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Intersting Marner trade from a Leafs fan - impact

Created by: GoCanes
Team: 2023-24 Carolina Hurricanes
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 20, 2023
Published: Jun. 20, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
- I saw this proposed by a Leafs fan and initially dismissed it
- Upon further review, it is interesting as the Canes seem to be "in" on elite level players when available
1) Canes take on ~$5 million more in cap space this year (~$12m vs ~$7m) which is no problem
2) The cap hit next year and beyond could be fairly similar as Pesce and Necas will likely be at ~$6-$7m each after next season
3) Marner is by far the top player in this deal
4) Necas is really good and young, but he's not going to be cheap any more after this year
5) If Pesce decides not to agree to a reasonable extension then I'm not sure the Canes could do much better than this
6) We'd still have all our draft picks for future depth and/or to add to this team - in this example also adding TK for picks/prospects
7) It opens an opportunity for Morrow to come in and potentially play in the top 4 at the end of this season and beyond
- that top 9 is both dangerous and good defensively
- Drury/Rees play until Patches is ready
- Still cap space and picks/prospects available to add at the deadline
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$800,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$4,000,000
1$2,000,000
2$3,250,000
1$800,000
1$2,000,000
3$3,000,000
2$1,500,000
Trades
1.
2.
PHI
  1. Ponomarev, Vasili
  2. 2023 1st round pick (CAR)
  3. 2024 2nd round pick (PHI)
Additional Details:
could add another prospect or pick
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the PHI
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CHI
Logo of the CAR
2024
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
2025
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the CAR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$83,500,000$82,257,417$450,000$500,000$1,242,583
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$7,750,000$7,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$8,460,250$8,460,250
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$10,903,000$10,903,000
RW
NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$4,820,000$4,820,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,400,000$5,400,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$3,250,000$3,250,000
C, LW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$1,800,000$1,800,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
$1,500,000$1,500,000
C, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$762,500$762,500
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$925,000$925,000
C
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,300,000$5,300,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,280,000$5,280,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$4,000,000$4,000,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,250,000$5,250,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$762,500$762,500
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$2,000,000$2,000,000
G
UFA - 1
$3,000,000$3,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,400,000$1,400,000
RD
RFA - 1
Taxi Squad
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$2,000,000$2,000,000 ($850,000$850K$850,000$850K)
G
UFA - 4
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
LD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$839,167$839,167 ($0$0$0$0)
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
RD
RFA - 1

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Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:08 p.m.
#26
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Quoting: ecupirate07
Aho can be re-signed this offseason. Also this is a false equivalency since we aren’t trading assets for Aho


So, you won't trade for anyone that isn't under "team control"? If so, you should be come a Coyotes fan. Good luck finding an upgrade with goalscoring that is already under "team control" for more than 2 years.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:10 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: GoCanes
So, you won't trade for anyone that isn't under "team control"? If so, you should be come a Coyotes fan. Good luck finding an upgrade with goalscoring that is already under "team control" for more than 2 years.


Lol. Someone doesn’t pay attention to how the FO works
Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:34 p.m.
#28
Hurricane Waddell
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I didn’t say you did Herb, I was allowing a spot for the masses to insert their own favorite trope. I do like that it made you laugh out loud however, we can always see the positives in things.

Quoting: Herb_Brooks
I didnt say anything about a small market lol
Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:38 p.m.
#29
Hurricane Waddell
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As an example, if the Canes agreed to a deal for Nylander with the Leafs but they wanted an extension as part of it (assuming Leafs agree) - that is optimal. They then know what Nylander is looking for and have that information to make informed decisions on.

Marner is more expensive, with more long term uncertainty…and you can make the argument that Nylander fits what the Canes need more than Marner.

That is my logic

Quoting: GoCanes
So you'd be more comfortable trading for Nylander who is on an expiring contract and due a raise and to negotiate after 7/1 vs Marner who has 2 years left and likely won't command a substantial raise? Personally, I don't understand that logic.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:53 p.m.
#30
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Quoting: ecupirate07
Lol. Someone doesn’t pay attention to how the FO works


3 things:
1) The Canes know they are in a cup window right now. They even stated publicly (for the first time) that they would potentially be willing to move a 1st round pick for a rental at the last trade deadline. Times have changed as this core ages.
2) Neither Pesce nor Necas are under team control for more than the next 2 years
3) You are correct, this Canes FO would never give up a good asset (3rd round pick or higher or a good roster player/prospects) for players that aren't under team control for at least 3 years - Trochek, Ghost, Vatanen, Edmundson, Bear, Hakanpaa, etc... smile smile smile
Jun. 20, 2023 at 3:55 p.m.
#31
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Quoting: Caniac555
As an example, if the Canes agreed to a deal for Nylander with the Leafs but they wanted an extension as part of it (assuming Leafs agree) - that is optimal. They then know what Nylander is looking for and have that information to make informed decisions on.

Marner is more expensive, with more long term uncertainty…and you can make the argument that Nylander fits what the Canes need more than Marner.

That is my logic


I can completely understand your point that Nylander may fit the team needs more effectively than Marner. And I totally understand and would prefer if Nylander comes with a 7 year extension. I just don't see how it makes sense to prefer a 1 year rental (and "we'll talk in July") vs a 2 year contracted player (purely from a conceptual perspective). You can talk extension with either of them at any time once they are on your team. And I think the cost certainty for Marner is much more clear than Nylander (who is currently underpaid). Marner may not even get a raise with his next deal... We will see. In other words, you already have the cap space allocated for Marner. You may not for Nylander.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 4:04 p.m.
#32
Hurricane Waddell
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I would not trade for a ‘we will talk in July’ rental.

Quoting: GoCanes
I can completely understand your point that Nylander may fit the team needs more effectively than Marner. And I totally understand and would prefer if Nylander comes with a 7 year extension. I just don't see how it makes sense to prefer a 1 year rental (and "we'll talk in July") vs a 2 year contracted player (purely from a conceptual perspective). You can talk extension with either of them at any time once they are on your team. And I think the cost certainty for Marner is much more clear than Nylander (who is currently underpaid). Marner may not even get a raise with his next deal... We will see. In other words, you already have the cap space allocated for Marner. You may not for Nylander.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 4:38 p.m.
#33
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Quoting: GoCanes
3 things:
1) The Canes know they are in a cup window right now. They even stated publicly (for the first time) that they would potentially be willing to move a 1st round pick for a rental at the last trade deadline. Times have changed as this core ages.
2) Neither Pesce nor Necas are under team control for more than the next 2 years
3) You are correct, this Canes FO would never give up a good asset (3rd round pick or higher or a good roster player/prospects) for players that aren't under team control for at least 3 years - Trochek, Ghost, Vatanen, Edmundson, Bear, Hakanpaa, etc... smile smile smile

All those pieces you mentioned aren’t even supporting your argument. They are doing the opposite. 3rd round picks aren’t “good assets.”
We gave up a bust for Hakanpää
We got back bokk who had control with Edmundson. So that doesn’t support your point
Tro, we traded a fallen out rental and a bunch of low level pieces. Not talking high level, nhl roster players.

You tried to make a point terribly.

Check necas. He is a RFA after his deal, he definitely has team control. They didn’t say they would move a first for a rental, they said they would be aggressive for the right piece.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 5:42 p.m.
#34
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Quoting: ecupirate07
All those pieces you mentioned aren’t even supporting your argument. They are doing the opposite. 3rd round picks aren’t “good assets.”
We gave up a bust for Hakanpää
We got back bokk who had control with Edmundson. So that doesn’t support your point
Tro, we traded a fallen out rental and a bunch of low level pieces. Not talking high level, nhl roster players.

You tried to make a point terribly.

Check necas. He is a RFA after his deal, he definitely has team control. They didn’t say they would move a first for a rental, they said they would be aggressive for the right piece.


I'll reiterate point #1 - times are definitely different

For 2 - My understanding is Necas is only under team control until '25, right? So 2 more years? Maybe it's 3? Regardless, he won't be cheap anymore and can leave if he'd like as a UFA. Pesce is not under team control beyond this year. Plus, in this deal, we'd be getting Lilegren who would be under team control as well. So, it's still 2 guys in with 2 or more years of control with 1 going out.

For 3 - again, see point #1. AND, a 3rd round pick for a 3 month deadline acquisition isn't all that much different (in terms of value) than a 1st for a 2 year "rental". The point is simple... even the "asset control" Canes have given up picks and prospects for rentals and short term commitments. I'll admit, I laughed when typing Vatanen and Hakanpaasmile The deal that is most similar to what is proposed on this thread is Troch... The Canes gave up a lot of assets for a 2 year "rental" and nobody had a problem with it. We can look back now, evaluate how the assets spent have turned out, and say we won that trade. But we still only had Troch for 2 years! We gave up a 1st for 3 years of Skjei who was a much larger gamble than acquiring a Mitch Marner. I just don't see a big difference... Marner would be here for 2 years minimum. And I think he'd be a relatively easy negotiation to keep beyond as he already makes a huge salary so there won't be this 30-40% jump in a salary request. This isn't some prized & controlled asset dump for a rental.
Jun. 20, 2023 at 8:59 p.m.
#35
LongtimeLeafsufferer
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Quoting: GoCanes
Interesting... I assumed this trade would come with a Pesce extension in place (or at least an agreement to the framework). I agree, this deal never happens without a Pesce extension. That is a must.


I just don't see how contending teams (in the case the Canes) say to an important member of their team...."We want your ass outta here, so hurry up and sign an extension so we an trade you the Leafs. But if can't come to an agreement on an extension to the Leafs, you are welcome back to the Canes family as we go on another Cup run."
Jun. 28, 2023 at 6:51 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: palhal
I just don't see how contending teams (in the case the Canes) say to an important member of their team...."We want your ass outta here, so hurry up and sign an extension so we an trade you the Leafs. But if can't come to an agreement on an extension to the Leafs, you are welcome back to the Canes family as we go on another Cup run."


Because it’s a sign and trade… there is no extension with the Canes. The contract being signed is for the Leafs. This literally happens all the time. Like a day ago with PLD.
Jun. 28, 2023 at 6:57 p.m.
#37
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Quoting: GoCanes
Because it’s a sign and trade… there is no extension with the Canes. The contract being signed is for the Leafs. This literally happens all the time. Like a day ago with PLD.


You have to be kidding if you think it was the same. PLD was an going to a RFA July 1st....free to sign with any team in the NHL (with compensation going back to the Jets).
Pesce in under contract for one more year to the Canes.
Jun. 28, 2023 at 7:12 p.m.
#38
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Quoting: palhal
You have to be kidding if you think it was the same. PLD was an going to a RFA July 1st....free to sign with any team in the NHL (with compensation going back to the Jets).
Pesce in under contract for one more year to the Canes.


Pesce can sign an extension with Car at any time. If the contract parameters are too pricey for the Canes liking then signing it with the intent to trade to Tor is exactly the same thing. It garners a higher return because Pesce comes with term. Win had team control for a full year as well. Nobody was going to sign PLD to an offer sheet. This is literally no different. PLD wasn’t moving to the team of his choice until next summer either.
 
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