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TML1991

TML1991
Member Since
Feb. 12, 2016
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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 2, 2020 at 1:17 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 13, 2020 at 2:11 p.m.
Thread: Avs Price
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TML1991</b></div><div>Price is not the best goalie or a top goalie in the league anymore. He's not just having "a down year", he's on his 3rd down year now, and 2 out of 3 have been garbage There's a serious anchoring effect with the value of price. Out of the goalies over the last 2.5 seasons with over 2000 minutes TOI (52 goalies)

Price ranks 22nd in SV% (0.9115) - Grub is 15th at (0.9134)

now obviously there's a huge team element there, because grub has been on good teams, so if you take a look at their performance against expectations, which attempts to isolate goalie results from their team's performance, the picture continues to show price has not been good. Expectations look at the difficulty of each save and compare it to the expected save % for that situation, and price has been below average.


Price ranks 33rd in dSV% at -0.25% below xSV% Grub is 24th at 0.08 above xSV% (dSV% = SV% - xSV% - aka difference between SV% and what they are expected to stop).

Price ranks 37th in Goals Saved Above Average at -7.46 GSAA while Grubauer is at 24th with a +1.51 GSAA

So Grub roughly meets expectations of a goalie in his situation, while price has been below average for a goalie in his situation. Even last year when price had a decent year, he was still had a very average dSV% and GSAA both coming in around 0 (meets expectations). It's been a couple years since price has been a top goalie. He's 32, the decline will just continue, he might get a blip season in there, but the trend wont be much better over the next 6.5 years of that contract.

Fell free to back up your thoughts with some stats or something, instead of just saying he's a top goalie.</div></div>

Price was paid to be the difference-maker at 10.5M. The Habs were supposed to be bottom feeder if Price got injured. Now they have been bottom feeder for the last couple years even though Price was still in the lineup for the whole/majority season. (Let say from 2017-18 to the current season). Sure Price can have some good games(months if you consider that Price got his **** together last season because Habs barely missed the playoffs) but having "roller coaster" performance doesn't justify that 10.5 M contract
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 2, 2020 at 1:00 p.m.