Thinking out loud here

Created by: McRanteskog

Team: 2022-23 Colorado Avalanche

Initial Creation Date: Oct. 20, 2022

Published: Oct. 20, 2022

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Legend

Left Handed

Original Team

Waivers Exempt

Right Handed

Position

Trade Clause

Max Perf. Bonus

Expiry Status

Term Remaining

McDavid, Connor

$12,500,000 ( Performance Bonus

$250,000)

NMC

UFA - 5

Description

I think this trade makes sense for both sides with all things considered. Yes, there are some M-NMC in play here but I wouldn’t classify either market as a “why would you ever want to play there” market.

Trade breaks down as follows:
Holl for the COL 2023 5th rd pick
Kerfoot for E. Johnson with 2mil in retained salary
(3rd party team takes the 2024 4th rd pick to retain 2mil on E Johnson’s deal).

Leaf fans should take note of EJs size, shot blocking and hit statistics (he’s heavier, hits more, and blocks more shots compared to Holl). He brings other intangibles too which Holl doesn’t provide.

TOR gains 1.5mil in cap space, frees up a contract slot, gains a late 2023 pick and improves at D (EJ over Holl) at the cost of Kerfoot.

COL on the flip side takes on the less desirable defender in Holl and loses two late draft picks but gains Kerfoot (who would be an upgrade over Newhook or Compher right now - also very versatile in the lineup) and frees up 500k in cap space.

TOR could run:
Reilly-Brodie
Sandin-E Johnson
Giordano- Liljegren(healthy soon)

Trades

COL

Additional Details:

ARI takes the 2024 4th rd pick to retain 2million on Johnson’s contract

TOR

Johnson, Erik
2023 5th round pick (COL)
2024 4th round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

ARI takes the 2024 4th rd pick to retain 2million on Johnson’s contract

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2023
2024
2025

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$82,500,000	$81,078,333	$25,000	$3,987,500	$1,421,667

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Lehkonen, Artturi $4,500,000$4,500,000 LW, RW UFA - 5	MacKinnon, Nathan $6,300,000$6,300,000 C NMC UFA - 1	Rantanen, Mikko $9,250,000$9,250,000 RW, C UFA - 3
Newhook, Alex $908,333$908,333 ($850,000$850K) C, LW RFA - 1	Kerfoot, Alexander $3,500,000$3,500,000 LW, C, RW M-NTC UFA - 1	Nichushkin, Valeri $6,125,000$6,125,000 RW, LW NMC UFA - 8
Cogliano, Andrew $1,250,000$1,250,000 LW UFA - 1	Compher, J.T. $3,500,000$3,500,000 C, RW UFA - 1	Rodrigues, Evan $2,000,000$2,000,000 LW, C UFA - 1
O'Connor, Logan $1,050,000$1,050,000 RW, LW UFA - 3	Meyers, Ben $912,500$912,500 ($212,500$212K) LW, C UFA - 1
		Kaut, Martin $863,333$863,333 ($425,000$425K) RW RFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Toews, Devon $4,100,000$4,100,000 LD UFA - 2	Makar, Cale $9,000,000$9,000,000 RD UFA - 5	Georgiev, Alexandar $3,400,000$3,400,000 G UFA - 3
Girard, Samuel $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD/RD UFA - 5	Manson, Josh $4,500,000$4,500,000 RD NTC UFA - 4	Francouz, Pavel $2,000,000$2,000,000 G UFA - 2
Byram, Bowen $894,167$894,167 ($2,500,000$2M) LD/RD RFA - 1	Holl, Justin $2,000,000$2,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
MacDonald, Jacob $762,500$762,500 LD/RD UFA - 2	Landeskog, Gabriel $7,000,000$7,000,000 LW, C NMC UFA - 7
MacDermid, Kurtis $987,500$987,500 LD/RD, LW UFA - 2	Helm, Darren $1,250,000$1,250,000 C, LW, RW UFA - 1

Top Comments

Oct. 20, 2022 at 1:14 p.m.

JAKE6

Let Him Cook

Joined: Jul. 2021

Posts: 4,011

Likes: 962

why would we give kerfoot up for a more expensive dmen who does the same thing, this hurts our depth and we dont get paid for it, makes 0 sense for toronto

Oct. 20, 2022 at 1:15 p.m.

Rob32sjsharks

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 11,255

Likes: 4,677

now this is very interesting! fixes big needs for both teams but not sure either team actually agrees.

McRanteskog liked this.

Oct. 20, 2022 at 1:16 p.m.

McRanteskog

RETIRED

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 4,846

Likes: 2,481

Quoting: jake4leafs

why would we give kerfoot up for a more expensive dmen who does the same thing

EJ at 4mill is an upgrade over Holl (a player most Leaf fans have been petitioning to blast into the sun for two years) + late pick in exchange for Kerfoot

Civil_Eng_PE liked this.

Oct. 20, 2022 at 1:25 p.m.

JAKE6

Let Him Cook

Joined: Jul. 2021

Posts: 4,011

Likes: 962

Quoting: McRanteskog

EJ at 4mill is an upgrade over Holl (a player most Leaf fans have been petitioning to blast into the sun for two years) + late pick in exchange for Kerfoot

hes been playing an avg of 15 mins per night this year and hes 4 years older. that being said he seems better on paper, but he wont play top dmen mins and he will cost 4m? plus we lose kerfoot?. its not worth it for the leafs. we need a top shutdown dmen.

Oct. 20, 2022 at 1:26 p.m.

palhal

LongtimeLeafsufferer

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 59,817

Likes: 22,838

It's a fair trade but the Leafs don't gain 1.5m cap space as suggested. 3.5m Kerfoot and 2m Holl costs 5.5m. A retained EJ costs 4.5m, and Kerfoot's replacement costs 800,000. So the Leafs gain just 200,000

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Thinking out loud here

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TOR

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