Edited Feb. 14 at 5:11 p.m.
Quoting: Bcarlo25
I don't see why this is mean spirited at all. I certianly didn't mean it as such, and the only way I can see it devolving into one is if anyone has a problem with suggesting that certain teams aren't contenders.
Overall I would say that I think you have an incredibly optimistic view of the next few years. Every team has a ton of guys that they think can be NHLers - otherwise they wouldn't have drafted/signed them. The reality is that the majority of highly touted prospects don't become regular NHLers. There is a precedent for the progression of a retool/rebuild, and my question is, do you think this team has bottomed out? That's a huge part of this. If the predators are ready next season to incorporate a bunch of kids, and have a lineup mixed with youth and vets that they think can compete....okay, then this makes some sense. I'm not in that boat though. I think they bottom out next year, and the following year is when they start adding youth. Then all of a sudden the timeline for ROR doesn't make a ton of sense.
Now, you introduced a new topic, value. Why are other contenders blowing the doors off that offer? We've seen that a lot of the time the trade market does not view term as a good thing, and based on what I said regarding RORs even strength offensive performance, why do you think this offer is easily beat?
I'm saying it's mean spirited because you keep ignoring the fact your original statement said you see no path to the Preds being contenders during his contract. I've shown you a path, is it optimistic? Yeah, but not impossible or even that unlikely.
I think they bottom out this trade deadline. I understand there's a normal progression but teams always break that trend. The Ranger and the Kings the most recent examples. They both had 1-2 down years out of the playoffs and are now contending again.
Of the prospects I've named 3 are in the AHL at 21 or under and performing admirably including leading their team to a 15 game win streak. And again you gave the percentage of 20-25% hit on picks or prospects. Following your math some of these guys will be on the roster and contributing. So yeah a mix of vets and young guns.
And you introduced the value conversation in the last paragraph of your earlier post to quote:
"From a risk mitigation standpoint, I would think that Trotz can absolutely see a scenario where ROR takes a step back, as do the predators, and that deal becomes something that can be moved for
neutral value at best. If I'm Boston, I would most a first and a good prospect for him."
I think a team like Colorado who has been searching for a 2C at a reasonable price tag would strongly consider throwing a 1st and a prospect at minimum to get ROR. Or Toronto who tried to sign him in the offseason. Make a post on here asking what teams would give for ROR and I think you'd find a lot of teams view him as more than a 3C and the fact that he's on the powerplay and getting all those minutes doesn't hurt his value. He also kills penalties. Even in a diminished role he can contribute where needed. guys like O'Reilly aren't always being brought in to score. He's brought in for stability and all of the many things he does in the locker room and on the ice. He's a winner. Teams trade for guys like him because of his pedigree and history