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Arh613

Member Since
Oct. 8, 2021
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Buffalo Sabres
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Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2022 at 1:57 p.m.
Thread: Buffalo - Meier Trade Cap Management Year 1
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arh613</b></div><div>I understand where you are coming from here, but, like I had said earlier in the comments, I am trying to show Sabres fans that there is cap room over the next couple of years to make a trade or signing of a really high-end player such as Meier!

Also, I think that Rosen is a little slept on being a lottery pick in 2021, Ryan Johnson was a first and could play in the NHL now, but wanted to go back to school (if he doesn't sign he returns a 2nd rounder for comp) so yes I agree that this definitely won't be the final package, a bottom 6 (fringe middle 6) roster player w/ team control, two recent first round picks, and two seconds is not the worst offer you are gonna see on here :)</div></div>

I like Rosen and Johnson (CA boy) a lot so I'm biased, but if you drop Merkley and upgrade the 2nd to a 1st I'd be fine with SJ doing that. And yeah, can't believe people thought Buffalo didn't have room
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2022 at 1:59 p.m.
Thread: Buffalo - Meier Trade Cap Management Year 1
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arh613</b></div><div>I understand where you are coming from here, but, like I had said earlier in the comments, I am trying to show Sabres fans that there is cap room over the next couple of years to make a trade or signing of a really high-end player such as Meier!

Also, I think that Rosen is a little slept on being a lottery pick in 2021, Ryan Johnson was a first and could play in the NHL now, but wanted to go back to school (if he doesn't sign he returns a 2nd rounder for comp) so yes I agree that this definitely won't be the final package, a bottom 6 (fringe middle 6) roster player w/ team control, two recent first round picks, and two seconds is not the worst offer you are gonna see on here :)</div></div>

I like Rosen, not a top prospect but a good one, Johnson is okay. Mittlestadt is just meh. Definitely not the worst trade we’ve seen by a bit lol
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2022 at 11:02 a.m.
Thread: Sabres
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Matthew Phillips looks impressive every year too but that doesn't make him a high value trade piece. if you are so high on Rousek then keep him because the rest of the league likely isn't. Offer a prospect that actually catches people's attention, not like Buffalo doesn't have any</div></div>

I'd argue that Johnson is that prospect - recent 1st rounder, projected middle-pair LD. Rousek is the B-tier, wild-card prospect. The 2023 1st is probably a late lottery pick. I'd argue this is a very favorable comp to the Kevin Fiala trade from last summer. If we assume that Meier keeps up his pace, he probably ends up around 70ish points - less than what Fiala did last year but not terribly less. Brock Faber was a slightly better prospect than Johnson currently is, sure, but most of his evaluations come in as a middle pair D with a potential to pop and become a top pair guy. If Buffalo picks in the 10-13 range, they're giving up a better pick (in a deeper draft) than LA giving up 19OA in 2022, plus they're throwing in Rousek and a roster player in MIttelstadt - I'd argue the value more than evens out with the Fiala trade based on the additional assets the Sabres throw in.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 30, 2022 at 1:13 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14, 2022 at 1:10 p.m.
Thread: What is the cost for Marino
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabresparaavida</b></div><div>Well Rosen was 13th OA last year, and Mitts is slotted to be 2C/3C next year, battling with Cozens. And the comment was more geared to how KA is building the team. KA has no interest in short term success, he wants to build a perennial contender, and his words and actions have all shown how he wants to build up by drafting and developing. He’s not going to sacrifice players that could be key 3,4 years down the road to make the team better now. I think the defense is set outside of perhaps a 5-7D add, and the forwards are probably set outside of taking on a cap dump for assets.</div></div>

Marino is locked for 5 years and is only 25. I don’t think It’s a short sighted move at all
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27, 2022 at 2:14 p.m.
Thread: Buffalo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arh613</b></div><div>I guess that I was under the impression that WSH could be looking to upgrade in net.. The idea is that Bob at 5m isn't a cap dump anymore, especially not to a team who's looking to compete.

It doesn't make any sense to me that you would be getting both the quality starting goaltender and middle 6 C for Iorio and a 5th..

FLA needs cap relief -&gt; Buffalo provides cap relief and upgrades at forward as payment
WSH could use help in net -&gt; BUF gets paid to provide starting G

If you want Bennett, you can eat the total 12.5 Million of Bob 8 &amp; Bennett ~4.5 and cut Buffalo out, but I don't think that you can afford that so both teams are paying the middle man to help facilitate a deal</div></div>

Yea I think that for me Bob at 5m is still a cap dump. While they definitely would rather not spend money that way, the caps spending 12.5m on Bob + Bennett isn't completely crazy and they have a ton of money to spend with Backstrom being out
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 17, 2022 at 2:35 p.m.
Thread: Just trying this out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arh613</b></div><div>Just curious as to why you so quickly qualify Ryan Johnson as a "B Prospect"? Just curious about what the scale is, because the only reason he hasn't signed with Buffalo yet is that we have Dahlin, Power, &amp; Samuelsson all in front of him on the left side, that doesn't really leave a lot of room for him. He's a really high quality two way defenseman who's close to NHL ready and has a top4 ceiling IMO, what about that makes him a "B Prospect" to you? Also, note that I'm not trying to be rude here because I know nothing about Senators prospects, but I'm curious what makes him a B for you.

*Edit - I know that Ryan Johnson is a Sabres prospect, I'm saying from the self awareness of knowing that I know nothing about Senators' prospects I'm curious how you are ranking/grading Sabres prospects</div></div>

Oh, I like him a lot, usually I rank based on what line/ pairing I see them being by using a lot of the prospect ranking sites… I think he is going to be a solid middle pair D,

Lodin is just some very flashy prospect that could be a good middle six player, but will be fun to watch especially in shootouts
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 6, 2022 at 3:00 p.m.
Thread: Mock Offseason 21 - Keep Building
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RevRyan</b></div><div>Lol this is hilarious. As a Sabres fan, the real world isn't NHL Franchise Mode. We aren't getting Samsonov, first off. Secondly, that Calgary trade is laughable, and there isn't a chance in the world Calgary accepts that, especially since they are likely losing Johnny hockey. Lastly, and most ridiculously, an offer sheet for Kakko is a complete joke. Most teams dont do that in general, its not gonna happen. And at that price, not a chance in the world that the Rangers dont match that. This is reality friend, not a video game. Sabres will do none of this.</div></div>

Umm actually this isnt reality, i feel pretty comfortable stating no one posting on here is an nhl gm.

Also im a kakko fan, so go fot the offer sheet ARH613! I'd actually put a few more years on it so i could say he'd be worth every penny in the market 4 years from now. All the arguement here over olofosson and mangiapane, kakko's better than both. Neither where in the nhl let alone the playoffs at his age and hes trending to match thier production next year. Like i said the only issue i have with the sheet is get more term if you think he's gonna be worth it at all.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 6, 2022 at 2:14 p.m.
Thread: Mock Offseason 21 - Keep Building
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arh613</b></div><div>Fair enough, this is the best response that I've gotten on this website maybe ever, so thank you. If Monahan is hurt to start the season, but then is healthy in say December, wouldn't Calgary still have to have the space to bring him back onto the active roster? Also, I guess from an outside perspective, even though Monahan was injured wasn't he playing mostly on the fourth line at least towards the end of this year?

Finally, in my opinion, analytics can be very helpful and useful in evaluating a players use / contribution to the teams success, but sometimes I think that people can go a little too far with it. For instance in Buffalo Asplund is great analytically and as you've seen Olofsson is not, but Olofsson is still a better hockey player and will be compensated as such. Another example is Patrik Laine, he sucks analytically, but he is very good at scoring, which is a huge portion of the game and he is still a really good player. Moral of the story is that I think that analytics are really good and valuable when building a team, but I think there is more to hockey than just that, but I digress.

On another note, in a vacuum, what is Mangiapane worth to you in terms of trade value?</div></div>

It was reported at the exit interview that Monahan is weeks ahead of schedule on his recovery and should start skating this month. Barring a completely unrelated injury during training camp or preseason it is very unlikely Monahan starts the season injured in a position where he comes back a few months later.

Yes he did play on the 4th line this year and was even scratched for 2 games. His issue is he is too much of a warrior. Often it is a good thing when a hockey player is a warrior because they will tough put some aches. With Monahan he will he takes it to the other extreme. Until he approached management and got the x-rays in April about maybe having an issue they were completely unaware how bad his 2nd hip had deteriorated. It was the exact same thing the year before. After the season Monahan admitted to having the first hip start causing problems only 6 games in. Yet he played through it for another 44 games before the issue came to light and he was sidelined (note that him now favoring the other leg more probably sped up the deterioration of the 2nd hip). Hindsight would have been to check it right away and LTIR him last year and move Bennett to center. Then maybe he could have been back in time and healthy for playoffs. Instead he played at like 50% all season.

Mind you this is just to explain the last 2 years. He's now successfully had the double hip surgeries and that should no longer be an issue. He may not fully return to form but I look at Tarasenko as a player in a similar situation. 2 years in a row ended by major shoulder surgery, comes back and has a fantastic year.

I understand your view on analytics and I for the most part agree with it. To me analytics should be viewed at about 30-40% of the whole picture. Seth Jones comes to mind. Always seems to suck analytically but in reality he is a legitimate #1. But on the other side they cant be ignored. For example Tyson Barrie, great at putting up points but horrible analytically.

The thing is it is very hard to compare 2 players on different teams without using analytics. I think Olofsson is a solid player but I see him as similar to Kubalik, whereas I see Mangiapane as similar or vetter than Reinhart (that should also answer your last question).
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 31, 2022 at 9:24 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 22, 2022 at 12:56 p.m.