Looking long-term drafting and developing well

Created by: KentMcNally

Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens

Initial Creation Date: Jun. 21, 2023

Published: Jun. 21, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Legend

Left Handed

Original Team

Waivers Exempt

Right Handed

Position

Trade Clause

Max Perf. Bonus

Expiry Status

Term Remaining

McDavid, Connor

$12,500,000 ( Performance Bonus

$250,000)

NMC

UFA - 5

Description

So the top 2 lines could be set if Slafkovsky and Michkov develop well, which should not be too much to ask.
Then the third line can be 3 of the following:
Roy Farrell Mesar RHP or Free Agents
The 4th line is made up of the remaining guys (Evans, Pezzetta, Davidson, Rohrer, Tuch, Ylonen, Heinemann, Mysak, Kapanen),
Montreal's top 4 on defence can be Guhle, Hutson, Barron, Mailloux.
The third pairing can be Harris or Xhekaj.
Montreal drafts a goalie (hopefully Hrabal) in the 2nd round this year.
Montreal uses their first round picks in 2024, 2025 (Montreal and Calgary) and 2026 to fill holes in the roster.
The success will depend on drafting and developing well, but if they can develop Hutson. Mailloux and Hrabal at the very least there could be a recipe for success.

No crazy trades necessary (which I enjoy making, but still)

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST	YEARS	CAP HIT
Davidson, Jared	3	$975,000
Engström, Adam	3	$975,000
Hutson, Lane	3	$975,000
Kapanen, Oliver	3	$975,000
Rohrer, Vinzenz	3	$975,000
Tuch, Luke	3	$975,000

RFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël		3	$2,700,000
Ylönen, Jesse		3	$2,000,000

CREATED	YEARS	CAP HIT
Dubois, Pierre-Luc	8	$8,250,000
Michkov, Matvei	3	$975,000
Hrabal, Michael	3	$975,000

Trades

MTL

Dubois, Pierre-Luc [RFA Rights]

WPG

Beck, Owen
Kidney, Riley
Struble, Jayden
2023 1st round pick (FLA)
2024 2nd round pick (COL)
2025 2nd round pick (MTL)

Additional Details:

This will seem like a lot, according to some Habs fans, not enough according to some Jets fans

Buyouts

Karl Alzner: $833,333

Buried

Jake Allen: $775,000 ($1,925,000)
David Savard: $2,350,000 ($3,500,000)
Josh Anderson: $4,350,000 ($5,500,000)
Christian Dvorak: $3,300,000 ($4,450,000)
Mike Hoffman: $3,350,000 ($4,500,000)
Joel Armia: $2,250,000 ($3,400,000)
Michael Matheson: $3,725,000 ($4,875,000)
Sean Monahan: $835,000 ($1,985,000)
Brendan Gallagher: $5,350,000 ($6,500,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2023
2024
2025

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
31	$83,500,000	$84,438,332	$1,170,000	$4,975,000	-$938,332

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Caufield, Cole $7,850,000$7,850,000 LW, RW UFA - 8	Suzuki, Nick $7,875,000$7,875,000 C UFA - 7	Dach, Kirby $3,362,500$3,362,500 C, RW RFA - 3
Michkov, Matvei $975,000$975,000	Dubois, Pierre-Luc $8,250,000$8,250,000	Slafkovsky, Juraj $950,000$950,000 ($3,500,000$4M) RW, LW RFA - 2
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël $2,700,000$2,700,000 LW, RW RFA - 2	Mesar, Filip $918,333$918,333 RW, C RFA - 4	Roy, Joshua $835,000$835,000 ($57,500$58K) LW, RW RFA - 3
Pezzetta, Michael $812,500$812,500 LW, RW UFA - 2	Evans, Jake $1,700,000$1,700,000 C UFA - 2	Ylönen, Jesse $2,000,000$2,000,000 RW, LW RFA - 1
Tuch, Luke $975,000$975,000 LW RFA	Davidson, Jared $975,000$975,000 C RFA	Rohrer, Vinzenz $975,000$975,000 RW, C RFA
Farrell, Sean $897,500$897,500 ($557,500$558K) RW, LW RFA - 2	Kapanen, Oliver $975,000$975,000 C RFA
Heineman, Emil $897,500$897,500 LW, RW RFA - 2	Mysak, Jan $828,333$828,333 ($82,500$82K) C, LW RFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Guhle, Kaiden $863,333$863,333 ($420,000$420K) LD/RD RFA - 2	Mailloux, Logan $875,000$875,000 ($82,500$82K) RD RFA - 3	Dobes, Jakub $925,000$925,000 G RFA - 2
Hutson, Lane $975,000$975,000 LD RFA - 3	Barron, Justin $925,000$925,000 ($275,000$275K) RD RFA - 1	Primeau, Cayden $890,000$890,000 G RFA - 2
Harris, Jordan $1,400,000$1,400,000 LD/RD RFA - 2	Xhekaj, Arber $828,333$828,333 LD/RD RFA - 1	Montembeault, Samuel $1,000,000$1,000,000 G UFA - 1
Engström, Adam $975,000$975,000 LD RFA	Kovacevic, Johnathan $766,667$766,667 RD UFA - 2	Hrabal, Michael $975,000$975,000

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
		Price, Carey $10,500,000$10,500,000 G NMC UFA - 3

Top Comments

Jun. 21, 2023 at 12:32 p.m.

WPGSK

Joined: Jun. 2023

Posts: 576

Likes: 232

Jets fan here. I agree and disagree. I think HABS fans will say too much, but Jets fans would be silly not to take that deal. That's a very good offer for PLD.

Jun. 21, 2023 at 12:32 p.m.

jfkst1

"Go sell ice cream!"

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 3,126

Likes: 1,395

I think it is fair offer based on quantity. At least one of those futures should hit. But I admittedly know little about MTR prospects.

Jun. 21, 2023 at 1:16 p.m.

Campabee

Joined: Nov. 2018

Posts: 15,658

Likes: 6,511

Quoting: jfkst1

I think it is fair offer based on quantity. At least one of those futures should hit. But I admittedly know little about MTR prospects.

Well let's see,

Beck is a great 2 way center with top 6 upside and a 3rd line center floor. According to Dobber prospects his NHL certainty is 9.5 out of 10 and his Fantasy upside (star player projection) is 8.0 out of 10. His PNHLe as of the end of the season is 48 or 2nd line potential.

Kidney doesn't project as well as Beck but still a respectable 7.0 in both NHL certainty and fantasy upside. His PNHLe is higher than Beck's though due to his back to back 100 point seasons in the QMJHL at 65 or 1st line potential.

Struble's numbers are not as encouraging with a fantasy upside of 7.5 and an NHL certainty of just 5.5 he could develop into a good middle/bottom pairing guy, he had a great showing in Laval at the end of the season so there is still a good shot at him taking the next steps. His PNHLe has dropped to 3rd pairing levels or 24 due to his down year in the offensive categories.

Add to that a late 1st + 2 2nds and yeah it is a serious overpayment. My suggestion would be remove 2 of Beck, the Panthers 1st or the Habs 2nd in 2025 and it's much closer, however the Jets aren't interested in futures management has said they still want to compete which means retooling not rebuilding.

jfkst1 liked this.

Jun. 21, 2023 at 1:20 p.m.

jfkst1

"Go sell ice cream!"

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 3,126

Likes: 1,395

Edited Jun. 21, 2023 at 1:25 p.m.

Quoting: Campabee

Ultimately, if Chevy isn't taking back futures, he can either trade his players for lower value or watch them walk for nothing. Very few contenders have a surplus of any position so Chevy expecting hockey trades of fair value isn't realistic. Especially when Winnipeg needs to rebuild badly.

BTW, thanks for the prospect updates. I do appreciate it.

Campabee liked this.

Jun. 21, 2023 at 1:27 p.m.

Campabee

Joined: Nov. 2018

Posts: 15,658

Likes: 6,511

Quoting: jfkst1

I agree and TBF if a bidding war for PLD does break out then this may be what is required to get the deal done. IMO though I wouldn't include Beck under any circumstances, he has great potential and could end up at the Suzuki/Dubois level and that would be an amazingly balanced center lineup with those 3 in the top 9 and Evans as 4C.

jfkst1 liked this.

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