Quoting: coga16
Quoting: SuprDave45
the other side of the ledger has two players and a pick...where is the "free"?
The most you could hope for would be Deangelo instead of Graves. That would be yet another first rounder, a really steep price for a guy who finished with 41 pts and a -34 last year, but OK I can live with that.
But Skjei? When it's said and done Skjei ends up worth more than Duchene straight up, not gonna happen.
May end up...he could be average, could be great you dont know. People confuse potential as face value all the time. You know what Duchene has done and can do in this league, young players are a roll of the dice. He had a great season last year, but look at Olli matta, codi ceci, etc etc, this happens often that a Young Dman doesnt replicate their early success. (I think Skjei will be a good one personally) but there is still risk in there. Look at Carlo who was a stud for 40 games and then really struggled as the season went along. These guys are still trying to figure out the league.
Graves isnt anything special of a D prospect, not saying hes a bad one, just that Avs have D prospects like him already so you arent giving up anything that Avs dont already have. A Projected 2nd Pairing Dman a few years away (Meloche, Timmins, Bigras for the Avs)...that doesnt move the needle
And the free comment is that since the ask has always been 3 pieces, retaining on top of that and not adding anything to the trade would be "free". Trade duchene at 4.5m for 2 years would cost more to the trade to a team.
Yes, may end up better than Duchene....that isn't taking into account what he IS already. He isn't trying to figure it out, he already has, that's why your asking in the first place. We aren't talking about a 40 game sample size, he's already played a season and a half and has been stellar. Comparing him to Ceci is not even close, Ceci is steady and does log minutes....Skjei is superior in every measurable way. if Ottawa came knocking for Duchene with a package around Ceci, you wouldn't even listen. Sorry, not confused on his current face value vs his potential, comparing him to the guys you listed kinda indicates that you are honestly, but hey to each their own.
No, Graves isn't a top pair D man, definitely agree, but he is a 2nd pair guy. Saying he doesn't move the needle combined with the "free comment" is assuming the asking price is correct for Duchene...which everyone around the league has turned their nose up to...its the reason he still hasn't been moved. Either way if you are honest, looking at Colorado's roster he would start today! That's a bird in the hand, and if you had plenty of prospects who could start on D today, why shop for d men?
if you take out the natural urge to make a team overpay for your player...here is the middle of the road logic of the deal:
Miller nearly replaces Duchene...and 'may end up' better in the long run...but given he isn't now, he isn't enough (he does however meet one of the asking price pieces)
Graves gives you an instant upgrade and future 2nd pair guy...(not equal to the asking price based on the desire for a 1st pair guy, but a step down)
1st round pick...now is where you would use the phrase "roll of the dice" correctly...(meets the asking price)
The consensus asking price has been "previous 1st pick roster player, 1st pick prospect, and a future 1st pick". Negotiation means the price moves around...hence Graves instead of "1st pick prospect"....but for the sake of honoring the asking price, sub in Deangelo for Graves...done.
Asking for Skjei on top of the met asking price...is why Duchene hasn't moved.