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Richard88
Member Since
Apr 18, 2020
Favourite Team
Colorado Avalanche
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6365
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Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 hours ago
Thread:
Hertl part 2 - 2020-21
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>papishark</b></div><div>You arent getting Hertl without Newhook + a first to start. Compher is a dump and not a small one, and Jost is booty. Kaut and Timmins arent bad but just depth pieces</div></div>
You're probably right about Newhook having to be included. It's the obvious piece to include, but I don't think Sakic would do it. His ELC is just too valuable to us as a contender. Moving him would also mean that we'd have to resign Hertl or Kadri in 2022 which would be super expensive with Mackinnon and Byram's raises coming up in 2023.
If you prefer Avs can add the 2022 1st as well instead of one of Kaut/Timmins. That would actually work better for Colorado as they could use those cheap ELC contracts now.
Compher might be a bad contract but some money would have to go SJ's way. You could change it to Donskoi if you prefer that.
Hertl ($1.125m retained) for Compher/Donskoi + 2021 1st + 2022 1st + Jost + Timmins/Kaut/Bowers. Feel free t mix it up if you like, everything is on the table except for Newhook.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 hours ago
Thread:
Hertl part 2 - 2020-21
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>You forgot to sign Ranta.</div></div>
I don't think he'll be in the NHL next season, but yes he needs to get signed. As do a few other guys too. Added them to the "signings" for you :hearteyes
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 hours ago
Thread:
Hertl
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rob32sjsharks</b></div><div>God damnit dude we are not trading Hertl!!
I’d doesn’t matter that your trade is very reasonable and logical and if I was GM I would at least consider this and maybe counter asking for your 22 1st instead.
I hate that our GM is to arrogant to look at the big picture and realize he needs to make better choices and start the rebuild.
This is fair and reasonable but the sharks in the end decline because A. Hertl is our biggest fan favorite and it would hurt ticket sales and marketing to let him go, and B Wilson thinks we can still be a cup contender.</div></div>
I'm sorry if I offended San Jose fans somehow by making this proposal. Has Wilson explicitly come out and said that Hertl isn't moving at any cost, or what makes you so adamant that he's not getting traded?
I was initially looking at San Jose as a potential destination for Compher if we were to move him, but then I realised that you'd need to move a contract to make it work. SJ's cap situation is pretty bad to say the least, with only $10.5m in space in the offseason and half a roster to fill. Something will have to give, and Hertl's contract looks like the easiest and most obvious to move given his soon-to-be UFA status.
That being the case I figured that 3 young NHLer's + Compher would be a decent way for San Jose to start to fill out their lineup with solid young players again to try to be competitive sooner rather than later, even if it costs them a 2C. They simply can't continue with this bottom 6 and D and expect to be competitive.
Wilson must by now surely be realising that San Jose don't have a hope of making the playoffs or doing any damage even if they got there and got to face Vegas or Colorado in round 1. San Jose need to kickstart a rebuild asap if they're going to have any hope of being competitive within the timeframe of Burns and Karlsson's contracts.
Regarding the 1st, is there a reason why you want it to be 2022 instead? Better draft and more scouted presumably? I don't really mind either way. Also happy to include both 1st's instead of one of Kaut/Timmins if you prefer that too.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 hours ago
Thread:
Hertl
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>Funny how the most seemingly straightforward moves have hidden ramifications. (Very well constructed trade, by the way, but I've come to expect that from you.)
If Erik Johnson waives his NMC for purposes of the expansion draft, no problem: you get to protect all of your forwards plus your three most valuable defensemen without further drama. (Of course, you'd have to acquire some cannon fodder to supply the necessary qualified forwards, but that shouldn't be too hard.). But if Johnson DOESN'T waive, you'd have some skillful maneuvering to do.
Edit: HAH! As I was typing, so were you.</div></div>
Thanks, I appreciate the feedback!
Erik Johnson knows he won't get taken by Seattle so he has no reason not to waive. But if he doesn't he'll force Sakic's hand and he'll get traded to one of the 19 teams on his trade list, or just simply bought out.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 hours ago
Thread:
Hertl
Looking ahead, in the offseason Newhook replaces Saad, and O'Connor and Bowers replace Bellemare and Calvert. Graves gets taken by Seattle and is replaced by a cheap UFA or via trade.
<strong>Expansion Draft protection (7+3+1)</strong>:
- Mackinnon, Rantanen, Landeskog, Hertl, Burakovsky, Kadri, Nichuskin
- Makar, Girard, Toews
- Grubauer
<strong>Exposed</strong>: Donskoi, O'Connor*, Graves, Johnson (waives NMC), Francouz
<em>* O'Connor needs to play another 22 of the next 41 games to reach the 27 game threshold to meet the criteria as one of the two forwards exposed, but he should easily reach that as 12th or 13th forward. If he doesn't then Nichuskin gets exposed instead.</em>
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
8 hours ago
Thread:
Paying the Price
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Twins1568</b></div><div>im no where nere from a Montreal fan, I'm here to see different opinion, and I like your answer more than a simple no</div></div>
Appreciate the effort! ;)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
getzlaf trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NMAvsFan</b></div><div>Getzlaf has said he won't do a trade. I doubt Calgary takes the oft-injured Calvert and Dries is no prize.</div></div>
I'm torn on Calvert. At first glance I think "no way!", but then I remember his injury record and him missing in the last two playoffs....
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
honestly these trades are fairly bad but what the hell
Avs say yes. Thanks for the cap help! :D
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
5 trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>justaBoss</b></div><div>Value's decent in all trades here, but I can't see CGY or NSH retaining long-term.</div></div>
You might be right, but if Calgary don't retain then Avs can't really afford it. Would rather add another asset than drop the retention.
Nashville, it's just 1 year, maybe Avs include a pick but I don't see that being a problem for them.
Thanks for your feedback!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
5 trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gmonwy</b></div><div>Can we get a replacement center instead of both those guys?</div></div>
You can have Compher in the trade if you'd like.
Alternatively I suppose you could have Bowers instead of Timmins/Kaut, though he's our only bottom 6 C prospect so that's not ideal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
DEADLINE SELLERS
I could see Sakic enquiring about Raanta, but would imagine that a team that needs a starter would outbid us. A 1st isn't unfair but I don't think Avs would pay that. Sakic never traded a 1st away btw.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
sellers tdl
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15a</b></div><div>Deal for COL, anything to banish Dries.</div></div>
I came here to say exactly this. Just give us anything so we never have to see Dries in the NHL again haha
Honestly though, there's nothing wrong with him, he's just Bednar's guy whenever we have bottom 6 injuries and need a callup C. He's fine in that role tbh, but I'd much rather see Bowers given a shot.
Nieto would be a nice cheap add for the Avs at the deadline, but I'm not sure we need it. This trade is easily a yes though value wise.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
sorta rebuild
Hjalmarsson has a full NTC and declined to move in the offseason. There were articles about the Avs being interested in him in October. He recently got divorced and doesn't want to move away from his kids, so I doubt he'd waive this time around.
If he did waive though I wouldn't mind if the Avs added him. We could probably do with another big bodied Dman who can kill penalties well. Fwiw I recently suggested a trade of Graves for Hjalmarsson (50%), but that's how I learned what I mentioned above.
The price on Raanta seems really good so I don't think Avs would decline that. However, we don't have many draft picks in the next 2 drafts so perhaps make one of the 3 picks a prospect instead?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Does Makar kill penalties
Makar is good defensively but Avs have other guys they'd rather have blocking shots with their ankles than him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Looking at Center Options
Avs decline. Strome's caphit next year doesn't fit into our cap structure. And even if it did we wouldn't want him, because he's terrible and not a 3C.
Not sure what you're saying about Nichuskin in your comment, but if you're implying that his value is similar to Pateryn you're gravely mistaken. Nichuskin has waaaaay higher value than Pateryn who's a glorified capdump really.
Appreciate the offer though, thanks.
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
10 hours ago
Thread:
Paying the Price
Where to begin....
Price is over the hill and one of the worst contracts in the league. Grubauer's stats are top 2-3 in the league in every category.
Drouin is not a good fit for Bednar as he requires ALL forwards to backcheck hard. Needless to say Drouin is the LAST player he would want on his team.
Danault is nice, but a pending UFA.
Landeskog will sign in Colorado, they already have a deal in place but just waiting for confirmation of what the cap ceiling next year will be before confirming it.
EJ's contract is bad but he has a NTC that allows him to exclude 11 teams. You can bet that Montreal (and all canadian teams) will be excluded as trade options.
Mete is just another body on the Avs. We don't need more LHD's, especially not small ones as we have Girard already who's pretty small.
Just awful all around.
Please Montreal fans stop with the Price to Colorado proposals, they're ridiculously bad and unrealistic. Nobody wants that contract. I wouldn't even take him at 50% retained at this point given the way he's trending.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Staal Montour Nemeth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>exo2769</b></div><div>Out of the box idea here. Go get Luke Glendening form DET. I think he's one of the more under-rated TDL acquisitions of the year...whomever gets him. He's completely dominating his face offs at 68%. he's their #1 PK guy, and he's on a bad team with 65% Dzone starts. His stats are going to look bad when he always gets put in bad positions.
***EDIT*** this is coming from a guy that really dislikes DET.</div></div>
That's a nice idea, but Avs already have a 4C who's great at PK faceoffs, as Bellemare is winning 65% on the PK this year. Glendenning is also only 55% on PK draws this year and was 50.62% last season so there's not really an incentive to make a trade just for PK faceoffs.
Landeskog is also winning over 60% of his draws this year (he often takes them instead of Mackinnon), and Kadri is over 50% in all situations and over 60% on the PP.
Avs need a playdriving 3C who's decent at faceoffs should help the PK as well. Glendenning isn't really the level of player we need for that role.
I could certainly see a contender who lack a 4C faceoff guy being interested though, it just won't be the Avs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Staal Montour Nemeth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>I like your posts and how you are willing to listen to other comments.
I do not say that so you will accept my input only that you are very reasonable.
Here's the deal, both Little and Shibball hated Botterill so any player he picked up is worthless than a bucket of spit.
In fact Montour has and is playing well.
Two years age after being traded to Buffalo he was the Sabres best defenseman for the final 20 games of the season.
Last year only Ristolainen played more minutes per game than he and this year only Dahlin and Ristolainen play more than he. Plus he had the best +/- of all skaters last season.
This year of all defensemen he has the highest 5 on 5 SV%
While Staal for Compher may be a close deal (what is up with J.T. this year) Montour for Graves is not even close.</div></div>
Thanks, it's nice to hear some positive feedback. Much appreciated! :)
I was actually just looking closer at Montour's advanced stats to try to get a better picture. Here's a post I made on the Hfboards Avs trade thread about him if you're interested: https://hfboards.mandatory.com/posts/176115712/
I agree with what you're saying about Montour. It seems to me that he's been a bit of a victim of circumstance, having to always play LD or with crap D partners (eg. Irwin). When he's been paired with McCabe or Dahlin he's done pretty well statistically. But then again that would be expected as Dahlin and McCabe are far more solid than other guys on that team, though his pairing with Dahlin and McCabe has outperformed most other pairings, like Dahlin-Miller for example.
Montour is the sort of Dman that needs to have a good coach to succeed; a coach who can identify his strengths and play to them. He's not an offensive Dman or PPQB, but what he is elite at is getting the puck from the DZ to the OZ. He also needs to have permission to rush the puck, which is somethng not all coaches like. Barrie for example went from a 60 point Dman in Colorado to a disaster in Babcock's team because Babcock didn't want any puckrushing.
If the team that acquires him knows what they're doing it could end up being a really nice cheap deal for them. 40 point puck-rushing Dmen don't grow on trees after all.
That said, to be balanced I think it's fair to say that Montour's defensive zone play is pretty bad. The Avs D system is also built around stopping zone entries with Dmen who step up at the line and forwards that backcheck hard, and that isn't exactly Montour's strong suit, so I could see some trepidation in acquiring him, at least from the Avs perspective. We've also got 4 puckmoving Dmen who aren't the biggest guys, so I think Sakic would be more likely to try to acquire more of a shutdown type to bolster our 3rd pairing rather than a puckrushing Dman. Would be pretty fun if we did add Montour though, and would allow us to explore options to trade Timmins for a good middle 6 C in a separate trade.
Regarding Compher, the way he's playing is really weird. I mean there's just very little engagement, just a guy doing a whole lot of nothing. It's weird to see, because we all know how he can play. Before he signed that contract he was a tenacious puck hound playing full of energy and getting to dirty areas and scoring some nice goals around the net; but that's all gone this year. Judging by TOI last game (he played 5:50 in the first 2 periods, and then got 5 minutes in the 3rd when the game was basically over already) he seems to be on a short leash. O'Connor has come in and played really well, so if he doesn't up his game he could be on his way out of the lineup pretty soon.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
TDL going for it all
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>Buffalo fans ask would Eakin and Hutton fill those needs and please make an offer if you think they would work?
Do you think Sakic would have an interest in Staal, if yes please make an offer for him as well.
EDIT:
Let me add, Krueger seems to make every player underperform, regardless Eakin has been a great FO center.</div></div>
Eakin is more of a 4C, or low-end 3C. I think Avs need a bit more than that.
Staal would be of interest presuming that he hasn't completely fallen off a cliff. Offer would be Compher or a 3rd.
Hutton maybe, but would be pretty low on the list of targets. It's been suggested before on here by Buffalo fans who agreed on Hutton (50% retained) for a 4th.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Revamped bottom six
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NMAvsFan</b></div><div>My move if I were Joe would be to work a trade for Staal, giving the coaching staff the chance to put pieces around him to find what works with a veteran center. It would be great to move out one of Donny or JTC but I don't know. I think you'd almost have to give the pick in order for them to take him but, as mentioned, they may not be able to protect Compher but they also may not want to - if he gets picked, so what? I keep coming back to the Avs needing that 3C situation to improve before they can do much else.</div></div>
If we're paying a 3rd + prospect sort of price for Staal there's a case for going all-in and just doing Compher+1st instead. The difference between a late 1st and 3rd + prospect might not even be that great given that this draft class is considered weak and also underscouted.
I agree with your last point about a 3C. The moves I've suggested for Iafallo and Jarnkrok have always been in conjuction with adding a 3C, rather than being the only additions. Avs 100% need a 3C.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Revamped bottom six
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wojme</b></div><div>Arttu is already in Rochester playing top line minutes in the ahl.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabres923</b></div><div>He has played in 216 Liga games. He’s playing in the AHL now. And is wasting his time. His defense has been really good too. Hopefully they can see him in NHL action this year.</div></div>
Ah sorry, his capfriendly page didn't include AHL stats so I overlooked that. Thanks for clarifying. That makes a lot more sense that he could be an option next season if he's in the AHL now, especially if he gets a callup at some stage and does well.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Revamped bottom six
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Anus_McLeod</b></div><div>That's the tricky part. It probably takes a sweetener better than Kamenev, but I put him in since they drafted him.
Logic for them would be to still try and be competitive while also rebuilding a bit. Otherwise maybe a guy like Forsberg bails. Whether that logic is sound is questionable but that is my thought process.</div></div>
That's reasonable. They'd probably bite if you offered Donskoi + 3rd I think. They're unlikely to be a very attractive destination for free agents the next couple of years if they're rebuilding, so swapping Janrkrok for a guy with a little extra term might work if they also get that futures piece in the form of a pick.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 hours ago
Thread:
Revamped bottom six
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabres923</b></div><div>Colorado can have Staal for just the 3rd. They already have a 3c probably for next year in Arttu Ruotsalainen.</div></div>
Don't you think it's a little ambitious to expect a 23 year old 'prospect' with zero experience in North America to just slide into a 3C role?
Buffalo made a similar mistake by moving O'Reilly thinking that Mittelstadt could replace him and that didn't work out great.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 hours ago
Thread:
Revamped bottom six
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Anus_McLeod</b></div><div>Richard88
How I picture it.</div></div>
Interesting idea.
Why would Nashville do that trade though? Jarnkrok costs half as much as Donskoi and produces basically the same amount of offense. If they move Jarnkrok it's because they're commiting to a rebuild, and Donskoi does nothing for them. Jost is young enough to fit a rebuild though so makes a lot more sense for them.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 hours ago
Thread:
Jarnkrok Staal Stolarz
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Anus_McLeod</b></div><div>I hear the points but still feel there is a redundancy factor. Donskoi is already the guy who moves up when needed. Nichushkin can as well.
I would trade Compher or Donskoi for Jarnkrok. If something like that works or if they can get him for futures and then move one of those guys in a different trade then great. Keep Nichushkin and Jost though.</div></div>
I prefer having redundancy in 3rd line forwards who can move up, rather than redundancy in defensive 4th line forwards who can move up to the 3rd line. Neither Nichuskin or Jost can move up to the 2nd line and offer an adequate level of offense.
The lack of bottom 6 scoring this season is also a big issue. Apart from Donskoi our bottom 6 have 6 points at 5v5 between them which is unnacceptably bad.
Jost is a fine 4th liner, but if we're looking to add scoring to the bottom 6 then something has to give, and he (and Compher) are the obvious guys to move. Upgrading on him and moving Compher out would also open up a spot on the 4th line for O'Connor, Kaut, Bowers, etc.
Note that I wouldn't be in favour of moving Jost just for the sake of it as he's a very useful role player to have on the team. But in the right trade I think you do it. Jarnkrok (50%) is one you do imo.
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