I would say there is less than a 10% chance Arizona lands any big name free agents in the next two years. Being a permanent bottom dweller in the standings does not bode well when it comes to wooing players entering their primes. I need to assume John Carlson wants to continue winning, and even though your dollar figure is probably right on the money, I don't see him signing in Arizona. Unless they somehow make a big splash on the trade market, I don't see them going anywhere quickly.