Bargain Hunting

Created by: Zubrowka
Initial Creation Date: Apr 23, 2019
Published: Apr 24, 2019 at 2:16
Team: 2019-20 Philadelphia Flyers
Legend
Lefthanded
Original Team
Righthanded
Position
No Move/Trade Clause
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Edmonton Oilers
McDavid, Connor
$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Team Explanation
Hayes' value is more about his fit in this lineup, rather than his individual skill. He enables the Flyers to trot out their most dominant top line, while getting TK and JVR a suitable two way player to solidify that 2nd line for depth scoring. Fletcher, Gordon and AV have all cited 2C as an immediate need for this team. They are signaling an intent to win now, and will not wait on a prospect to mature into the role. If you have to pay a little more cap than is ideal because it's UFA, fine. That's what all that cap savings is for anyway. The goaltending was a bigger headline as usual, but what the Flyers did last off-season at center, or actually didn't do, was just as fatal. Given Hayes' 4th line usage under Winnipeg, familiarity with coach AV, and Northeast background (Boston), he may well come to Philly at an attractive enough price.

Many have observed that a Raffl-Laughton-Hartman 4th line would enable the team to wear down opponents with 4 effective lines. Well, to do that requires the 3rd line wing to be filled. It may well be a prospect who takes the reins, but the Flyers won't count on it after getting burned with that strategy at 2C. No, they will want another option with experience and potential synergy.
Enter the much maligned Valeri Nichushkin. There's a lot to like about a power forward with great hands and everything to prove on the last year of an RFA deal, but there's also a lot to hate, like his 0 goals in 2018-2019 and the fallout with Lindy Ruff that resulted in a voluntary 2 year exodus to Russia.

Those are also the reasons why Nichushkin will come cheap to any taker. If you're Dallas, you gladly discharge nearly 3 mil of cap to ensure you can re-sign Zuccarello. If you're Philly, you take a chance at a mid round draft pick price on a player who could pot 20 goals or will crash out of the league with 0.

Why Nuke rather than a more veteran UFA? Well, longer term commitments and higher cap become problematic and Hayes will already be a significant spend. With Nuke, the system remains stocked as no prospects are lost and you get an intriguing option whose failures have been on a team that had virtually no depth scoring until it acquired Zuccarello. It's not as if Nuke failed on a team with any depth; it has been the opposite. He may be an effective complementary winger, as he was when paired with Seguin and/or Benn. With an aging Spezza, however, it didn't work. With a checking line role alongside Radek Faksa, it also didn't work. To be fair to Nuke, no one has scored well with those 2 centers, and with Faksa, Nuke was being asked to adopt a defense first mentality and did so. With Patrick and Lindblom, Nuke adds offensive elements to the line by driving the net on the rush and firing shots off of drop passes or down low tick tack toe plays. There are no doubt options that seem more like a sure thing, but always at a much higher price and not with the flexibility and motivation of a contract year pending RFA power forward.

What say you? Is Hayes the solution at 2C? Is a buy-low gamble on Nuke crazy like a madman or sly like a fox?
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Provorov, Ivan8$6,250,000
Bailey, Justin1$750,000
Aubé-Kubel, Nicolas1$750,000
Sanheim, Travis8$4,375,000
Laughton, Scott6$2,500,000
Hartman, Ryan2$2,000,000
Konecny, Travis5$4,200,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Talbot, Cam2$2,000,000
Hayes, Kevin4$6,250,000
Trades
PHI
  1. Nichushkin, Valeri
DAL
  1. 2020 4th round pick (NSH)
Buyouts
  • Ilya Bryzgalov: $0
Retained Salary Transactions
  • Radko Gudas: $1,005,000 (30%)
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2019
PHI
PHI
NJD
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
ARI
PHI
MTL
2020
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
2021
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
24$83,000,000$79,529,721$0$3,065,000$3,470,279
Left WingCenterRight Wing
PHI
Giroux, Claude
$8,275,000
LW, C, RW
NMC
UFA - 3
PHI
Couturier, Sean
$4,333,333
C
UFA - 3
PHI
Voracek, Jakub
$8,250,000
RW
UFA - 5
PHI
van Riemsdyk, James
$7,000,000
LW
UFA - 4
Hayes, Kevin
$6,250,000
C
NMC
UFA - 7
PHI
Konecny, Travis
$4,200,000
RW, LW
UFA - 6
PHI
Lindblom, Oskar
$925,000
LW
RFA - 1
PHI
Patrick, Nolan
$925,000
C, RW
RFA - 1
DAL
Nichushkin, Valeri
$2,950,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1
PHI
Raffl, Michael
$1,600,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
PHI
Laughton, Scott
$2,500,000
C
UFA - 2
DAL
Nichushkin, Valeri
$850,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1
PHI
Hartman, Ryan
$2,000,000
LW, RW
RFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
PHI
Provorov, Ivan
$6,250,000
LD
UFA - 6
PHI
Gostisbehere, Shayne
$4,500,000
LD
UFA - 4
PHI
Hart, Carter
$730,833
G
RFA - 2
PHI
Sanheim, Travis
$4,375,000
RD
RFA - 2
PHI
Gudas, Radko
$2,345,000
RD
UFA - 1
PHI
Talbot, Cam
$2,000,000
G
UFA - 1
PHI
Morin, Samuel
$700,000
LD
RFA - 2
PHI
Myers, Philippe
$678,889
RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
PHI
MacDonald, Andrew
$5,000,000
RD
UFA - 1
PHI
Hägg, Robert
$1,150,000
LD
RFA - 1
PHI
Bunnaman, Connor
$736,666
C
RFA - 2

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Top Comments

Apr 24, 2019 at 2:20
#1
luketd
Joined: Apr 2019
Posts: 61
Likes: 16
I like the idea, dont know much about Nichu to talk about him. I think Hayes is our best bet at 2C, The only gripe I have with this is the contract lengths. I think Sanhiem will get 3-4 seasons as a bridge deal, and Laughton would get 2-3 seasons as well.
Apr 24, 2019 at 2:22
#2
Joined: Jul 2016
Posts: 11,073
Likes: 2,163
I would rather play Frost or anyone over Nuchuskin. The guy can't even make the Stars lineup and they are by no means deep.
Apr 24, 2019 at 2:27
#3
Joined: Apr 2019
Posts: 18
Likes: 3
I like the idea with Nichushkin if you can get him that cheap (probably yes). Only one year is low risk.
Offense looks realy good but on D, depthwise is not much there, so they should sign someone who can play 5/6.
Apr 24, 2019 at 2:45
#4
Joined: Aug 2016
Posts: 248
Likes: 85
Edited Apr 24, 2019 at 2:52
Quoting: luketd
I like the idea, dont know much about Nichu to talk about him. I think Hayes is our best bet at 2C, The only gripe I have with this is the contract lengths. I think Sanhiem will get 3-4 seasons as a bridge deal, and Laughton would get 2-3 seasons as well.

Fair enough. They are just what I would push for if I was negotiating. I have no record of success predicting contract outcomes. Fletch being new here makes it even harder.

Quoting: DirtyDangles
I would rather play Frost or anyone over Nuchuskin. The guy can't even make the Stars lineup and they are by no means deep.

That may well be the outcome, and that's fine if Frosty is ready to roll. My prediction is they will make a move to give themselves a low commitment option (in term & resources for acquisition) before promoting a prospect into the role. Bear in mind we acquired Hartman via Simmonds in large part b/c Hartman fell out of favor with Lavy (and I armchair-GM predicted that one correctly) and was under-performing his earlier career totals. That is also the case with Nuke and Montgomery. The guy started him on the checking line, so imo Nuke was not put in a position to succeed this year. The depth point, I think it goes the other way. No one is arguing Nuke is a playmaker that can carry a line. I'm arguing he is a power forward complement, but to succeed needs playmaking elsewhere on the line (hence the potential fit with Lindblom & Patrick). Dallas did not have that, at all below their top line, not until Zucc and Hintz hooked up. I'd defer to Dallas fans if they think I am off-base with this.

Quoting: flatimir
I like the idea with Nichushkin if you can get him that cheap (probably yes). Only one year is low risk.
Offense looks realy good but on D, depthwise is not much there, so they should sign someone who can play 5/6.

Yeah, I agree for the most part. I left D unaddressed because I see the options as all too expensive. My bet is the Flyers are more likely to make a deal at the deadline if they still feel they could use an upgrade and the team otherwise has come together really well. Edit: To add, when Fletch listed 5 of our D positively in the AV press conference, I thought that signaled they had conferred and may be mostly content with the D. Just an inference there, but we'll see. It sounded like a far, far lower priority than 2C.

Edit: Thanks for the feedback, all.
Apr 24, 2019 at 3:21
#5
Ragsandbluesfan
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 10,671
Likes: 2,255
The yotes 6th and habs 7th is probably enough for nuke and hayes and talbot will get more
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