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Can enough be done without fixing the goaltending

Created by: BeterChiarelli
Team: 2023-24 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Nov. 2, 2023
Published: Nov. 2, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Trades
1.
CGY
  1. Akey, Beau
  2. Broberg, Philip
  3. Ceci, Cody
  4. 2024 2nd round pick (EDM)
  5. 2025 1st round pick (EDM)
2.
EDM
  1. Konecny, Travis ($2,750,000 retained)
  2. Seeler, Nick
  3. 2024 5th round pick (LAK)
PHI
  1. Holloway, Dylan
  2. Kulak, Brett
  3. 2024 1st round pick (EDM)
  4. 2026 1st round pick (EDM)
3.
EDM
  1. Dowd, Nic ($650,000 retained)
  2. 2024 6th round pick (WSH)
WSH
  1. Lavoie, Raphael
  2. 2025 3rd round pick (EDM)
Buyouts
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the LAK
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NSH
Logo of the WSH
Logo of the EDM
2025
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2026
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$83,500,000$83,429,167$850,000$0$70,833

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,125,000$5,125,000
LW, C
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,125,000$5,125,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,100,000$2,100,000
C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$900,000$900,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$762,500$762,500
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$650,000$650,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$775,000$775,000
RW, C
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$9,250,000$9,250,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$4,550,000$4,550,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,600,000$2,600,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,900,000$3,900,000
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$762,500$762,500
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
$775,000$775,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$762,500$762,500
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$775,000$775,000
LD
UFA - 2

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Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:10 p.m.
#1
Danny B is here
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I would do this I think for the Flyers at least. Is Kulak even semi-useful at this point or is he just a dump?
Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:11 p.m.
#2
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Quoting: GMDannyB
I would do this I think for the Flyers at least. Is Kulak even semi-useful at this point or is he just a dump?


Bit of Column A, bit of Column B. He's a perfect third-pairing guy, but he's expensive.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:17 p.m.
#3
GO FLAMES GO
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Not interested in helping EDM
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Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:17 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: Gmonwy
Not interested in helping EDM


I expected this honestly. How's the value?
Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:33 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Bit of Column A, bit of Column B. He's a perfect third-pairing guy, but he's expensive.


^ Kulak is an elite 3rd pair dman, but struggles playing more than that. That being said, he's been a complete rockstar for the Oilers last 2 playoff runs. And he played more than just third pair mins.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:40 p.m.
#6
GO FLAMES GO
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
I expected this honestly. How's the value?


Better than some of the other offers I have seen, in the prospect game against you guys I was kinda impressed with Akey, 1st could help us land Iginla, 2nd and Broberg, this seems like it might be 2.5-3 1sts which is pretty good
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Nov. 2, 2023 at 4:41 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: Gmonwy
Better than some of the other offers I have seen, in the prospect game against you guys I was kinda impressed with Akey, 1st could help us land Iginla, 2nd and Broberg, this seems like it might be 2.5-3 1sts which is pretty good


A lot of scouts thought Akey would have gone late in the first round. I'd be unsurprised to see Beau redrafted much higher than the late second in as early as two years.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:07 p.m.
#8
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Flames trade I’d pass on. Andersson is a really good player but I just don’t see as that significant of a step up from ceci who is kinda dramatically undervalued. Both players play a lot of the tougher minutes for respected team but only one has made the playoffs past few years. I’m not saying ceci is better I’m just iffy on how big that gap really is.
Philly trade again I’d pass because I think spending too much because of the second year on his deal. Rather target pending ufa like Ebs at much lower cost.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:13 p.m.
#9
Danny B is here
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Bit of Column A, bit of Column B. He's a perfect third-pairing guy, but he's expensive.


Quoting: BeterChiarelli
I expected this honestly. How's the value?


Yeah that’s fair, unfortunately even elite 3rd pairing defenseman don’t make that much. Seeler was elite in every metric last year for 3rd pairing guys and he makes basically vet minimum lol. But appreciate the insight
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Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:24 p.m.
#10
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I like every trade but the Washington one because oilers got bjugstad at 50% retained for a 3rd and very low end prospect Dowd does have 2 years left but I think a 2nd would get this deal done at 50% retained and the oilers shouldn’t trade Lavoie right now with how he’s playing down in the AHL
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:25 p.m.
#11
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Quoting: Timmah007
Flames trade I’d pass on. Andersson is a really good player but I just don’t see as that significant of a step up from ceci who is kinda dramatically undervalued. Both players play a lot of the tougher minutes for respected team but only one has made the playoffs past few years. I’m not saying ceci is better I’m just iffy on how big that gap really is.
Philly trade again I’d pass because I think spending too much because of the second year on his deal. Rather target pending ufa like Ebs at much lower cost.


PuckIQ is a hell of a resource that a few people have finally pushed me into looking into. I know Lowetide is a fan of it too. Andersson has been, especially at his price point, one of the most effective RHD in the league versus elite competition for some time now. By the metric of DFF% (defensive fenwick for/against as a percentage) and a minimum of 300min TOI versus elite competition last year, Andersson was 6th among all RHD (11th among all defencemen period) sitting very nicely at 54.2% (Tanev and Weegar are 1st and 4th [Weegar is 8th among all] but one's a pure rental and the other is far too expensive). Ceci is 33rd for all RHD (64th overall) with 47.4%.

Following only pure logic, there are 32 #1 RHD spots in the NHL, and I'm willing to extrapolate further to include all top four positions and look at 64 bonafide right-handed defenders. Andersson is in the top 10% of all RHD in terms of which way the puck goes while he's on the ice. Ceci is in the middle of the pack. Considering that Andersson is on a very Klefbom-esque deal and the Flames appear to be on a super-highway to hell, he should be target #1 for Edmonton. His term fits excellently in what's currently left of Edmonton's window. The ask is going to be substantial but I don't think Akey is helping the McDavid Oilers win a cup (by my eye he's part of the core that would follow an exodus). Losing Broberg stings the most as there's little in terms of a direct Ekholm replacement in the organization right now.

The only problem with acquiring Eberle in lieu of Konecny is that you have the exact same problem next summer in terms of trying to fit two top-six wingers onto this roster with minimal cap space to work with. Having Konecny reduces that to one (someone to replace Foegele). Their 5v5 production is equal over the past three years with the edge going to Travis with consideration to special teams. That extra year at sub-$3M does wonders for the Oilers and gives the team enough runway for the cap to outpace their bad spending habits. It's an incredibly expensive investment but if the Oilers can manage to extend him, their top six is essentially set until the very end of the Draisaitl-McDavid era when both men are over 40.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:27 p.m.
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Quoting: Oilers_29
I like every trade but the Washington one because oilers got bjugstad at 50% retained for a 3rd and very low end prospect Dowd does have 2 years left but I think a 2nd would get this deal done at 50% retained and the oilers shouldn’t trade Lavoie right now with how he’s playing down in the AHL


Dowd has been one of the best 4th-line centers for a while now and the Oilers' PK stinks. If the organization wanted to play Lavoie, he'd have been on the roster over Erne and now Gagner.

Lavoie does absolutely nothing for this team while he's in the AHL and instead of risking him not signing in the summer because of Holland and Woodcroft's mismanagement of the player, I'd love to see this exact solution to our PK and bottom-six woes brought in.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:29 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Dowd has been one of the best 4th-line centers for a while now and the Oilers' PK stinks. If the organization wanted to play Lavoie, he'd have been on the roster over Erne and now Gagner.

Lavoie does absolutely nothing for this team while he's in the AHL and instead of risking him not signing in the summer because of Holland and Woodcroft's mismanagement of the player, I'd love to see this exact solution to our PK and bottom-six woes brought in.

They didn’t call up lavoie because how can a player be good playing only 8 mins a game? They wanna call lavoie up and never send him back down again that’s why they chose gagner over him
Nov. 2, 2023 at 5:31 p.m.
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Quoting: Oilers_29
They didn’t call up lavoie because how can a player be good playing only 8 mins a game? They wanna call lavoie up and never send him back down again that’s why they chose gagner over him


Derek Ryan has the only point on Edmonton's current bottom-six. It's an assist on an empty-net goal. They have a need for Lavoie on the third line that is encroaching on desperate right now and neither Holland or Woodcroft are willing to execute on bringing him up. The organization does not want him period. As it stands, he's most effective to the Oilers as a trade asset until the club actually gets off their ass and promotes the kid.
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Nov. 2, 2023 at 6:01 p.m.
#15
See you space cowboy
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I'd take it if I were the Flyers. That's an offer you really can't beat.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 6:10 p.m.
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Derek Ryan has the only point on Edmonton's current bottom-six. It's an assist on an empty-net goal. They have a need for Lavoie on the third line that is encroaching on desperate right now and neither Holland or Woodcroft are willing to execute on bringing him up. The organization does not want him period. As it stands, he's most effective to the Oilers as a trade asset until the club actually gets off their ass and promotes the kid.


I still think giving up lavoie for only Dowd isn’t the right choice to make because once again we got Bjugstad for cheaper and I personally think he’s better than Dowd and we were able to get him for a lot cheaper
Nov. 2, 2023 at 6:24 p.m.
#17
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Quoting: Oilers_29
I still think giving up lavoie for only Dowd isn’t the right choice to make because once again we got Bjugstad for cheaper and I personally think he’s better than Dowd and we were able to get him for a lot cheaper


Take a few moments to go compare how much better Dowd is than Bjugstad and it might make a bit more sense. Bjugstad had his counting metrics inflated by a depleted Coyotes roster last year. He was a borderline detriment to the Oilers once he arrived.
Nov. 2, 2023 at 9:16 p.m.
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
PuckIQ is a hell of a resource that a few people have finally pushed me into looking into. I know Lowetide is a fan of it too. Andersson has been, especially at his price point, one of the most effective RHD in the league versus elite competition for some time now. By the metric of DFF% (defensive fenwick for/against as a percentage) and a minimum of 300min TOI versus elite competition last year, Andersson was 6th among all RHD (11th among all defencemen period) sitting very nicely at 54.2% (Tanev and Weegar are 1st and 4th [Weegar is 8th among all] but one's a pure rental and the other is far too expensive). Ceci is 33rd for all RHD (64th overall) with 47.4%.

Following only pure logic, there are 32 #1 RHD spots in the NHL, and I'm willing to extrapolate further to include all top four positions and look at 64 bonafide right-handed defenders. Andersson is in the top 10% of all RHD in terms of which way the puck goes while he's on the ice. Ceci is in the middle of the pack. Considering that Andersson is on a very Klefbom-esque deal and the Flames appear to be on a super-highway to hell, he should be target #1 for Edmonton. His term fits excellently in what's currently left of Edmonton's window. The ask is going to be substantial but I don't think Akey is helping the McDavid Oilers win a cup (by my eye he's part of the core that would follow an exodus). Losing Broberg stings the most as there's little in terms of a direct Ekholm replacement in the organization right now.

The only problem with acquiring Eberle in lieu of Konecny is that you have the exact same problem next summer in terms of trying to fit two top-six wingers onto this roster with minimal cap space to work with. Having Konecny reduces that to one (someone to replace Foegele). Their 5v5 production is equal over the past three years with the edge going to Travis with consideration to special teams. That extra year at sub-$3M does wonders for the Oilers and gives the team enough runway for the cap to outpace their bad spending habits. It's an incredibly expensive investment but if the Oilers can manage to extend him, their top six is essentially set until the very end of the Draisaitl-McDavid era when both men are over 40.


I’m willing to admit the gap between andersson and ceci may be larger than I may have originally been thinking and can’t disagree his contract looks attractive. I’m just not comfortable with these price tags. if That’s the ask from teams I’d look elsewhere if price goes down I don’t dislike the targets.
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