I put math in hockey
Joined: Jun. 2018
Posts: 624
Likes: 167
Ok, so Nashville doesn't even come close to considering that deal for Ellis, GAR has him as their best player over the past 3 years, and I'd be astonished if their internal evaluation had him any lower than their 3rd best player. He's only 30, there isn't tons of pressure to move him yet, and if they wanted they could almost certainly get a better offer than that. One of the big four would probably be my minimum if I were in charge, and I'd be surprised if they do the deal without multiple first rounders or a legit top prospect.
Evolving-hockey's contract projections have Coleman about 1.1 million/year higher than you put him, and given his playoffs that could be even higher. Doubt he takes that deal.
Pretty bold bet to assume that Robertson can handle 2LW duties, though I suppose the roster's other stars make up for it if the Leafs manage to somehow pull this off.
Rakell's more shooter than playmaker, so I dunno about his fit on the top line. Might make more sense to put Galch up there and use Rakell to give the bottom-6 some more offensive bite. That Holl for Rakell deal is clever, I gotta say. Fairly even value, reorients things nicely after the Ellis deal and I wouldn't have thought of it at all. Nice work there.