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Striking Black Gold

Created by: BeterChiarelli
Team: 2022-23 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 23, 2022
Published: Jun. 23, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Any serious AGM that tries to keep the Oilers as genuine contenders is going to find that solving every one of the team's issues in a single offseason is virtually impossible: unless there's some miracle trade out there yet unthought of, or some breakthrough player that Edmonton finds for pennies, the Oilers can realistically afford to do three of the following:

1. Improve the goaltending.
2. Improve the blueline.
3. Improve the depth scoring.
4. Maintain or bolster the prospect pool.
5. Eject bloat salary.

I went with options 1, 4, and 5, as I believe I ran par for the course on options 2 and 3. I don't believe in massive roster turnover - most NHL GMs don't - so I limited myself to 4 trades and tried to minimize the number of new faces. Ken Holland has biases with prospects, I tried to respect that. Josh Manson is on the record of not wanting to play in Edmonton, I've respected that as well. In all honesty, I still don't truly believe this is the season where the Oilers can do the thing: Varlamov is still only a temporary solution and the blueline needs more time to get to championship snuff, as I don't think there's a trade or signing the Oilers can afford that gets them over the hump. If they convince Jarry to sign with them the following summer, then I think the Oilers find themselves rightfully in the contender conversation. Vegas scares me, but this roster's good enough to make a series out of it that could go either way. If Colorado keeps the band together that third round series still looks like Everest.

Ducks trade sees two LTI contracts head to California to assist in cap floor-related business with Lavoie as a sweetener. They don't have a prospect like him in their system and I genuinely think he just needs a change in scenery as the Bakersfield staff (including Woody) haven't set him up for much success at all (a lot of non-NHL deals see a lot of icetime in the Oilers' system). I also have the Oilers doing a pick swap with the Ducks: if this is a weaker class, then Anaheim is going to have a want for quality over quantity whereas the Oilers have the opposite want. If the Ducks flip Gibson and Smith is healthy enough to finish his contract, he helps insulate Dostal while playing behind Stolarz. Decent fit.

Saw the Columbus trade on a Blue Jackets AGM. Heard of some Kassian interest coming out of the Ohio hockey media. I like it enough to consider it, as Edmonton is going to bleed assets in a Kassian dump regardless. Bemstrom could be worth betting on.

I think Varlamov's tune changes having seen how the far the Oilers went under Woodcroft and that the Isles' management is going to push hard on him moving on. Something tells me the Leafs win the Husso "sweepstakes". Saw Varly for next year's third rounder in an Isles' AGM. Edmonton needs the retention to accommodate this trade, so a B-prospect is sent to Long Island to compensate. Would be willing to upgrade to a second if the Isles send a fourth back.

I can't see Francis wanting to continue to suck as the newest team on the block after two essentially NHL-ready top-five picks. Mid-round picks and a bottom-sixer for pieces the Kraken could genuinely use while Edmonton saves a pile of cash. Goes to hell if the Kraken drop a Brinks truck on Klingberg, but I don't believe they'll be the team to do it as I firmly believe he stays in Dallas, how boring.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,175,000
1$775,000
2$1,175,000
2$1,175,000
1$2,500,000
3$3,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$5,500,000
3$2,250,000
2$1,250,000
2$1,250,000
2$950,000
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. 2022 2nd round pick (PIT)
  2. 2022 2nd round pick (ANA)
  3. 2022 5th round pick (TOR)
ANA
2.
EDM
  1. Bemström, Emil [RFA Rights]
CBJ
  1. Kassian, Zack
  2. 2023 1st round pick (EDM)
3.
EDM
  1. Varlamov, Semyon ($2,500,000 retained)
NYI
  1. Chiasson, Jake [Reserve List]
  2. 2023 3rd round pick (EDM)
4.
EDM
  1. Geekie, Morgan [RFA Rights]
  2. 2023 3rd round pick (CGY)
  3. 2023 4th round pick (COL)
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2022
Logo of the ANA
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2023
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the COL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2024
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$82,500,000$81,864,462$896,000$850,000$635,538

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,500,000$5,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,500,000$2,500,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,000,000$3,000,000
RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,125,000$5,125,000
LW, C
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,175,000$1,175,000
C
RFA - 1
$1,175,000$1,175,000
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,250,000$1,250,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
$1,250,000$1,250,000
C, LW
UFA
$950,000$950,000
C
UFA - 3
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$9,250,000$9,250,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,250,000$3,250,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the New York Islanders
$2,500,000$2,500,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,250,000$2,250,000
LD/RD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$750,000$750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,538,462$5,538,462
LD
NMC
UFA - 1
$1,250,000$1,250,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
$1,175,000$1,175,000
C, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$775,000$775,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$775,000$775,000
LD
UFA - 1

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Jun. 27, 2022 at 2:20 a.m.
#26
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Joined: Nov. 2020
Posts: 4,901
Likes: 1,406
Quoting: CHAR
https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/k/kuempda01.html

Take a look at that page and mouse over any of the column headers for a brief description of what goes into that stat. People love the advanced stats now so it's good the know what they are.


Ive seen a lot of advanced stats but never saw this. Thanks ill take a look
Jun. 27, 2022 at 2:32 a.m.
#27
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Joined: Nov. 2020
Posts: 4,901
Likes: 1,406
Quoting: CHAR
https://www.hockey-reference.com/players/k/kuempda01.html

Take a look at that page and mouse over any of the column headers for a brief description of what goes into that stat. People love the advanced stats now so it's good the know what they are.


So i took a look and to me it seems like a much less accurate version of goals saved above expected. In fact it might not be advanced stats at all as it just compares a goalies sv% to the league average.
It takes the amount of goals a goalie let in vs the amount of shots (his sv%) and says if he had a league average sv% he wouldve given up x amount of goals less. It doesnt provide anything extra other than a comparison of sv%. The limitations sv% has like quality of shot you have here bc at its core its not a new stat, its a comparison.
Jun. 27, 2022 at 3:40 a.m.
#28
Thread Starter
Ban Price trades
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Joined: Oct. 2017
Posts: 6,482
Likes: 6,455
Quoting: Islesforthecup
So i took a look and to me it seems like a much less accurate version of goals saved above expected. In fact it might not be advanced stats at all as it just compares a goalies sv% to the league average.
It takes the amount of goals a goalie let in vs the amount of shots (his sv%) and says if he had a league average sv% he wouldve given up x amount of goals less. It doesnt provide anything extra other than a comparison of sv%. The limitations sv% has like quality of shot you have here bc at its core its not a new stat, its a comparison.


It's simply a metric for comparing a goaltender to a league-average performing netminder. It's nowhere near the cheif tool anyone should use in an analysis. I merely used the stat as a quick means of understanding how worthwhile acquiring Varlamov would be over most other names.
Islesforthecup liked this.
Jun. 27, 2022 at 7:32 a.m.
#29
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Joined: Nov. 2020
Posts: 4,901
Likes: 1,406
Quoting: BeterChiarelli
It's simply a metric for comparing a goaltender to a league-average performing netminder. It's nowhere near the cheif tool anyone should use in an analysis. I merely used the stat as a quick means of understanding how worthwhile acquiring Varlamov would be over most other names.


Fair enough i was just saying (very emphatically) that its not a metric its a comparison. It also uses sv% which is solid but does have its flaws. Nothing wrong with it just pointing things out.
 
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