Jul 23, 2019
Tampa Bay Lightning
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Zwui21</b></div><div>You call these realistic projections...
5.25M for Cirelli is not a bridge, that's what he'll get on a long term deal. His comparable is probably Couturier who came into the league as an 18 year old, he signed a 2 year bridge at 1.75M 2.7% of the cap. 2.7% of a 82.5 cap is 2.25, so maybe you give Cirelli a bit more cause he produced a little more offense so you have 2.5M. Add a 3rd year of contract and you end up in the 3-3.3M ballpark.
For Cernak his comparables vary. You got a Nurse who got 3.2, then Pulock got 2, McCabe 1.6 and Petterson 875k. The first three got 2 year bridges while Petterson took a one year deal. Nurse was the 7th overall so got paid more for that than true production, the others were mid first to early mid 2nd. Cernak probably gets 1.9M for two years.
Sergachev is the one who will most likely clear 5M. McAvoy got 4.9 and Werenski got 5 so he's comparable to them. But definitely not 6.</div></div>
I think this is actually pretty close based on how Tampa does things, and not basing it on Toronto and other inflated contracts. I'd say Cirelli around 4, 4.5 max, Sergachev at 5 tops, could definitely see 4.5 or so and Cernak at 1.9 to 2.5 tops is about right. When Tampa gets them signed for ~11 million many will be shocked but not those of us who follow Tampa closely.