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qc14
Member Since
Sep. 2, 2020
Favourite Team
Washington Capitals
2nd Favourite Team
San Jose Sharks
Forum Posts
3351
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2.5
POSTS
THREADS
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 hours ago
Thread:
Get picks and retool for Leonard
The problem with the "bottom out" strategy (besides the point of sports being to win and not lose on purpose) is that you have to be truly atrocious to be in the bottom five. Caps were definitely worse than their record this year but swapping Kuemper, Jensen, Oshie, and TVR for Stevenson, Spence, Lee, and Holl combined with some natural regression isn't making this team the 20 points worse they would've needed to be to finish behind MTL this year.
This would still be a significantly better roster (barring drastic offseason moves) than SJS, CHI, ANA, CBJ, MTL, PHI, UTH, SEA and would be close to OTT, BUF, CGY, PIT, MIN, NSH. Getting down into the SJS/CHI/ANA tier would involve some pretty uncomfortable departures for less than market rate -- Strome, Wilson, Carlson, Lindgren at the least, probably Sandin, McMichael, as well..
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 hours ago
Thread:
Two teams in need of a shakeup
I mean Sokolov and a 3rd aren't nothing but Korpisalo's contract is worse and Kuemper has a history of actually being a good goalie ... I would probably pass
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 7:18 p.m.
Thread:
Core four no more
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>brady_t12</b></div><div>The stupid thing is that this would be a massive win for the caps, but they probably wouldn’t consider it</div></div>
Yea they wouldn't do this out of loyalty to Carlson which IMO is the right move
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 8:16 p.m.
Thread:
Maybe
capfriendly already accounts for the retained money on Kuzy, giving you an extra 3.9m
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 4:08 p.m.
Thread:
Hronek for Ehlers
Have yet to see a convincing argument about why the Caps should take on Mikheyev at 6.75m a year
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 2:56 p.m.
Thread:
Flyers Savior
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logicalicesports</b></div><div>Perfect!!! Love to hear that, I just have him as a cap dump there</div></div>
This team is still at the point to me where any cap dumps they take on should either come with a premium asset back or have legit upside. You could get a 2nd for Jensen by himself, taking back Johansen basically for free does nothing
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 2:24 p.m.
Thread:
Flyers Savior
if you thought Kuzy's indifference, Backstrom's health issues, and Ovi's painful lack of speed and skating ability were frustrating last year don't worry! Johansen combines all of that into one player instead of three!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 2:21 p.m.
Thread:
1740
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logicalicesports</b></div><div>Deal</div></div>
Pretty easy pass from me. Taking on a ton of cap to downgrade from Jensen to Mikheyev and Podkolzin has not impressed at any pro level
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 10:25 a.m.
Thread:
Caps Retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>The Jets don't need bottom sixers if they are trading a top 6 winger. That's a poor attempt to try a devalue an asset "isn't trusted", lol. If you were really concerned about or believed that, you wouldn't want him.
You'd need to be adding a young player with term or team control in a position of need for the Jets. So RHD or 2C.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KPasty</b></div><div>Jets would want to fill a need on the backend with a good prospect such as Iorio. They have enough Bottom 6 guys, as much as Milano is a good player, doesn't move the needle in a deal like this imo</div></div>
"Isn't trusted" isn't part of my evaluation of him as a player but is a pretty objective statement that affects how NHL franchises evaluate players. Caps fans did the same thing with Vrana and swearing that he would get moved for a first and look how that turned out.
The bigger thing is that we go through this song and dance every single time a rental could possibly be moved. THIS one is special and unlike the other 30 rentals moved over the last 5 years. They DEFINITELY are getting multiple firsts or top prospects or young NHL ready players. DeBrincat, Hanifin, Guentzel, Lindholm just from this year alone.
Want to swap out the first for McMichael for the first? Milano for TVR/Jensen? 4th for a 2nd? Sure. But the package for a rental of 1st + mediocre-in-a-good-way roster player + little extra draft capital is a pretty set in stone formula in the NHL
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 9:46 a.m.
Thread:
Caps Retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>There's nothing interesting there for Ehlers outside of the 1st. Any added players would need to full a need for the Jets.</div></div>
genuinely asking what add-ons to this package you would expect for a 28yo rental who has never topped 65 points and clearly hasn't been trusted by multiple coaches? This is, for example, more than what OTT got for DeBrincat
Also respect Milano, an extremely competent 3w on a great contract
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 9:39 a.m.
Thread:
Chesley
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MNBassman</b></div><div>I kind of made my trade on the fly - what would you consider an equitable swap with Rossi and Chesley as the centerpieces?</div></div>
I think it's one of those that is very tough to judge because they both are the kind of guys that could be evaluated wildly different throughout the league. At first glance, Rossi scored .5ppg as a 22yo and has a great draft pedigree. From my read on it though, MIN fans weren't that happy with him/don't think he'll fit in with their salary structure? He did play a ton with Kaprizov and Boldy so I can understand wanting more from whoever is in that spot. Injury/health history is obviously a concern too but at the same time he played all 82 this year?
I think Caps would value Chesley as right around where they took him -- late first or early second. He's not a scorer, but has been incredibly solid through two years of NCAA and had a good WJC where he was heavily relied on. Basically developed at exactly the pace and the ways you would hope. Not lagging behind, but not blowing expectations away either.
The "value" here of I would say ~32oa (Chesley) + ~55oa (VGK 2nd) + ~50oa (Caps 2nd, discounted one year) is sneakily a pretty sizable package, but at the same time it is a quantity over real quality type offer. I would also say that Rossi is one of the guys I would be willing to move 17oa for in this draft, and that 17oa + Chesley makes more sense for MIN. I would do either and I would think that the Caps' FO would as well, but you never know.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 9:24 a.m.
Thread:
TJ Likely Retires
Don't know what's worse, 7m for DeBrusk or giving up a first and a good prospect for a glorified NAK
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 9:22 a.m.
Thread:
Chesley
I like Chesley but Caps accept, Rossi is the exact type of guy I think they will be targeting this summer
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 10:51 p.m.
Thread:
895 and maybe 1000 as a Hawk
delete this
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 10:48 p.m.
Thread:
Final 895 scenario I promise
could be matthews for ovi straight up and caps wouldn't (and shouldn't) accept
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Wed. at 6:30 p.m.
Thread:
trading for young fowards
Only way I see Caps moving 17oa is for a top 6 forward, and Anderson is not that
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 3:40 p.m.
Thread:
Caps
4.75m for Sprong is insane, I'm not bringing him back even on league min
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:30 p.m.
Thread:
24-25
I'll take PLD for free, not giving up 17oa for him though
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 3:20 p.m.
Thread:
Yet another 2024-25 Sens Roster
I'll pass on giving up any assets for a 31yo that just posted an .890
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 3:19 p.m.
Thread:
Doing All 32 Teams Realistic Offseasons Jets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logicalicesports</b></div><div>Really? I would take the draft capital if I were the GM</div></div>
Schmidt is washed and they could easily get a 3rd and a 5th for TVR at the deadline this year or next anyways
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 3:17 p.m.
Thread:
Crazy season
Late first or equivalent for dowd in the offseason otherwise they'll just keep the best 4c in the league
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 3:07 p.m.
Thread:
Doing All 32 Teams Realistic Offseasons Caps
Don't love Jeannot but that Tampa deal is the right kind of bet for the Caps to make.
Hardest of hard passes on the Kuemper to SJS deal. Was Kuemper below average this season? Absolutely. Vanacek however might have been the worst goalie in the league. Caps already moved on from him once for a reason -- makes no sense to downgrade the position, take on more money next year (!!!), and pay a 2nd and a 4th for the pleasure.
Overall though the bigger issue is they are going to have at least ~10m of space with Backstrom done and probably more with Oshie. There is zero chance they don't spend that money, hopefully on a top 6 forward
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 3:03 p.m.
Thread:
what will they look like next season
I don't love Lindholm but if you can get him at that price definitely do it.
FLA trade I'll break into two -- 3rd for Luostorarinen is fine value but not the type of player they should be targeting IMO. Lindgren was their best player this year and Iorio is knocking on the door and developed in exactly the way you'd hope a 2nd rounder would, Knight is intriguing but goaltending isn't the issue for this team and I honestly think the move lowers both their floor and ceiling for next year.
Alexeyev is just a straight up better Hattaka while only being one year older -- higher draft pedigree, more NHL games/ready, better AHL career. Lateral at best move, no need to do it
Dowd 1000% can return more than a 3rd and as an expiring contract I'm not moving him for anything less than a 1st this offseason and otherwise waiting until the deadline
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 2:55 p.m.
Thread:
Cup Chasing 3
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Nolan_Gooch</b></div><div>Lindgren is 4+ years younger than both and has played better than them this season. I would rather get a somewhat young shutdown d-man for the long term than 2 older ones for 1-2 years.</div></div>
I will agree to disagree on the better than both part but even given that, that 25 unprotected first is such a good asset I'm not giving it up unless I'm getting either a guaranteed star or a guy with a ton of upside. Lindgren was pretty clearly the 4th D for the Rangers this year and at 26 is probably not going to grow much and doesn't really fit either bill
Forum:
Washington Capitals
Tue. at 2:52 p.m.
Thread:
2023-24 Season Thread
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>All_Knowing</b></div><div>1. Agreed - I expect the retool to continue and GMBM pushes to compete. I do think he finds a way to get a top 6 forward and a top 4 defender. He has too much pressure not to after saying that is his goal the last 2 seasons.
2. Marner would be my #1. TOR is a toxic place to play, and I think Marner thrives wherever he goes next. My question is - what would a trade for him look like? McM, Jensen, 2024 1st and more?
3. Agreed with qc14 - Ovi is 38 years old...that is OLD! Hard to lead a team when he is 38 and playing with average players. Plus, not having a true 1c doesn't help. The Caps relied on him to score, and when he did, the Caps usually won. When he didn't, the Caps would score 1-2 goals (if that) and struggle. Goes back to the top 6 forward - if you can get 1-2 of those players, that would help immensely.
4. Oshie said he'd like to play next year, but would need a gurantee his back can be fixed. I personally would like him to retire and I hope GMBM is more forceful about the situation. Having Backy "retire" a handful of games into the season really hurt the Caps (both in terms of a top center retiring and having all that cap space unused).
5. Pesce comes to mind as well for that RHD. Tanev would be another (cheaper option). What would a contract look for Pesce?</div></div>
I honestly have no idea what a Marner to WSH trade looks like mostly because I don't know what type of package TOR would be looking for. If they want a 1-1 swap a la Subban/Weber or Hall/Larsson I don't think we have the piece they would want except maybe Wilson. I think we would have to sell them on being a good middle ground of breaking up his cap into a couple solid players while also giving back some pretty good futures. I would pitch either McMichael+Jensen/TVR+Lindgren+17oa (better, cheap goalie) or Wilson+Kuemper+17oa(better forward, still established goalie but maybe not the steal Lindgren is).
I like Pesce, Skjei, and Tanev the most on D. This is a sneaky good UFA class for them
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