Quoting: gordoncaps40
Guys, Thanks for feedback. When I look at Caps, all I see is 6.1 million for Holtby and he will want a raise soon. Grubi is still RFA and is close to Hotby despite what everyone saw in playoffs. I think Samsonov is Caps future, so time to move Holtby is now. Did not want him traded to Eastern conference so I choose Colorado based on Varlamov injury history (and last year of deal) and I think Colorado can afford 2 high paid goalies.
In response to cap being higher and able to keep Carlson, I might be in favor of that, I thought his numbers would go down without Alzner, but pleasantly surprised. Still think Power Play helps his numbers and it should help whoever the Washington Coach slots there. Think extra money will be needed next year 2019-2020 deals so not sure I would want to tie up 7.5 million.
Am I wrong in thinking the Caps need to free up cap space not necessarily for this upcoming season but for the following years?
Thanks Again
At evens, he's only the 8th best offensive RHD. But to say that he benefits from power play time.... It's true, but I think the power play also benefits from him.
http://www.nhl.com/stats/player?reportType=season&seasonFrom=20172018&seasonTo=20172018&gameType=2&position=D&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,40&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=ppPoints
At evens, regardless of handedness, he was 11th in the league in points this year:
http://www.nhl.com/stats/player?report=skaterpoints&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20172018&seasonTo=20172018&gameType=2&position=D&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,40&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=evPoints
Last year he was in the 50s...
http://www.nhl.com/stats/player?report=skaterpoints&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20162017&seasonTo=20162017&gameType=2&position=D&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,40&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=evPoints,points
You could argue either way, here. Green and Cole were both to 30 last year in ESP, but theyear before than Carson was 34th, and neither of them was in the top 50 (85th and 129th, respectively, placing them as 2nd and 3rd pairing guys that year, while Carson remained somewhere in the top pair range, given that there were 30 teams, with two top defensemen, for 60 starting defensemen. If we go back to 14-15, Carlson was 2nd in even strength points, behind Subban.
http://www.nhl.com/stats/player?report=skaterpoints&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20142015&seasonTo=20142015&gameType=2&position=D&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,40&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=evPoints,points You have to go back five years, to 2013-14 to find Carlson slumping into second-pair even strength offense, ranking 10th with 14 ESP.
http://www.nhl.com/stats/player?report=skaterpoints&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20132014&seasonTo=20132014&gameType=2&position=D&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,40&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=evPoints,points
Since then, he's consistently been a top pair guy at evens, although he's certainly bounced up and down within that range. But whether or not to sign Carlson isn't just about how good Carlson is. It's about who the other options are. The Caps can go with Niskanen and Bowey on the power play and be pretty good. But they need to add more offense at evens, and also add someoen who can eat a bunch of minutes. So they're looking at signing Green and Cole, who are two of the top five defensemen in UFA this summer. They could end up spending more to replace Carlson with two short tern deals than they would to just keep the guy who led the regular season and the playoffs in points and helped the Caps win the first Cup in their history. So I don't think that 8M/year is going to be incredible vaue on its own. i just don't see a better way to spend it. I mean... is there some way they can sign Green, Cole, and Tavares? That might be interesting, but I don't think they have the cap space.
Having just won a Cup, I think the Caps don't have to worry quite as much as they used to about their long term cap space. Teams like Chicago and Pittsburgh who have recently won championships seem to have no trouble finding other teams to take their cap dumps, or even to dump half of the salary of centers they're about to acquire on. If the Caps get to join that club, they can pay carlson 10M a year, and have Vegas pay half.