Jack_

M. Marincin Truther
Member Since
Feb 27, 2018
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
Birthday
Dec 17, 2001
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Why
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3360
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231
Forum: Armchair-GM1 hour ago
Forum: Armchair-GM20 hours ago
Thread: Unrealistic Florida
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aadoyle</b></div><div>Toronto will easily be able to resign Rielly, with a player being taken by seattle, and with the cap increased within 2 seasons he can be signed np. He had 1 good season(72 points) but his average point totals are usually 30-40. So if we take players like hedman, Josi, ekblad into account rielly will probs get 7.5-8.5 mill a year contract for 8 years. which Toronto can easily afford</div></div>

Sure they can afford it but it isnt a good idea. A 28 year old defenseman who's main value comes from his skating ability but has had ankle/leg issues when we already know of the aging curve and the hard miles hes put on would be a very bad idea. Points arent a good tool to evaluate defenseman. Hes a guy who gets points and plays lots of minutes so he will be overpaid on his next contract. Trading him for someone probably better and younger then him would be the smart thing to do, the term is an added bonus
Forum: Armchair-GMTue at 10:59 am
Thread: Good signing
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>that's a lot of eggs in the what if basket. Even with Johnson the Leafs left wing side is pretty weak and has the potential to be Zach Hyman and the 4th liners. The Leafs wont move Johnsson unless the trade can get something that will make the team better or they are absolutely up against it in a way that they arnt now.</div></div>

It's not possible for them to keep johnsson unless they are able to get someone on defense for under 1 million. Hyman and mikheyev are good complimentary players in the top 6. As it is we have engvall, Robertson, Barbanov, Petan (who's underrated) and maybe clifford if hes really cheap. I dont mind engvall on the 3rd line but Barbonov and Robertson are also fine options. I really like johnsson. I think hes a 50 point player in the top 6 and a 60 point player on a weaker team. I hate selling low on guys but they are going to have to.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 10:15 pm
Thread: why is there so many advanced stats haters
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>So many "advanced stats" try to distill a players value down to one number. That's a mistake, IMO.

Also, everybody and their dog can come up with a method of evaluating players, just because it's out there doesn't make it valuable. Most of them fail to account for quality of competition adequately, so that 3rd pairing defensemen often have better GAR (for instance) than 1st pairing defensemen on the same team. It doesn't mean they are better.

I prefer to look at the raw data from NST myself, and look for trends and patterns in a player's results. NST also has non-"raw" stats like xGF and GSAA which is great, but if you look you'll notice that these stats differ from site to site. They can't all be correct, so I understand why people mistrust them.</div></div>

I'm pretty sure natural stat trick has a program that counts the stats, locations and everything necessary. I think sites like Hockey Reference just use the stats that the NHL records and those are almost always off. The people that the NHL employ to record everything are horrible, people that teams employ are also terrible. Both New York teams are notoriously bad at bumping up their own teams stats. A few months ago I kept track of a NYR game and they gave the rangers almost 15 more shot attempts for. They're also very lackadaisical about shot locations.