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Bmarchand69

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Mar. 2, 2023
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Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 5, 2023 at 5:38 p.m.
Thread: wo Krejci PLEASE READ THE very thorough DESCRIPTION
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gofnut999</b></div><div>March
Hall
Frederic/Merk
Lauko

Depends where Frederic is used. If Freddy is C4, Merk has good shot LW3. If Freddy is there than not likely. If Hall is moved (strong possibility). Merk’s chances go up significantly.

Harrison’s D is not good at jr’s, sure as hell going to struggle at pro level with it. May prevent him from being a center in the NHL regardless. May be better suited for sniper wing.</div></div>

If Freddy can go to 3/4C, Merk's probably got a 3rd-line LW spot, and I love that.

Yup, I like the idea of Harrison on the wing – he's been spending time on Shane Wright's wing in Windsor. As you point out, Harrison's NHL future is likely on the wing. His d-zone play isn't as bad as you think it is, as he has great hockey IQ, even if he overcommits in the d-zone. So, his d-zone skill does need work. He'd definitely benefit from time in Providence developing his pro game, but again, I think he'll make a good impression in camp. From what I've seen and heard, Harrison's game is a lot like Jimmy Hayes' early career in terms of the shoot-first mentality, choppy skating style, and largely assumed straight-line play. Another (loose) comparison is Nolan Patrick – in their o-zone ability to create shots for themselves.

Pairing Harrison with a playmaker and a strong defensive forward is important for the pros. In the next few years as the current core really ages out, I'd bet a line of Harrison - Locmelis/Beecher - Lysell (Sniper - Two-way C - playmaker) emerges.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 5, 2023 at 4:42 p.m.
Thread: Overreaction Post - What If We Rebuilt
Haha, I love this. Toronto would burn to the ground.

Lafferty at 1C... Trouba and Vlasic first pair D @ 15mil... just properly amazing stuff.

This team goes from being one of the best in the NHL to a perennial contender for the #1 overall pick for at least 5 straight years, easy. Even if all those guys you trade for reach their full potential, this team wouldn't be able to compete with the future that OTT, BUF, or MON have in the next bunch of years, let alone NJ and the West.

Marner is the heart and soul of TO even when he's struggling, and getting rid of him (even that kind of return – or bigger) would be on par with the Brett Hull, Eric Lindros, or Cam Neely trades.

To be fair, trade Matthews for as much as you can possibly get for him before he walks in FA.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 5, 2023 at 4:08 p.m.
Thread: wo Krejci PLEASE READ THE very thorough DESCRIPTION
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jfstompers</b></div><div>So just start with you have to pay more for swayman and Frederic and probably orlov more.</div></div>

Freddy probably gets 3x1.5/1.8mil, and that contract will undoubtedly go to arbitration. Has he earned more than 1.8mil yet? He's making big strides, getting more playing time, and absolutely becoming more composed, but his role is fairly limited, and thus the payday is too.

Swayman is 24 and will either want a long-term, big-money deal or a bridge deal to break his RFA. 2x2.5/3.5 probably isn't too far off, honestly. Spencer Knight (3x4.5mil) and Oettinger (3x4mil) will be the benchmark for him. The Bruins will make it explicit that he's not shouldering the load like Oettinger has to, and the Bs will point to Knight being overpaid and limiting what the Panthers can put in front of him.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 5, 2023 at 3:58 p.m.
Thread: wo Krejci PLEASE READ THE very thorough DESCRIPTION
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Gofnut999</b></div><div>The full bonus overages will be carried forward so that’s 4.65m that needs to be accounted for putting you over significantly.

Remove Mayfield + Nosek for starters to help with that.

Doubt CBJ would take Reilly after he refused to sign with them, orgs have long memories about those kind of things.

Harrison is nowhere near NHL ready or more importantly NHL center ready.

Zacha would be C2. Merkulov would likely get a shot at LW3. McLaughlin likely makes roster too.</div></div>

100% forgot about Reilly/CBJ... but the trade price probably still stands at something like that.

The cap situation is nuts and would be a leading reason why Orlov (and Clifton, Bertuzzi , etc.) don't/can't sign back. Mayfield is a long-shot for sure and would look great in black and gold but probably can't happen – I'd put good money on Schenn signing a too-expensive (2yr, 1.5-2mil?) deal with the Bs.

I'd be shocked if Harrison doesn't make a solid case for a spot on the team come training camp. McLaughlin and Beecher will probably take turns at the 3C/4C spot. I'd guess that 2C spot sees a bunch of movement next year, but Zacha at 2C with Hall and Pasta does sound great.

Merkulov will have to beat out Lauko for that LW spot, which is absolutely possible, and I'd prefer that for the long term.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 5, 2023 at 1:52 p.m.
Thread: Unpopular moves to retool
Before I rip into this, I love where your head is at here and I can see Sweeney trying to do something very similar this offseason. "Unpopular Moves" is a great title for this post.

Trades first:
Grz, unfortunately, doesn't warrant a first – probably a 2nd and 3rd at most (likely a 2nd and conditional 5th). The guy is unreal at what he does, but Boston won't get a first for him. Carlo absolutely wouldn't garner a 1st either, based solely on his concussion history. His contract is team-friendly which means that the Bs could see two 3rds OR a 2nd &amp; 6th. But, I can't see Carlo getting traded. Coyle would probably net a B-grade prospect, a 3rd, and a 5th at a '24 or '25 TDL – he has an 8-team NTC and those 8 teams are probably the ones that would want him in the offseason and ONLY happens if he wants out.
Grz is only getting traded if Orlov resigns. Coyle isn't getting traded – as you note in the description, the Bs, even with Bergy back don't have enough depth down the middle to trade him, unless they're really trying to tank.
IF cap space is the reason you're trying to trade Carlo and Coyle, get rid of Reilly and Zboril instead, that brings 1.9 in cap space – but, you can't buy them out. Honestly, I have no idea what the market looks like for them in the offseason. There was a rumor before TDL that a contender in the East wanted Reilly, but Sweeney was unwilling to trade him to a potential 1st round matchup (maybe PIT).

Signings:
Sweeney's strength is getting team-friendly deals.
Frederic's contract is a bit much, but the term is correct – I'd look at more of a 2x1.75mil (this is his last year as an RFA). Swayman is an RFA until he turns 25 (which is the end of the '24 season) – so Sweeney will either sign him to a long-term contract or a 2-year max contract to see Ullmark's deal through. Lauko's is great wishful thinking – it'll be 3x850k+ (or more if he plays a bunch in this year's playoffs and does well). Orlov's $ isn't right for that amount of years – he only signs at 4.5 if he's getting 5 to 6 years. Clifton is going to go get a 5x2-3.5mil deal and the Bs won't pay that for the 27yr old, especially if he does Cliffy Hockey type stuff in the playoffs this year.
Bergy returning would be huge, and as you note, that probably won't happen if they win the cup. Krejci is playing better than he did before leaving for Czechia last season, but I can't really see him returning – the playoffs will be brutal on both of those guys.
Nosek is absolutely getting another deal – probably 3x2/2.5mil. Again, depth at Center is critical and Sweeney loves giving out these kinds of deals (sometimes bigger than necessary) to keep players like Nosek.

FA signings:
Keep an eye on Scott Mayfield. He's 30 years old, 6'5, and an RD. If Lou can't get him signed and if Orlov and Cliffy walk, I can 100% see Sweeney making him a 4-5yr, 3mil contract. He'd be a great pairing for Lohrei or Grz to play with on the right side. A Forbort trade would likely be necessary to make that happen – especially if Lohrei can slot into the lineup and be an everyday guy.

Lineup:
Beecher will absolutely get a shot in the bottom 6 and so will Marc McLaughlin (who'll probably sign a 3x925k contract). Merkulov will also absolutely get a shot at cracking the lineup.
Nitty gritty here, but you've got Forbort on his offside, which he doesn't do particularly well on – aside from long PK situations.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 3, 2023 at 12:31 p.m.
Thread: Bs 23-24 and beyond
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GiggywithGibby</b></div><div>Anaheim has no need to pay for a player like Gryz when the biggest benefit of the deal is clearing cap space for Boston. We will keep our picks and our prospect, if you want the cap space toss one of your picks in Grzelyck's luggage and buy him a ticket to California.

I'm sure the same goes for Reilly to AZ, if he cleared waivers this season, why would they pay you for him?</div></div>

The Grz trade is 100% optimistic – Bs probably would get a 2nd or 3rd for him from a team that needs his skills. Grzelyck is one of the best dmen this season at creating offense off the rush. If Orlov doesn't sign back with Boston, he will stay for sure.

As for Reilly, I think people underestimate his offensive playmaking ability. Sure, that trade will probably be a 5th or 6th, but for a team like Anaheim who more or less punted on the Klingberg contract, Reilly provides a 4mil cheaper option who is a very similar player albeit left-handed but he is signed through next year and allows any of those dmen draft picks to not have to come into the NHL immediately and spend time developing in the minors. A Reilly trade would provide cap space to extend Zegras, Terry, Drysdale, and Comtois with appropriate contracts. I'm not saying that it should or will happen by any means. His buyout is relatively cheap, but the Bs don't want to buy his contract out and will definitely try and move him for whatever they can get.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 2, 2023 at 7:00 p.m.
Thread: Bs 23-24 and beyond
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jedihonesy</b></div><div>Bergeron and krejci re signing will be huge. If not the Bruins are looking at Zacha and Coyle down the middle which is still good when supported by wingers such as Pastrnak, Marchand, Debrusk, Hall. Defense will not be a problem with Lindholm Mcavoy Carlo locked up. Be interesting to see what happens if they win the cup. Im sure their playoff run this year will take a pretty big toll on Bergy and Krejci.</div></div>

Krejci is probably retiring after this year no matter what, but you can always hold out hope. When he does retire, I'd put money on the bruins bringing the sniper they have in Harrison into the big club to see if he could produce with 2nd/3rd line minutes alongside those ridiculous wingers the Bs have.