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jnowariak

Member Since
Aug 26, 2020
Favourite Team
Minnesota Wild
Forum Posts
1765
Posts per Day
7.42
Forum Threads
65
Forum: Armchair-GM12 hours ago
Thread: Next Year Assuming Toews is Done
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>I generally post ideas for conversation. In the case of Landeskog he likely isn't going anywhere and I get that. In the case of Lindholm, 75% he is leaving Anaheim and widely discussed by the professional analysts as players likely to be traded in the offseason or TDL next year. As a 1 year rental, for a guy that's not a superstar in flat cap world, it is my opinion and echoing what i saw on The Athletic, Anaheim doesn't get more then a mid 1st and 3rd rounder or the equivalent. All I am doing is translating that into young players that can help rebuild a bottom feeder organization that is in a complete rebuild and addressing their needs as such with a top 6 center and bottom 6 defensive center both of which Anaheim needs.

Happy to consider your perspective but you've not added any real concrete examples or logic or reasoning and instead have simply saying Anaheim will re-sign Lindholm or be traded for more. Why? Any examples? Why would Lindholm stay? Why would they re-sign a guy going on 29 years old to a long term deal when they are going to be the youngest team in the league? What do you think Lindholm is worth for a 1 year rental?

Healthy debates and discussions are just that, healthy and gives two people the opportunity to understand different perspectives. However, just saying "no" or "not enough" or "he will re-sign" is unsubstantiated opinion with no logic or reasoning which too many people on forums in general do and why Capfriendly specifically has rules try to enforce a healthy discussion or debate with logic and reasoning and avoid this. As a longer term member and active one, we encourage discussion and different perspectives supported by sound logic and reasoning not just "no" or "won't happen". You don't have to agree with another person's perspective but don't say "anaheim won't consider" and be dismissive of a person's perspective without explaining yourself...it's frankly lazy and worse yet not worth your time in responding to people if someone is willing to engage with logic, reasoning, and examples to support it.</div></div>

That’s precisely what I’m doing, discussing. Like I said previously, ANA probably wants to resign him and probably wants draft capital. None of that implies Lindholm will resign but rather that the Ducks want him to resign. That’s what matters in a trade, the team’s objectives.

I think the Ducks will want to resign one of Lindholm or Manson and Id rather have Lindholm. Pair him with Drysdale as he develops but the Ducks should be getting better sooner rather than later but I don’t think Strome is under team control (3 more seasons) until that time so this is kind of a waste of assets for ANA. And I’m high on Strome, I’d like to work out a deal to swap him and Greenway from MIN.
Forum: Armchair-GM17 hours ago
Thread: Next Year Assuming Toews is Done
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>It's not about what makes anaheim better or not next season. Anaheim is in a big rebuild and knowing Lindholm probably isn't staying, they need to cash in their chips and get some young assets or maybe they can pull a top 10 draft pick. Obviously Strome turned 24 in February and is a RFA on a very affordable contract and provides a much needed center for Anaheim. So you get Strome his entire career or Lindholm for 1 year...I think the answer is obvious. Don 't forget Kampf who is a very solid 4th line defensive center.

You are assuming Lindholm will re-sign with a team that is bottom of the league and plays to a stadium that usually isn't near capacity and fans come to support other teams moreso then bigger markets like Toronto, NY, Chicago, etc. I'm willing to bet, I'm sure a lot of others are as well, (it's even been talked about on The Athletic) Lindholm will not sign in Anaheim when you have teams like Chicago with just as much cap space and much much deeper pockets to dig into that cap space. He likely goes somewhere that pays him as much or more on a bigger stage with better fans and a better organization or he goes to a cup contender. He's on his last big contract of his career so this one is his opportunity to go pretty much wherever he wants and Anaheim isn't exactly on the top of most hockey player's lists.

Maybe he's laid down his roots though in Orange County and loves it. Maybe he has a beautiful home close to the ocean such as Newport and makes the slug fighting traffic to the stadium for games....for those that don't know, the traffic is a nightmare from West Orange County to East where the Stadium is. Who knows, but I'm still betting he's chasing a cup or a bigger pay day in a bigger hockey town.</div></div>

You have an interesting way of projecting your wants and desires onto this situation. I’ll stop here by saying it’s doubtful ANA seriously considers that.
Forum: Armchair-GMTue at 12:16 am
Thread: Next Year Assuming Toews is Done
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>I'm sure Anaheim would love to sign him and probably have had some extension talks but why would Lindholm want to stay? Have you ever been to anaheim to watch a game? Not exactly a hockey player's dream not to mention they are at the bottom of the league.

That said, a mid 1st and 3rd which I would argue Strome and Kampf are even slightly more valuable then that, is a very good return for a 1 year rental. Why would the Hawks do it? Players rarely leave Chicago on their own given the big stage, die hard hockey city, and awesome facilities and staff.</div></div>

Thing is ANA probably wants a 1st, not the trade equivalent, as the starting point. I think Strome is a bit underrated for what he brings and his lack of foot speed gives him a bad rap. But I just don’t see how swapping him for Lindholm makes them better. Lindholm is the better player.

And as for resigning, I have zero clue what it’s like to play in ANA. But I do know that if somebody offers me 30 mil to stay there for the next couple years, I’m probably gonna do it.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 11:28 am
Thread: Deans cheatsheet
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OutCold13</b></div><div>I didn't take it as hate. So if I came off as defensive then I'm sorry. I just post crap like this for the value of discussion. Sometimes it's just a good idea to talk to people and see what their take is on it.
Also I agree Kaprizov is the spark plug for Zuccarello and I wouldn't mind if Greenway went to the 3rd line in this scenario and the top line would be Zuccarello/EK/Kaprizov just to see how it worked. That 3rd line would be a pretty good checking line in that case.</div></div>

Cool, glad we’re on the same page there.

I’m on of those guys that think JEE is a 3C. Would he score more with KK and Zucc? Yes, but that due to KK and Zucc rather than JEE. I think you maximize his value by exploiting his possession abilities to shut down the other team. I also don’t see Greenway as a driver one way or the other, so putting those two on a line with KK just feels like rewarding them with counting stats that they didn’t drive rather than maximizing value for the team.

Go over to natural stat trick and take a look at their line tool in regards to Greenway and you’ll see where I’m coming from.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 10:41 am
Thread: Deans cheatsheet
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OutCold13</b></div><div>Line one is a line Dean went to early in the year and both Kaprizov and Ek took off not to mention Greenway was his most engaged self during that time. Then Dean did some tinkering and the lettuce line was great but has since gone stagnant mostly because it's always looking to make the extra pass.
Rask has been ok this year but he has been guilty of far too many turnovers for what his production warrants.
Sturm is a bottom 6 guy but so are the majority of the Wild centers. Hartman to me seems like the ideal 3C right now brings some offense and lots of grit. Zuccarello isn't a checking line guy but since Dean doesn't line match a ton Wild don't necessarily need a defacto checking line. I think these lines work best for most teams Wild play. I should say in the case of when the Wild play Colorado I think dean needs to adjust. Line match Foligno/Ek/Greenway vs the Mackinnon line and then put the lettuce line back together line 3 in that case would probably be mojo/Hartman/Fiala and the 4th line back to Parise/Sturm/Bonino.</div></div>

I’m in the same boat that KK lifts JEE and Greener. He also lifts Zucc, so we’re damned if we do, damned if we don’t. I’m also in total agreement with you about Hartman, he’s got good 3C vibes but I think he’s a stealth pick to play wing opposite Fiala once we get a more offensive C given his defensive inclinations.

Anyway, didn’t mean to hate on your idea so much as discuss the lineup. I def come across the wrong way sometimes.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 9:54 am
Thread: Deans cheatsheet
I think you’re unintentionally messing with the 2 best lines we’ve had all year for the sole purpose of getting Rask out of the lineup. I don’t think anything is wrong with your line 1 but I don’t think it’s going to put up as numbers as big as the current Zucc/KK line. Line 3 completely removes the dominant possession line with JEE/Greener/Foligno by putting Zuccarello there, he’s not a checker. The other thing is Sturm is a checking line guy, but I think he has 3C potential. He’s not an offense generator and having a fast line is probably more important for a checking line. Hartman can skate with those guys, has enough of a creation mindset and plays the two way role the Fiala line needs.

And now my hot take. Rask isn’t great, but he’s not as bad as everyone makes him out to be. He has better offensive creation instincts than most others on the team, even if he thinks the game the way he skates it. Those instincts coupled with KK ability actually make him usable in a top 6 role on this team.

I also love that your lineup works, even if it’s not the best in my eyes. It speaks to the depth we have and the luxury of being able to “play Rask out.” Which I think will happen next year.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 9:29 am
Thread: would this work READ DESCRIPTION
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Salzy</b></div><div>100% agree with you. But I would argue since they overdrafted him that makes it even less likely they move him so soon after picking him.

If he was being shopped I could see so many teams lining up for him, to the point this offer doesnt even get looked at (Even though it already doesnt get considered). Minny, Buffalo, Detroit, Anaheim, San Jose, Edmonton, Toronto, Columbus, I could probably list 25 teams that would be kicking the tires on Hayton, and no doubt in my mind at minimum 10 teams offer a package with the value of a first rounder +

Minny does seem like almost a perfect fit though</div></div>

Totally agree about holding on to him to save face. The big change is that Armstrong is a scout and if he can get picks, I think that’s worth more to him than facing constant scrutiny about that one reach pick that isn’t doing what they want. I don’t think MIN gives up a 1st outright for him but a pick swap situation might be in the cards as part of a larger package. They have 2 firsts now and I fully expect them to gain a 3rd after the Dumba trade.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon at 9:15 am
Thread: would this work READ DESCRIPTION
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Salzy</b></div><div>Why does ARI sell low on Hayton? Think about that, especially a team that needs good young centres, hes still 20, his value realistically hasnt dropped at all since he was drafted 5th overall, sure it hasnt gone up but it has not dropped.

Calling Hayton a bottom 6 guy is just trying to justify paying next to nothing for him</div></div>

Hayton should not have been drafted 5, let’s start with that premise. If the yotes had drafted him at say 15, are we even having this conversation? Probably not and the OP doesn’t even know who Hayton is in that scenario.

I’d like to see the Wild build a package for him, I’m thinking Menell and Khovanov as the base since I think there is something there. But it does need to be recognized that his performance has lagged behind where you want a first round pick to be. I am not fond of how the yotes have developed prospects in the past which is why I want to get him out. But your point about needing to get real value for him is important to recognize.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 11:46 am
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>flyersarephilly</b></div><div>I agree that two games is a small sample size looking back at Frost's first two games it looked like he was going to fit in perfectly with his nice goal on Bobrovsky. But when Allison was drafted he was always the game who had a plus shot was bigger and more of a power forward. Right now this team lacks a shoot first power forward type and has plenty of playmakers in an ideal world I would rather keep both Frost and Allison as I think they both will have solid NHL careers I just think Frost is the more valuable piece for teams outside of the organization I don't see either of G or Coots leaving after next season so Allison who's a winger just fit better in the long term plan IMO especially since they seem to refuse to try Frost at wing.</div></div>

That definitely makes sense. Giroux will likely move to the wing sooner or later but he’s still gonna be a top 6 guy for some time. Obviously they’d like to keep Frost but he plays a fast transition game that should fit with Fiala, both guys are fast and creative and I like that combo with a two way winger. I know Frost has a small sample size as well but over his 20 games, his possession metrics are as you expect and that’s a big plus for me.

FWIW, the NHL needs more guys like Allison. That water bottle pic is amazing, you add Dumba to that room and people will be having fun.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 6:33 pm
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wabit</b></div><div>I don't have a high opinion of MN's new head scout, and I've not been a fan of MNs scouting staff in the past.

Hype matters more this draft than in any in recent history. There are a bunch of kids where past hype is all they'll have to go on to get drafted this year. The 1st round is going to be littered with guys that "should" be taken in the 2nd/3rd rounds simply because they can play this year while others can't.

The CHL isn't fully up and running, and I'm not sure if they allow fans/scouts to watch the games that are happening. Lots of US high schoolers lost some/all of their seasons.</div></div>

Fair criticism of the scouting staff, I know Brackett had the Gm over his shoulder on draft day so I’ll give it some time.

As for the idea that hype is important, drafting on hype will lead you down the wrong road. All leagues other than the OHL have played meaningful seasons and none of those guys were projected top of the 1st round after last season. If an NHL team can’t get its hands on game film then that scouting staff has utterly failed. I get that not being able to scout in person is a detriment but the league has started going to more emphasis on video scouting in the past years. A successful draft means you get a couple NHL players, the things you listed are just excuses hockey men will use when they draft dud after dud this year.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 6:16 pm
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>C21</b></div><div>I think you're right. This year's class is so unpredictable. It is a weaker class imo, not necessarily based on the prospect's potentials, but rather their production. And that's not even taking Covid into account making this draft even more unpredictable

And yes, Wallstedt is super attractive. The first guy I thought of when looking at that pick, quickly followed by Chaz Lucius who could still be an option even without Philly's pick depending on how the board falls

Heck, Kent Johnson (among many others) could still be there at Philly's pick</div></div>

This is the reason why you want this year’s 15 over next year’s 20. There is a greater chance that your guy falls to you and he’s probably a “better” prospect as well. It is a weaker draft class but that’s not to say that top 6 and top 4 guys won’t be available mid-late 1st. Trust your staff and see what happens. Just don’t draft Zobril and Senyschyn when Barzal and Conner are on the table.

I’d be very happy with any of the names mentioned and I’d throw Sillinger into that mix as well.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 5:57 pm
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>Just for the record, I have the counter-intuitive (to the point of weird) theory that any pick after #10 in this year's draft is better than any pick after #10 in next year's draft, because the chance of hitting a "blind" home run in this year's under-scouted and under-exposed draft is greater than the chance of doing so next year.</div></div>

I don’t think the cliff comes that soon, I’d think it starts after the 3rd round. I would bet lots of teams are going to draft for certainty earlier in the draft and the fact that the OHL isn’t gonna play means that those guys are just gonna fall, overagers might rise at their expense. What SJS and DET did by brokering the trades will probably net them a middle 6 guy or two with upside.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 5:35 pm
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wabit</b></div><div>I'm still not sure how much depth PHI does have down the middle.
-Giroux and Couts are both rentals next year. I think Couts re-signs for big money. Not sure what is going to happen with Giroux.
-Patrick hasn't really done much.
-They have some nice prospects, but they haven't really had their NHL chances yet.</div></div>

I think it’s fair to still be skeptical of the C prospects, if I’m not mistaken you’re a critic yourself which is fair enough. I do think there is top 6 ability in Frost right now, his injury didn’t do him any favors.

Patrick can still be a middle 6 C, possibly more if he finds his mojo. I have to assume the lock up Coots and they also have Hayes locked up. Couple that with the fact that Giroux is still a pt per game player and I’d argue they have depth. Even if it isn’t the youngest.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 4:49 pm
Thread: How Does This Feel Wild Fans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>Thanks for the thoughtful and knowledgeable input. A bright Philly guy made the Frost and first proposal and I was advancing an alternative, but given Minnesota's need at center, I think that he and you are right.</div></div>

I don’t fault PHI for not making a move this last off-season but it was a risk. PHI does have depth down the middle and now we know they NEED a top pair RHD. I think they’re willing to part with one of those guys, especially after the Patrick rumors right before the deadline.

What does change my thinking is where PHI is going to pick this year. Does a 2nd and a 1st swap work? I really think Dumba will be protected in expansion and moved after. He’s more valuable once teams know what their roster looks like and I bet WPG is really wishing they didn’t play so hard to get this past offseason. There will be teams that want him and his remaining term is probably attractive even if the cap hit isn’t.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 3:44 pm
Thread: Wild and Coyote Fans How Does This Feel
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TanSor</b></div><div>I'd be fine with a 1 for 1 but if Arizona wants anything more I'd pass personally. I like Schmaltz but ultimately he's a 2C on a contender and this is a high price to pay for a 2C in my opinion.

In general, I agree with you, Arizona is a great trading partner for Dumba.</div></div>

I don’t mind Schmaltz on the face of it but I think people get a bit dazzled by his speed that is probably best utilized on the wing. Couple that with the fact that we actually extend our salary commitment on him and I really need more convincing.

I’d probably do Hayton and a 1st from ARI, but that’s probably a non starter since their farm system is so bad they need the pick and I don’t know any other assets they’d be willing to part with.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 3:39 pm