blank">@BoltsPoint21</a> <a href="/users/krakowitz" target="_blank">@krakowitz</a> <a href="/users/l9guysports" target="_blank">@l9guysports</a> <a href="/users/TabooPenguo" target="_blank">@TabooPenguo</a> <a href="/users/phillyjabroni" target="_blank">@phillyjabroni</a> <a href="/users/Math" target="_blank">@Math</a> <a href="/users/Rodzikhockey93" target="_blank">@Rodzikhockey93</a> <a href="/users/Turner33" target="_blank">@Turner33</a> <a href="/users/ricochetii" target="_blank">@ricochetii</a> <a href="/users/HotsamBatcho" target="_blank">@HotsamBatcho</a> <a href="/users/Luc3" target="_blank">@Luc3</a> <a href="/users/TMLSage" target="_blank">@TMLSage</a> <a href="/users/HallforHart" target="_blank">@HallforHart</a> <a href="/users/Missouri" target="_blank">@Missouri</a> <a href="/users/Daryl" target="_blank">@Daryl</a> <a href="/users/alwaysnextyear" target="_blank">@alwaysnextyear</a> <a href="/users/rangersandislesfan" target="_blank">@rangersandislesfan</a> <a href="/users/brenfox31" target="_blank">@brenfox31</a> <a href="/users/flamesfan419" target="_blank">@flamesfan419</a> <a href="/users/Max" target="_blank">@Max</a> <a href="/users/Icegirl" target="_blank">@Icegirl</a> <a href="/users/matt59" target="_blank">@matt59</a> <a href="/users/NateElder12" target="_blank">@NateElder12</a> <a href="/users/Gronk" target="_blank">@Gronk</a> <a href="/users/jmac490" target="_blank">@jmac490</a> <a href="/users/Pross" target="_blank">@Pross</a> <a href="/users/mhockey91" target="_blank">@mhockey91</a> <a href="/users/Mr_cap" target="_blank">@Mr_cap</a> <a href="/users/MacWinnon" target="_blank">@MacWinnon</a>

ATTENTION GMs:

Round 2 Voting is now underway and will be open until Wednesday the 24th (midnight ET). Reminder: If you own a 2019 first round pick that belongs to either team involved in a matchup, you cannot vote in that matchup. And you cannot vote in your own matchup.

Round 2:

#1 STL vs #4 DAL <a href="https://forms.gle/XeFhLZD2VvRSztRF6" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/XeFhLZD2VvRSztRF6</a>

#2 VAN vs #3 VGK <a href="https://forms.gle/zWdN8wSz9qxmMekp7" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/zWdN8wSz9qxmMekp7</a>

#4 BOS vs #8 WSH <a href="https://forms.gle/odFrVYz2ekiGvcAj8" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/odFrVYz2ekiGvcAj8</a>

#2 PHI vs #3 TOR <a href="https://forms.gle/Zzpnbx66uv8WnNtZ7" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/Zzpnbx66uv8WnNtZ7</a>
Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Thu at 12:14 pm
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - News and Important Info Thread
<a href="/users/TonyStrecher" target="_blank">@TonyStrecher</a> <a href="/users/A_K" target="_blank">@A_K</a> <a href="/users/Bo53Horvat" target="_blank">@Bo53Horvat</a> <a href="/users/BoltsPoint21" target="_blank">@BoltsPoint21</a> <a href="/users/krakowitz" target="_blank">@krakowitz</a> <a href="/users/l9guysports" target="_blank">@l9guysports</a> <a href="/users/TabooPenguo" target="_blank">@TabooPenguo</a> <a href="/users/phillyjabroni" target="_blank">@phillyjabroni</a> <a href="/users/Math" target="_blank">@Math</a> <a href="/users/Rodzikhockey93" target="_blank">@Rodzikhockey93</a> <a href="/users/Turner33" target="_blank">@Turner33</a> <a href="/users/ricochetii" target="_blank">@ricochetii</a> <a href="/users/HotsamBatcho" target="_blank">@HotsamBatcho</a> <a href="/users/Luc3" target="_blank">@Luc3</a> <a href="/users/TMLSage" target="_blank">@TMLSage</a> <a href="/users/HallforHart" target="_blank">@HallforHart</a> <a href="/users/Missouri" target="_blank">@Missouri</a> <a href="/users/Daryl" target="_blank">@Daryl</a> <a href="/users/alwaysnextyear" target="_blank">@alwaysnextyear</a> <a href="/users/rangersandislesfan" target="_blank">@rangersandislesfan</a> <a href="/users/brenfox31" target="_blank">@brenfox31</a> <a href="/users/flamesfan419" target="_blank">@flamesfan419</a> <a href="/users/Max" target="_blank">@Max</a> <a href="/users/Icegirl" target="_blank">@Icegirl</a> <a href="/users/matt59" target="_blank">@matt59</a> <a href="/users/NateElder12" target="_blank">@NateElder12</a> <a href="/users/Gronk" target="_blank">@Gronk</a> <a href="/users/jmac490" target="_blank">@jmac490</a> <a href="/users/Pross" target="_blank">@Pross</a> <a href="/users/mhockey91" target="_blank">@mhockey91</a> <a href="/users/Mr_cap" target="_blank">@Mr_cap</a> <a href="/users/MacWinnon" target="_blank">@MacWinnon</a>

Round 2 voting will open today or Friday, and will run until next Wednesday.

Round 2 Matchups:

WSH @ BOS

TOR @ PHI
---------------
DAL @ STL

VGK @ VAN
Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Thu at 12:11 pm
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - News and Important Info Thread
<a href="/users/TonyStrecher" target="_blank">@TonyStrecher</a> <a href="/users/A_K" target="_blank">@A_K</a> <a href="/users/Bo53Horvat" target="_blank">@Bo53Horvat</a> <a href="/users/BoltsPoint21" target="_blank">@BoltsPoint21</a> <a href="/users/krakowitz" target="_blank">@krakowitz</a> <a href="/users/l9guysports" target="_blank">@l9guysports</a> <a href="/users/TabooPenguo" target="_blank">@TabooPenguo</a> <a href="/users/phillyjabroni" target="_blank">@phillyjabroni</a> <a href="/users/Math" target="_blank">@Math</a> <a href="/users/Rodzikhockey93" target="_blank">@Rodzikhockey93</a> <a href="/users/Turner33" target="_blank">@Turner33</a> <a href="/users/ricochetii" target="_blank">@ricochetii</a> <a href="/users/HotsamBatcho" target="_blank">@HotsamBatcho</a> <a href="/users/Luc3" target="_blank">@Luc3</a> <a href="/users/TMLSage" target="_blank">@TMLSage</a> <a href="/users/HallforHart" target="_blank">@HallforHart</a> <a href="/users/Missouri" target="_blank">@Missouri</a> <a href="/users/Daryl" target="_blank">@Daryl</a> <a href="/users/alwaysnextyear" target="_blank">@alwaysnextyear</a> <a href="/users/rangersandislesfan" target="_blank">@rangersandislesfan</a> <a href="/users/brenfox31" target="_blank">@brenfox31</a> <a href="/users/flamesfan419" target="_blank">@flamesfan419</a> <a href="/users/Max" target="_blank">@Max</a> <a href="/users/Icegirl" target="_blank">@Icegirl</a> <a href="/users/matt59" target="_blank">@matt59</a> <a href="/users/NateElder12" target="_blank">@NateElder12</a> <a href="/users/Gronk" target="_blank">@Gronk</a> <a href="/users/jmac490" target="_blank">@jmac490</a> <a href="/users/Pross" target="_blank">@Pross</a> <a href="/users/mhockey91" target="_blank">@mhockey91</a> <a href="/users/Mr_cap" target="_blank">@Mr_cap</a> <a href="/users/MacWinnon" target="_blank">@MacWinnon</a>

Round 1 Playoff Results:

<strong>Columbus Blue Jackets vs Washington Capitals
</strong>What a matchup. Both teams went all in on their chances this year, and it is truly unfortunate that this was a first round series because both teams have the firepower to go a long way. The GM voting gave the edge to Washington – CBJ’s defensive prowess washed out Washington’s elite forwards, but the Caps’ edge in goaltending was ultimately too much for the Jackets to overcome. The Washington Capitals are moving on after a stunning 4-3 series win over the President’s Trophy winners.
<em> Winner: Capitals in 7 (W-L-W-W-L-L-W)
</em>
<strong>Boston Bruins vs New York Islanders
</strong>The Islanders stellar goaltending was tested early and often in this series. They failed to contain possibly the deepest lineup in the playoffs. Boston had the edge in 7 of the 8 categories and was in total control from the start of the series. The 2nd seed Bruins are looking to roll through the East.
<em> Winner: Bruins in 4 (W-W-W-W)
</em>
<strong>Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes
</strong>I thought this one would be closer than the voting ended up. The home team Toronto gained a slight edge in 6 categories, and although none were extremely significant, the net result was the Leafs at a 75% favorite going into the series. The Canes were fighting hard on the road and jumped out to an early lead, but the Leafs ultimately took the series in what turned out to be an instant classic.
<em> Winner: Leafs in 7 (L-L-W-W-L-W-W)
</em>
<strong>Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins
</strong>The battle Pennsylvania was a tough first round matchup for the Flyers, who had dominated the regular season up until the last month – but the President’s Trophy runner-ups are still looking to make a deep run through the East. Pittsburgh was slightly overmatched in this one, and an early 2-0 series lead was too much for the Pens to come back from. No Flyera just yet.
<em> Winner: Flyers in 6 (W-W-L-W-L-W)
</em>
<strong>St. Louis Blues vs Winnipeg Jets
</strong>A midseason change in upper management sent the Jets into a bit of a re-tool, but their roster was no joke going into their first round matchup versus the Blues. Ultimately, the speedy Blues had an edge on both sides of the puck, and a pretty severe advantage in net. Blues took control from the get-go and were able to take this one in front of the white-out crowd in the Peg.
<em> Winner: Blues in 4 (W-W-W-W)
</em>
<strong>Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers
</strong>Playoff McDavid? Playoff McDavid. This was the tightest matchup in the first round. The edge that Dallas possesses in net was large enough in magnitude to evenly counter a potent Edmonton offense led by the best in the business. GM voting basically yielded a wash – the Stars at home had about 49% odds going into the series. Edmonton took the first game and stole the home-ice advantage, but Dallas roared back and took 4 of the next 5 to capture a series win.
<em> Winner: Stars in 6 (L-W-W-L-W-W)
</em>
<strong>Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild
</strong>The Vegas Knights, looking to build upon their best season in franchise history, were going to have to do it against an up-and-coming Minnesota team that embraced the spoiler role. The GMs voted with a significant favoritism toward the Golden Knights in this one, and they made quick work of the Wild.
<em> Winner: Golden Knights in 4 (W-W-W-W)
</em>
<strong>Vancouver Canucks vs Nashville Predators
</strong>The GM vote gave the Canucks a significant advantage in this #2 v #7 matchup. The offensive firepower for both teams made for an exciting series, but the Canucks looked like a team built for the playoffs. A blowout win in game 1 set the tone for the rest of the series, and the Canucks, led by their scary depth down the middle of the ice, never looked back.
<em> Winner: Canucks in 4 (W-W-W-W)
</em>

full scoring breakdown: <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hF35TXSEzvSaHA8aHk8WrEUaW0sVAq1OYuHqccO66DY/edit?usp=sharing" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hF35TXSEzvSaHA8aHk8WrEUaW0sVAq1OYuHqccO66DY/edit?usp=sharing</a>
Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Wed at 12:49 pm
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - Official Scoring Thread
<a href="/users/TonyStrecher" target="_blank">@TonyStrecher</a> <a href="/users/A_K" target="_blank">@A_K</a> <a href="/users/Bo53Horvat" target="_blank">@Bo53Horvat</a> <a href="/users/BoltsPoint21" target="_blank">@BoltsPoint21</a> <a href="/users/krakowitz" target="_blank">@krakowitz</a> <a href="/users/l9guysports" target="_blank">@l9guysports</a> <a href="/users/TabooPenguo" target="_blank">@TabooPenguo</a> <a href="/users/phillyjabroni" target="_blank">@phillyjabroni</a> <a href="/users/Math" target="_blank">@Math</a> <a href="/users/Rodzikhockey93" target="_blank">@Rodzikhockey93</a> <a href="/users/Turner33" target="_blank">@Turner33</a> <a href="/users/ricochetii" target="_blank">@ricochetii</a> <a href="/users/HotsamBatcho" target="_blank">@HotsamBatcho</a> <a href="/users/Luc3" target="_blank">@Luc3</a> <a href="/users/TMLSage" target="_blank">@TMLSage</a> <a href="/users/HallforHart" target="_blank">@HallforHart</a> <a href="/users/Missouri" target="_blank">@Missouri</a> <a href="/users/Daryl" target="_blank">@Daryl</a> <a href="/users/alwaysnextyear" target="_blank">@alwaysnextyear</a> <a href="/users/rangersandislesfan" target="_blank">@rangersandislesfan</a> <a href="/users/brenfox31" target="_blank">@brenfox31</a> <a href="/users/flamesfan419" target="_blank">@flamesfan419</a> <a href="/users/Max" target="_blank">@Max</a> <a href="/users/Icegirl" target="_blank">@Icegirl</a> <a href="/users/matt59" target="_blank">@matt59</a> <a href="/users/NateElder12" target="_blank">@NateElder12</a> <a href="/users/Gronk" target="_blank">@Gronk</a> <a href="/users/jmac490" target="_blank">@jmac490</a> <a href="/users/Pross" target="_blank">@Pross</a> <a href="/users/mhockey91" target="_blank">@mhockey91</a> <a href="/users/Mr_cap" target="_blank">@Mr_cap</a> <a href="/users/MacWinnon" target="_blank">@MacWinnon</a>

Ok GM's... here's how the playoff vote tallying is gonna go down.

- GM voting establishes raw score (i.e. 50 pts possible in each series; 25-25 would be a dead tie)
- 1 pt is added to the home team's score for each game (7 games simulated, 2-2-1-1-1)
- luck is a split of 8 points, distributed randomly in each game (7 games simulated)
- each of the 7 games simulated has a winner and loser, the team with 4+ wins in the simulation that I press 'go' for is the winner of the series

I'll publish the results as a 4-X result with a little blurb about each one, and then later on i'll publish the scoring sheets (they'll show the results of the 7-game sim and the win% probability of the home team based on 924 simulations)

why 924? that's where my sheet ended :)
Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Apr 10 at 2:28
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - General Discussion
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rangersandislesfan</b></div><div>Are we doing number of games in playoff series? Is it based on how close the voting is?</div></div>

Yes. Each game will be it's own "simulation". Head to head voting results comprise the raw score (out of 50, ex. 27-23) and then for each game a luck factor is randomly generated to divide 6 pts between the two sides. Home ice is worth 1 point in each game (2-2-1-1-1) format. The team with 4+ wins is the winner, and I'll publish it as 4-0, 4-1, etc. depending on how many of the 7 games the loser wins.

If that sounds concerning, the luck and home-ice adjustments appear more significant than they really are - if the GM vote ends as a tie, the home team has a 52% chance of victory based on the couple hundred simulations I ran.

edit: i had the wrong coefficients
Forum: Armchair-GMApr 10 at 1:08
Thread: Reality Check
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheOracle</b></div><div>Always room to add more to the trade, the biggest thing is get Scandella out of here. Insert any other player in Kreider's place. Maybe a Callahan or another proven veteran in his place. Parayko is a 20 point guy. Maybe add another 2nd. But my point is, need to get guys in here that will play D.</div></div>

"Parayko is a 20-pt guy". Career low point total is 28, just reached the 300-game mark and he's one of the best shut-down defensemen in the league even if you pair him with 150-yr old Jay Bouwmeester :grimace

I don't even know the guys you're offering for Paryako... it would have to be significantly more to even start the conversation, and the end of the convo is the Blues saying 'no', they're not moving Parayko just because Buffalo needs a d-man.
Forum: GM Game 2018-19 & 2019-20Apr 10 at 11:50
Thread: 2018-19 GM Game - Official Scoring Thread
<a href="/users/TonyStrecher" target="_blank">@TonyStrecher</a> <a href="/users/A_K" target="_blank">@A_K</a> <a href="/users/Bo53Horvat" target="_blank">@Bo53Horvat</a> <a href="/users/BoltsPoint21" target="_blank">@BoltsPoint21</a> <a href="/users/krakowitz" target="_blank">@krakowitz</a> <a href="/users/l9guysports" target="_blank">@l9guysports</a> <a href="/users/TabooPenguo" target="_blank">@TabooPenguo</a> <a href="/users/phillyjabroni" target="_blank">@phillyjabroni</a> <a href="/users/Math" target="_blank">@Math</a> <a href="/users/Rodzikhockey93" target="_blank">@Rodzikhockey93</a> <a href="/users/Turner33" target="_blank">@Turner33</a> <a href="/users/ricochetii" target="_blank">@ricochetii</a> <a href="/users/HotsamBatcho" target="_blank">@HotsamBatcho</a> <a href="/users/Luc3" target="_blank">@Luc3</a> <a href="/users/TMLSage" target="_blank">@TMLSage</a> <a href="/users/HallforHart" target="_blank">@HallforHart</a> <a href="/users/Missouri" target="_blank">@Missouri</a> <a href="/users/Daryl" target="_blank">@Daryl</a> <a href="/users/alwaysnextyear" target="_blank">@alwaysnextyear</a> <a href="/users/rangersandislesfan" target="_blank">@rangersandislesfan</a> <a href="/users/brenfox31" target="_blank">@brenfox31</a> <a href="/users/flamesfan419" target="_blank">@flamesfan419</a> <a href="/users/Max" target="_blank">@Max</a> <a href="/users/Icegirl" target="_blank">@Icegirl</a> <a href="/users/matt59" target="_blank">@matt59</a> <a href="/users/NateElder12" target="_blank">@NateElder12</a> <a href="/users/Gronk" target="_blank">@Gronk</a> <a href="/users/jmac490" target="_blank">@jmac490</a> <a href="/users/Pross" target="_blank">@Pross</a> <a href="/users/mhockey91" target="_blank">@mhockey91</a> <a href="/users/Mr_cap" target="_blank">@Mr_cap</a> <a href="/users/MacWinnon" target="_blank">@MacWinnon</a>

V3 PLAYOFFS

OK THIS IS AN ALL-CAPS POST BOYS AND GIRLS

TIME TO VOTE FOR YOUR ROUND 1 PLAYOFF WINNERS AND LOSERS

EACH GM CAN VOTE 1x ON EACH SERIES, <em>UNLESS YOUR ARE THE GM OF A TEAM INVOLVED IN THE SERIES, OR IF YOU OWN A 2019 FIRST ROUND PICK OF EITHER TEAM INVOLVED IN THE SERIES</em>. VOTING REQUIRES AN EMAIL AND ASKS FOR YOUR TEAM NAME, SO WE WILL BE CHECKING FOR COMPLIANCE WITH THIS RULE AS WE TALLY THE VOTES. CHEATING WILL BE DETECTED AND WILL VOID ALL OF THE VOTES THAT THE GUILTY PARTY TRIES TO PLACE ON ALL SERIES, SO PLEASE DON'T WASTE OUR TIME (OR YOURS).

EACH POLL SHOWS TEAM ROSTERS, REGULAR SEASON RANKINGS IN EACH SCORING CATEGORY (1 IS BEST, 31 IS WORST), AND WHAT I CALL "GOLF SCORE", WHICH IS THE OVERALL SUM OF THE CATEGORICAL RANKINGS (LIKE IN GOLF, LOW SCORE IS BETTER). IF YOU HAVE TROUBLE SEEING THE PICTURE IN THE POLL, EACH MATCHUP HAS A TAB IN THE SCORING SHEET (<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11kF_rV7vT8q2KNcwX3ClKLzQaQ_Mz9igZUNyAhbkT4w/edit?usp=sharing" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11kF_rV7vT8q2KNcwX3ClKLzQaQ_Mz9igZUNyAhbkT4w/edit?usp=sharing</a>)

LUCK AND HOME-ICE ARE ACCOUNTED FOR AFTER WE TALLY THE VOTES, SO PLEASE ONLY ACCOUNT FOR THE ROSTER QUALITY WHEN YOU CAST YOUR VOTES. ROSTERS ARE SHOWN AT THE TOP OF EACH POLL.

ONCE SUBMITTED, VOTES CAN NOT BE CHANGED. IF YOU MADE A MISTAKE, NOTIFY ME. IF YOU CHANGE YOUR MIND, DON'T NOTIFY ME, YOUR FIRST SUBMITTAL IS FINAL. SO IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT HOW TO VOTE, CONTACT ME BEFORE YOU SUBMIT YOUR VOTES!

VOTING WILL CLOSE AT MIDNIGHT EASTERN ON WEDNESDAY APRIL 17TH, 2019.

ROUND 1:

#1 STL VS #8 WPG <a href="https://forms.gle/PWN5pqVDGu8vdtmw6" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/PWN5pqVDGu8vdtmw6</a>

#4 DAL VS #5 EDM <a href="https://forms.gle/mxX19w1uQVfYjnCt7" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/mxX19w1uQVfYjnCt7</a>

#3 VGK VS #6 MIN <a href="https://forms.gle/JCRo3gUhE8FcayLc7" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/JCRo3gUhE8FcayLc7</a>

#2 VAN VS #7 NSH <a href="https://forms.gle/iiFePc6UxZcWnwNv5" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/iiFePc6UxZcWnwNv5</a>
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1 CBJ VS #8 WSH <a href="https://forms.gle/GD2aDjX2i47AeFyS6" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/GD2aDjX2i47AeFyS6</a>

#4 BOS VS #5 NYI <a href="https://forms.gle/qp4RDqh2xodRGSqm8" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/qp4RDqh2xodRGSqm8</a>

#3 TOR VS #6 CAR <a href="https://forms.gle/TirMJ4E9yfpG57gH8" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/TirMJ4E9yfpG57gH8</a>

#2 PHI VS #7 PIT <a href="https://forms.gle/bRzNpgrMvtdxTPQW7" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://forms.gle/bRzNpgrMvtdxTPQW7</a>