How much are they worth by my GM criteria

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Draft Class: 2022

Published: Jun. 18, 2022 at 1:31 p.m.

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Not worth top 3 rounds picks by my metrics: Casey, Zhikin, Ludwinski, Haight, Salomonsson, Perevalov, Kulonummi...
And Gazizov is dnd, he wasn't even able to secure his spot in the lineup for the whole playoff round.

Weaker OHL class. Same could be true for 2023 draft.

I reserve the right to make corrections in case of this year's Mitchell Miller/Logan Mailloux ;)

DRAFT

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Round 1
1. Shane Wright (Montreal Canadiens) (Details: His relatively low production might be an indicator of how much 2022 and 2023 draft candidates from OHL were hit by lockdowns. Safe pick.).
2. Juraj Slafkovsky (New Jersey Devils) (Details: Great performances in international tournaments. Since Olympics also better in Liiga. Rare combination of size and skill, which comes across once per draft or even less (2023: Fantilli).).
3. Simon Nemec (Arizona Coyotes) (Details: Dilemma Nemec-Jiricek is similar to Heiskanen-Makar one in 2017, where Nemec is the safer pick of the two („Heiskanen“). Compare Nemec to Brandt Clarke's 2020/21 season. Slovakian league is not top-tier, but WC performance matter.).
4. Logan Cooley (Seattle Kraken) (Details: I am not trying to take anything away from Cooley, but he is smaller player and at the same time scoring-wise not dominant on his own team. I can get similar player a year later, 2023 class is forward-loaded. If I am GM of a rebuilding team, I select Jiricek here. D-men need more time and are more important.).
5. David Jiricek (Philadelphia Flyers) (Details: You want to have him on your team in a playoffs. But because of his style of play you might only get 60 GP out of him per season. In that aspect I compare him to Ekblad. I would love to have Jiricek at no. 2 or 3, but that would be too risky. No. 4 or 5 is OK.).
6. Cutter Gauthier (Columbus Blue Jackets from Chicago Blackhawks) (Details: His projection as NHL player looks easy. Big forward, possibly center, good goal-scorer, committed to college with good hockey program (Boston). At times his skating has been described as questionable, which it is not.).
7. Pavel Mintyukov (Ottawa Senators) (Details: Another player with easy projection as NHL player. Strong on his legs, decent size and production. In many aspects similar to Sergachev. Similar production in draft year, where Sergachev was younger, but on a good team.).
8. Kevin Korchinski (Detroit Red Wings) (Details: Riskier pick than Mintyukov, but with higher upside. He has some disadvantages as a consequence of worse leg strenght, which is relatively easy to overcome. June birthday, he has grown a lot over the past year.).
9. Joakim Kemell (Buffalo Sabres) (Details: I admit drafting him would make me nervous. His overall Liiga production is great, but since the injury he wasn't the same player. Not great shot selection and small stature, but he can be inventive with his shot.).
10. Marco Kasper (Anaheim Ducks) (Details: He became better as the season came to the end. His play away from the puck is now better, he managed to produce in SHL playoffs. Scouting Combine Testing suggests his legs are NHL-ready.).
11. Brad Lambert (San Jose Sharks) (Details: Excellent skater, but very risky pick. He is high because I don't see class as very strong. His production on both Liiga teams wasn't great, despite playing with pedestrian linemates. His puck-carrying alone makes him interesting pick.).
12. Frank Nazar (Columbus Blue Jackets) (Details: Creative player many fans are high on. I am cautious about Marner comparisons. In his draft year Marner was head and shoulder above his older teammates on a strong team. Nazar is also slightly shorter, which means extra risk.).
13. Matthew Savoie (New York Islanders) (Details: One of the more NHL-ready players of the draft class. But I am taking his production with a grain of salt. He is on a strong team and in a playoffs overshadowed by more than one teammate, including 2023 eligible player (Benson).).
14. Gleb Trikozov (Winnipeg Jets) (Details: A player who posses quality that is hard to measure. He can carry his team in a playoffs with clutch performances, especially when in troubles and in goal deficit. He can create offense by himself if he needs to. August birthday.).
15. Liam Öhgren (Vancouver Canucks) (Details: As captain he apparently has played in WJC with leg injury. That's a character/personality you are looking for.).
16. Jonathan Lekkerimäki (Buffalo Sabres from Vegas Golden Knights) (Details: Excellent sniper with suspect hockey sense and light frame. 2 red flags combined are a lot.).
17. Lian Bichsel (Nashville Predators) (Details: Lumberjack on a skates. High pick for almost exclusively defensive D-man, but he hits adult men hard.).
18. Rutger McGroarty (Dallas Stars) (Details: USA U-18 captain who will find his way to NHL. But the question is his upside.).
19. Conor Geekie (Los Angeles Kings) (Details: He is just an average forward on his team. There are cheaper options for big C.).
20. Isaac Howard (Washington Capitals) (Details: I just can't overlook he was NTDP's top scorer on every front (USDP, USHL and WJC).).
21. Denton Mateychuk (Pittsburgh Penguins) (Details: Very active player every shift. I just can't be sure if his style can be directly transformed to NHL.).
22. Danila Yurov (Anaheim Ducks from Boston Bruins) (Details: Disastrous 2nd half of a season. He did nothing to earn more ice time in the KHL.).

Round 2
33. Ivan Miroshnichenko (Montreal Canadiens) (Details: His medical treatment is over. He is healthy and can train again. Higher potential than Yurov.).
34. Ryan Chesley (Arizona Coyotes) (Details: All-around D-man who is mostly defensively oriented, but can produce if he needs to.).
35. Owen Pickering (Seattle Kraken) (Details: Comparable former Bronco: Heatherington. I don't trust their program – that's why I doubt.).
36. Jani Nyman (Arizona Coyotes from Philadelphia Flyers) (Details: Roby Jarventie II, same club, stats, draft age and size. However, he could score more in WJC.).
37. Nathan Gaucher (New Jersey Devils) (Details: Another easy NHL projection, but questionable upside. He is on the same level as season before.).
38. Jiri Kulich (Chicago Blackhawks) (Details: Take his WJC production with caution, a lot was on PP. Also selfish at times.).
39. Maveric Lamoureux (Ottawa Senators) (Details: In all honesty, it's his Scouting Combine performance that I like.).
40. Noah Warren (Detroit Red Wings) (Details: Big and mobile RHD. If you want one, you need to overpay/reach for them.).
41. Jack Hughes (Buffalo Sabres) (Details: Projected NHL-er with unclear upside. More was expected in NCAA. Very good at Combine.).
42. Owen Beck (Anaheim Ducks) (Details: He wasn't able to produce much, but is doing other things. Projected C at NHL level.).
43. Rieger Lorenz (Arizona Coyotes from San Jose Sharks) (Details: Same AJHL team as Dylan Holloway. He is also as strong and taller, but produces less.).
44. Reid Schaefer (Columbus Blue Jackets) (Details: Role player. Power forward with NHL size who can score. Perfect fit for any NHL team.).
45. Tristan Luneau (Arizona Coyotes from New York Islanders) (Details: Fill-in for a team in need of RHD. The best D-man on his QMJHL team.).
46. Filip Bystedt (Washington Capitals from Winnipeg Jets) (Details: Cheaper option for big C. Probably limited to lower lines at NHL level.).
47. David Goyette (Minnesota Wild from Vancouver Canucks) (Details: Points leader of young OHL team, over 1 PPG which is not common in this class.).
48. Jimmy Snuggerud (Vegas Golden Knights) (Details: Easy NHL projection. His father, uncle and cousin have all stayed in college for 3 years.).
49. Adam Ingram (Seattle Kraken from Nashville Predators) (Details: The best scorer on his team and the 2nd non-NTDP USHL scorer of first time eligible players.).
50. Michael Fisher (Dallas Stars) (Details: Great D-man from weaker league. Excellent Combine. Worth late 2nd round pick.).
51. Jagger Firkus (Los Angeles Kings) (Details: The best scorer on his WHL team. 150-155 lbs, he will need 3 more seasons to gain NHL weight.).
52. Artem Duda (Detroit Red Wings from Washington Capitals) (Details: Extremely disciplined D-man, 2 PIM over the past 2 seasons in all leagues combined.).
53. Simon Forsmark (Anaheim Ducks from Pittsburgh Penguins) (Details: Strong offensive numbers in U-20, not so much in SHL. Relatively safe pick with lower upside.).
0. Christian Kyrou (Boston Bruins) (Details: The oldest of 1st time eligible players. What you see might be what you get.).
55. Adam Sýkora (Winnipeg Jets from St. Louis Blues) (Details: I've been high on him even before WC, but I don't want to reach for a small LW.).

Round 3
66. Sam Rinzel (Montreal Canadiens).
67. Ludwig Persson (Arizona Coyotes).
68. Julian Lutz (Seattle Kraken).
69. Luca Del Bel Belluz (Philadelphia Flyers).
70. Lane Hutson (New Jersey Devils).
71. Noah Östlund (Carolina Hurricanes from Chicago Blackhawks).
72. Cameron Lund (Ottawa Senators).
73. Calle Odelius (Detroit Red Wings).
74. Topi Rönni (Buffalo Sabres).
75. Kirill Dolzhenkov (Montreal Canadiens from Anaheim Ducks).
76. Jordan Dumais (San Jose Sharks).
0. Maxim Mayorov (Winnipeg Jets from Columbus Blue Jackets).
78. Dylan James (New York Islanders).
79. Filip Mesar (Toronto Maple Leafs from Winnipeg Jets).
80. Topias Leinonen (Vancouver Canucks).
81. Tomas Hamara (Chicago Blackhawks from Vegas Golden Knights).
82. Matyas Sapovaliv (Nashville Predators).
83. Aleksanteri Kaskimäki (Dallas Stars).
84. Bryce McConnell-Barker (Nashville Predators from Los Angeles Kings).
85. Ryan Greene (Washington Capitals).
86. Devin Kaplan (Los Angeles Kings from Pittsburgh Penguins).
87. Jake Furlong (Ottawa Senators from Boston Bruins).
0. Logan Morrison (St. Louis Blues).
89. Jack Devine (Minnesota Wild).
90. Ty Nelson (Chicago Blackhawks from Toronto Maple Leafs).
91. Michael Buchinger (Boston Bruins from Calgary Flames).
92. Mats Lindgren (Montreal Canadiens from Carolina Hurricanes).
93. Mattias Hävelid (Florida Panthers).

CapFriendly.com User-Generated Mock-Draft

ROUND 1	TEAM	ORIGINAL	PLAYER	DETAILS

1	-	Shane Wright	His relatively low production might be an indicator of how much 2022 and 2023 draft candidates from OHL were hit by lockdowns. Safe pick.
2	-	Juraj Slafkovsky	Great performances in international tournaments. Since Olympics also better in Liiga. Rare combination of size and skill, which comes across once per draft or even less (2023: Fantilli).
3	-	Simon Nemec	Dilemma Nemec-Jiricek is similar to Heiskanen-Makar one in 2017, where Nemec is the safer pick of the two („Heiskanen“). Compare Nemec to Brandt Clarke's 2020/21 season. Slovakian league is not top-tier, but WC performance matter.
4	-	Logan Cooley	I am not trying to take anything away from Cooley, but he is smaller player and at the same time scoring-wise not dominant on his own team. I can get similar player a year later, 2023 class is forward-loaded. If I am GM of a rebuilding team, I select Jiricek here. D-men need more time and are more important.
5	-	David Jiricek	You want to have him on your team in a playoffs. But because of his style of play you might only get 60 GP out of him per season. In that aspect I compare him to Ekblad. I would love to have Jiricek at no. 2 or 3, but that would be too risky. No. 4 or 5 is OK.
6		Cutter Gauthier	His projection as NHL player looks easy. Big forward, possibly center, good goal-scorer, committed to college with good hockey program (Boston). At times his skating has been described as questionable, which it is not.
7	-	Pavel Mintyukov	Another player with easy projection as NHL player. Strong on his legs, decent size and production. In many aspects similar to Sergachev. Similar production in draft year, where Sergachev was younger, but on a good team.
8	-	Kevin Korchinski	Riskier pick than Mintyukov, but with higher upside. He has some disadvantages as a consequence of worse leg strenght, which is relatively easy to overcome. June birthday, he has grown a lot over the past year.
9	-	Joakim Kemell	I admit drafting him would make me nervous. His overall Liiga production is great, but since the injury he wasn't the same player. Not great shot selection and small stature, but he can be inventive with his shot.
10	-	Marco Kasper	He became better as the season came to the end. His play away from the puck is now better, he managed to produce in SHL playoffs. Scouting Combine Testing suggests his legs are NHL-ready.
11	-	Brad Lambert	Excellent skater, but very risky pick. He is high because I don't see class as very strong. His production on both Liiga teams wasn't great, despite playing with pedestrian linemates. His puck-carrying alone makes him interesting pick.
12	-	Frank Nazar	Creative player many fans are high on. I am cautious about Marner comparisons. In his draft year Marner was head and shoulder above his older teammates on a strong team. Nazar is also slightly shorter, which means extra risk.
13	-	Matthew Savoie	One of the more NHL-ready players of the draft class. But I am taking his production with a grain of salt. He is on a strong team and in a playoffs overshadowed by more than one teammate, including 2023 eligible player (Benson).
14	-	Gleb Trikozov	A player who posses quality that is hard to measure. He can carry his team in a playoffs with clutch performances, especially when in troubles and in goal deficit. He can create offense by himself if he needs to. August birthday.
15	-	Liam Öhgren	As captain he apparently has played in WJC with leg injury. That's a character/personality you are looking for.
16		Jonathan Lekkerimäki	Excellent sniper with suspect hockey sense and light frame. 2 red flags combined are a lot.
17	-	Lian Bichsel	Lumberjack on a skates. High pick for almost exclusively defensive D-man, but he hits adult men hard.
18	-	Rutger McGroarty	USA U-18 captain who will find his way to NHL. But the question is his upside.
19	-	Conor Geekie	He is just an average forward on his team. There are cheaper options for big C.
20	-	Isaac Howard	I just can't overlook he was NTDP's top scorer on every front (USDP, USHL and WJC).
21	-	Denton Mateychuk	Very active player every shift. I just can't be sure if his style can be directly transformed to NHL.
22		Danila Yurov	Disastrous 2nd half of a season. He did nothing to earn more ice time in the KHL.
23	-
24	-
25	-
26
27
28
29	-
30
31	-
32

ROUND 2	TEAM	ORIGINAL	PLAYER	DETAILS

33	-	Ivan Miroshnichenko	His medical treatment is over. He is healthy and can train again. Higher potential than Yurov.
34	-	Ryan Chesley	All-around D-man who is mostly defensively oriented, but can produce if he needs to.
35	-	Owen Pickering	Comparable former Bronco: Heatherington. I don't trust their program – that's why I doubt.
36		Jani Nyman	Roby Jarventie II, same club, stats, draft age and size. However, he could score more in WJC.
37	-	Nathan Gaucher	Another easy NHL projection, but questionable upside. He is on the same level as season before.
38	-	Jiri Kulich	Take his WJC production with caution, a lot was on PP. Also selfish at times.
39	-	Maveric Lamoureux	In all honesty, it's his Scouting Combine performance that I like.
40	-	Noah Warren	Big and mobile RHD. If you want one, you need to overpay/reach for them.
41	-	Jack Hughes	Projected NHL-er with unclear upside. More was expected in NCAA. Very good at Combine.
42	-	Owen Beck	He wasn't able to produce much, but is doing other things. Projected C at NHL level.
43		Rieger Lorenz	Same AJHL team as Dylan Holloway. He is also as strong and taller, but produces less.
44	-	Reid Schaefer	Role player. Power forward with NHL size who can score. Perfect fit for any NHL team.
45		Tristan Luneau	Fill-in for a team in need of RHD. The best D-man on his QMJHL team.
46		Filip Bystedt	Cheaper option for big C. Probably limited to lower lines at NHL level.
47		David Goyette	Points leader of young OHL team, over 1 PPG which is not common in this class.
48	-	Jimmy Snuggerud	Easy NHL projection. His father, uncle and cousin have all stayed in college for 3 years.
49		Adam Ingram	The best scorer on his team and the 2nd non-NTDP USHL scorer of first time eligible players.
50	-	Michael Fisher	Great D-man from weaker league. Excellent Combine. Worth late 2nd round pick.
51	-	Jagger Firkus	The best scorer on his WHL team. 150-155 lbs, he will need 3 more seasons to gain NHL weight.
52		Artem Duda	Extremely disciplined D-man, 2 PIM over the past 2 seasons in all leagues combined.
53		Simon Forsmark	Strong offensive numbers in U-20, not so much in SHL. Relatively safe pick with lower upside.
54	-	Christian Kyrou	The oldest of 1st time eligible players. What you see might be what you get.
55		Adam Sýkora	I've been high on him even before WC, but I don't want to reach for a small LW.
56	-
57
58
59	-
60	-
61
62
63	-
64
65

ROUND 3	TEAM	ORIGINAL	PLAYER	DETAILS

66	-	Sam Rinzel
67	-	Ludwig Persson
68	-	Julian Lutz
69	-	Luca Del Bel Belluz
70	-	Lane Hutson
71		Noah Östlund
72	-	Cameron Lund
73	-	Calle Odelius
74	-	Topi Rönni
75		Kirill Dolzhenkov
76	-	Jordan Dumais
77		Maxim Mayorov
78	-	Dylan James
79		Filip Mesar
80	-	Topias Leinonen
81		Tomas Hamara
82	-	Matyas Sapovaliv
83	-	Aleksanteri Kaskimäki
84		Bryce McConnell-Barker
85	-	Ryan Greene
86		Devin Kaplan
87		Jake Furlong
88	-	Logan Morrison
89	-	Jack Devine
90		Ty Nelson
91		Michael Buchinger
92		Mats Lindgren
93	-	Mattias Hävelid
94
95
96
97	-

Jun. 20, 2022 at 5:41 p.m.

dilldoughs

Joined: Mar. 2021

Posts: 322

Likes: 180

awesome post, i like this type of breakdown. thanks!

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