Quoting: Howie
Dubois would 100% make the team better when he's there regardless. The fact is the trade value might be high sure but the asset you're getting is top teir not available many other ways. The fact he's local does charities there, grew up a habs fan. Even if it's a lot what's stopping the habs from having Dubois the rest of his career? Yes a trade can be expensive but there is also value in games played for a team. Common Example of this is the evander kane deal to buffalo. We got many players from the deal but if you look at the deal not many aspect are left. Tyler Myers played a lot of games, armia, Stafford, roslovic played some as well. In this deal both teams got assets and kane was flipped for assets that recouped many of what was traded. Does this mean that the jets got nothing for kane? No but the games and years that the player plays on the team where he improves the overall outlook for a team is key. If Dubois got traded for a lot but was an active member of the community, was a good player and provided many aspects that mtl don't currently have. Sure they might not make the playoffs next year with Dubois that isn't the point. He could be there for 10 plus years 800 some games and just be someone everyone loves on their team. Trading for dubois would open themselves up to more opportunities with other players wanted to play in mtl with an up and coming team. If they make a splash with this deal it would be the beginning of the turnaround. The rebuild wouldn't be over but steps in becoming more competitive for playoffs are in place. A team that shows that they are trying to emerge from a rebuild and be a contender with the underlying assets many other options for trade and ufa will want to come based on the projection. Dubois accelerates this projection and thus the likelihood of more impact players wanting to come to mtl.
Look I get you want to get some huge package for Dubois, I would too if I were a Jets fan. The thing is the Habs have 3 options with regards to PLD
Option 1 - Wait until FA and hope he signs like he says he wants to, if you miss out you miss out but didn't give up a huge package.
Option 2 - Trade a huge package for him after the season ends and sign him to an extension, problem here is the package will hurt as you eluded to the equivalent of Meier most likely
Option 3 - Wait until the opening of FA this summer then OS PLD at his QO (6.3 Mil) potentially giving up just a 2024 1st and 3rd. Now what this does is force the Jets to negotiate a more palatable trade package or they match and Montreal signs PLD in FA anyway. The Jets can't flip PLD at the 2024 TDL if they match the OS cause you can't trade a player for a year after you match an OS. So this really puts pressure on the Jets to either match and let PLD walk for free after 2024 or not match and let him walk for a 1st and 3rd or negotiate a trade that both sides can live with. This is the route I would take if I was Hughes and I didn't like the asking price.
I think that a deal that works for both sides will be worked out either at the draft or shortly before FA opens on July 1st. By that I mean something in the range of the Panther's 1st or the Habs 2024 1st + Mesar + Barron + a fringe roster player. Fans on both sides are going to complain about the cost/payment but it will be something that both GM's can say was fair from their perspectives.