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2015 Mock Draft Using Math (Read description for explanation)

2015 Mock Draft Using Math (Read description for explanation)

Draft Class: 2015
Created By: Tyler_A10
Published: Mar. 12, 2021 at 7:41 p.m.
Description
I used a very complicated formula to come to these decisions involving traditional stats, advanced stats, video game ratings and money made in the NHL. None of these entities on their own properly describe the value of a player, but all of them are good enough at a certain thing to provide a wholistic view at who the top players in the class are. The final rating is called the total score, and I will have every total score available to the right of every player.
Note on formula: This formula heavily favors players who made the NHL earlier as a lot of the statistics used are cumulative stats + they are more likely to be off their ELC contract which improves score.

Sidenote: This redraft will not include Kirill Kaprizov as all the numbers/salaries used in this list are from the the beginning of these players careers to the end of the 2020 season. Because he had not played an NHL game at that point, he didnt count. This also means that anyone from 2021 who has had a breakout season, such as from players like Eriksson Ek, Zacha, Garland and Roslovic, will not have those statstics included in the numbers.
ROUND 1TEAMORIGINALPLAYERDETAILS
1Logo of the Edmonton OilersLogo of the Buffalo SabresTotal Score: 313.4
2Logo of the Buffalo Sabres-Total Score: 205.3
3Logo of the Arizona Coyotes-Total Score: 183.2
4Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs-Total Score: 160.6
5Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes-Total Score: 150.1
6Logo of the New Jersey Devils-Total Score: 126.7
7Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers-Total Score: 124.6
8Logo of the Columbus Blue Jackets-Total Score: 121.3
9Logo of the San Jose Sharks-Total Score: 119.9
10Logo of the Colorado Avalanche-Total Score: 117.4
11Logo of the Florida Panthers-Total Score: 109.8
12Logo of the Dallas Stars-Total Score: 108.8
13Logo of the Boston BruinsLogo of the Los Angeles KingsTotal Score: 96.5
14Logo of the Boston Bruins-Total Score: 93.3
15Logo of the Boston BruinsLogo of the Calgary FlamesTotal Score: 91.0
16Logo of the New York IslandersLogo of the Pittsburgh PenguinsTotal Score: 90.0
17Logo of the Winnipeg Jets-Total Score: 85.8
18Logo of the Ottawa Senators-Total Score: 85.8
19Logo of the Detroit Red Wings-
Vince Dunn (+37 )
Total Score: 78.7
20Logo of the Minnesota Wild-Total Score: 75.7
21Logo of the Ottawa SenatorsLogo of the New York IslandersTotal Score: 67.8
22Logo of the Washington Capitals-Total Score: 63.5
23Logo of the Vancouver Canucks-Total Score: 60.6
24Logo of the Philadelphia FlyersLogo of the Nashville PredatorsTotal Score: 60.2
25Logo of the Winnipeg JetsLogo of the St. Louis BluesTotal Score: 59.0
26Logo of the Montreal Canadiens-Total Score: 54.2
27Logo of the Anaheim Ducks-Total Score: 53.4
28Logo of the New York IslandersLogo of the New York RangersTotal Score: 52.8
29Logo of the Columbus Blue JacketsLogo of the Tampa Bay LightningTotal Score: 51.8
30Logo of the Arizona CoyotesLogo of the Chicago BlackhawksTotal Score: 51.0
ROUND 2TEAMORIGINALPLAYERDETAILS
31Logo of the San Jose SharksLogo of the Buffalo Sabres
John Marino (+123 )
Total Score: 47.9
32Logo of the Arizona Coyotes-Total Score: 47.7
33Logo of the Tampa Bay LightningLogo of the Edmonton OilersTotal Score: 47.4
34Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs-Total Score: 44.8
35Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes-Total Score: 43.8
36Logo of the Ottawa SenatorsLogo of the New Jersey DevilsTotal Score: 43.4
37Logo of the Boston BruinsLogo of the Philadelphia FlyersTotal Score: 42.5
38Logo of the Columbus Blue Jackets-
Matt Roy (+156 )
Total Score: 42.4
39Logo of the Colorado AvalancheLogo of the San Jose SharksTotal Score: 40.4
40Logo of the Colorado Avalanche-Total Score: 37.8
41Logo of the New York RangersLogo of the Florida Panthers
Philippe Myers UDFA
Total Score: 35.6
42Logo of the New Jersey DevilsLogo of the Dallas Stars
Troy Terry (+106 )
Total Score: 34.1
43Logo of the Los Angeles Kings-Total Score: 33.9
44Logo of the Tampa Bay LightningLogo of the Boston BruinsTotal Score: 32.0
45Logo of the Boston BruinsLogo of the Calgary FlamesTotal Score: 31.5
46Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins-
Adin Hill (+30 )
Total Score: 29.8
47Logo of the Winnipeg Jets-Total Score: 27.8
48Logo of the Ottawa Senators-Total Score: 27.7
49Logo of the Dallas StarsLogo of the Detroit Red WingsTotal Score: 27.5
50Logo of the Minnesota Wild-
Ethan Bear (+74 )
Total Score: 27.2
51Logo of the Buffalo SabresLogo of the New York IslandersTotal Score: 26.4
52Logo of the Boston BruinsLogo of the Washington CapitalsTotal Score: 24.7
53Logo of the Calgary FlamesLogo of the Vancouver CanucksTotal Score: 24.5
54Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks-Total Score: 21.1
55Logo of the Nashville Predators-Total Score: 21.0
56Logo of the St. Louis Blues-Total Score: 20.4
57Logo of the Washington CapitalsLogo of the Montreal CanadiensTotal Score: 20.0
58Logo of the Columbus Blue JacketsLogo of the Anaheim DucksTotal Score: 19.5
59Logo of the Anaheim DucksLogo of the New York RangersTotal Score: 19.4
60Logo of the Calgary FlamesLogo of the Tampa Bay LightningTotal Score: 19.0
61Logo of the Toronto Maple LeafsLogo of the Chicago BlackhawksTotal Score: 18.9
Mar. 12, 2021 at 7:47 p.m.
#1
Tyler_A10
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Link to my spreadsheet with all formulas available
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uF3tHCgmpsB2KmEz7E5zSstw2UbBbfUVPJ_7D7mT6qI/edit?usp=sharing
Zinger liked this.
Mar. 12, 2021 at 7:58 p.m.
#2
Tacoshanes10
Tacoshanes10
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Can u do this 4 every draft?
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Mar. 12, 2021 at 8:07 p.m.
#3
Tyler_A10
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Quoting: Tacoshanes10
Can u do this 4 every draft?


Im working on it. I dont have all the time in the world but if you have a request for the next class, let me know.
Zinger liked this.
Mar. 12, 2021 at 9:39 p.m.
#4
Zinger
Canes fan
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Man, Nice work! That is some deep analytics. Well done bud.
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Mar. 13, 2021 at 12:32 p.m.
#5
Tyler_A10
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The next redraft I'm gonna do is 2012, nowhere as historic as 2015, but iconic in its own way
Mar. 17, 2021 at 1:51 p.m.
#6
Rooney
Go Jets Go
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Glad I saw this, very impressive!
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