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Skylardog

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May 8, 2017
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Calgary Flames
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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14, 2017 at 11:11 a.m.
Thread: Calgary - Where we are on July 13
trdeJong - You nailed it on JG. I like the idea of sheltering JG with Bennett. He will get Ferland as it stands now, which may help. Not sure you split JG from Mony yet, but it may come to that.

I have Freddie and Hathaway in this to figure out what cap is available. I don't think the Flames should do anything else until we assess how Ferland works on the top line, and at the very least, until the trade deadline.

I actually posted this as what I think the Flames will do, not what I think should happen. I have Hathaway and F. Hamilton in the minors. Up in their place is 2 of Shink or Poirier, or Foo, or whoever earns it in camp. I have Shink with Backlund and Frolik, Janko centring Versteeg and Stajan (to give Janko really good support in year 1). The second of Poirer Foo or Shink gets Stajans spot on some nights, or when an injury hits. Brouwer is the 14th forward.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14, 2017 at 10:44 a.m.
Thread: Min Wild - thoughts?
One thing that hit me right away is that McDonald would not be the goalie prospect. Minn would have to have one of Rittich, Gillies, or Parsons, and Calgary isn't trading Parsons.

I keep looking at the Minny roster, and there is the potential for them to HAVE to move a piece. As said above, all depends on the cost of Nino and Granlund. Nino hits me as costing more than $5. I think $5.5 is fair. Granlund I have seen on here getting 8 years at $8.0. That's a ton of cap hit. Even at $6.5, which is close to about right, it gets thin.

The problem for Minny is next year when Zucker and Dumba come up. With $5 and $7 for Nino and Granlund, it gets tough to keep both of them..

The only other thought on this is on Stajan. He is very versatile and worth very little today on the market. He is insurance as the Flames start the season. He can take over if young guys don't live up to expectation, like Foo, Janko, or Lazar. But at the trade deadline, he will fetch a 2nd round pick from a contender.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14, 2017 at 10:29 a.m.
Thread: Treliving's amazing offseason continues
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Icegirl</b></div><div>This could be a really, really good team next year. If Nashville wouldn't do that trade, and if Carolina, New Jersey, and Arizona all don't want Brouwer, then he should be buried in the minors.</div></div>

I agree - looks really good.

But sending Brouwer to the minors really does nothing for cap. It would only create an additional $1.025 in cap space. $3.425 million would still be a cap hit. While it does clear him out to create space on the roster, he is still a 3rd or 4th line player in the NHL, we just pay about $3.5 million too much. Find the right line for him and we are better off keeping him on the roster. He is capable of playing 1st line PP and against Anaheim in the playoffs, the PP did kick butt with him on it. (Not that I want him taking time from Ferland on the PP).

Personally, I think he should be in the press box until there is an injury. I believe he is untradeable at this point, even if we ate half his salary.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 9, 2017 at 9:27 a.m.
Thread: Helping Solve Minnys Cap Issues, And Getting Better
No - they still have serious cap issues. They only have 8 forwards under contract, and 6 defensemen, including Ryan Murphy who many are saying is not NHL quality.

Granlund at $6.5 (many are saying he is due more than that, closer to $8), Nino at $5.0, which may be slightly low, and Foligno at $2.5 (last year he made $2.25 also has earned a raise and that is not much of one). That is $14 million of the $16.4 available. They are at 11 forwards.

With $2.4 available (and that is if all the signings go well), even if they leave Murphy on the roster, they need to sign or promote 4 players. That breaks down to $600,000 per player. If even one of the 4 makes more than $600,000 then they can't make cap. I left Svedberg at $700,000 in goal. If Granlund signs for $7 to $7,5 and Nino gets the $5.5 everyone says he is due, they will need 4 players to fill the roster with only $900,000 to $1.4 of cap available.

Next year may be even worse. Koivu's contract comes to an end, but Zucker, Dumba, and a backup will all need raises. They will still have a Dman problem with only 4 under contract if they sign Dumba.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30, 2017 at 4:49 p.m.
Thread: Flames - A new hour, new cap assessment. Where are we now?
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LazarBeams</b></div><div>I would argue that you're overpaying, Gilles, Rittich, Kulak, Lazar and maybe slightly over on Ferland. I think he will get a 2 year show me contract for under 2 million. Learning from the bad Bouma contract. My guess is we will have about 3 - 5 million to spend tomorrow and it will go to an old right shot bottom six winger.

I also don't think Klimchuk is close, Shink, Janko, Foo, Mangiapane are all ahead of him.</div></div>

Open to best 3 prospects up front. Don't care who they are.

Ferland is being pencilled in as the first line RW. Has proved he has value. Would say myself that he is worth more than Bennett based on last season. He should command what I put in, but if he does not sign soon, I think he could be the one guy that gets an offer sheet from another team, then see what the nightmare is to fit him in under the cap. RFA market could see $2.5 to $3.0 for 3 to 4 years no problem. Teams will pay the draft picks to take him away, or put pressure on BT to keep him with a serious cap issue.

Kulak, Rittich, Gillies, and any other prospect listed, so you save $100,000 or $200,000 each. Still means we sit at $1.4 million cap room if all 4 sign for $200,000 less. Not really a difference. There are minimum raises under the CBA. They are not that far from the min, except for Kulak, but he is going to be the 6th DMan.

We are not freeing up $3.0 without moving pieces out.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30, 2017 at 9:06 a.m.
Thread: Flames Available Cap Space Assessment - At Least This Minute
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jcambers</b></div><div>Why break up the 3M line - Tkachuk, Backlund, and Frolik were great last year. I don't see why everyone is so content on breaking that line up right now.
Though I'm not set on Ferland stick around on that 3rd line, until we can upgrade the RW position (and dump Brouwer's contract?), the line-up looks fine.</div></div>

The reason speaks to the weaknesses that were exposed during the playoffs against Anaheim.

Flames were minus 41 collectively in the playoffs, no member was positive. Getzlaff shut down and beat up Monahans line. Backlunds line played to a draw against Keslers line. There was no 3rd and 4th lines that was enough of a threat to score. Matching the Flames became easy for the Ducks.

Put a young kid with Backlund to help with development, much like Tkachuk had that benefit last year, and create a 3rd powerhouse line that can score, and do a good job defensively. Lazar, many will say is not the guy, but if he lives up to his talent ability, he will be one of the key players. He needed a wake up call in Ottawa, he got it and will rebound this season. I believe by the end of the season the Bennett-Tkachuk-Lazar line will be better than Monahans line.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 30, 2017 at 8:41 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 27, 2017 at 12:48 a.m.
Thread: move Ferland?
Ferland does seem like that piece with tons of value that just doesn't fit in the Flames lineup. I have him leaving for assets too. I like him in a deal for Nino. I think it is somewhat interesting to Minny as well. Comes down to what other pieces Minny would want. That has to be close to being good enough. Minny does have cap issues, this solves them with a few good pieces to replace Nino.

I would say you have to sign a veteran DMan to anchor Kulak and or Wotherspoon and or Andersson (I think Andersson and Kulak start the season on the Flames). Need the experience, and depth. Bart needs to not play 1 minute for us this year

I also think that Rittich and Gillies battle for the back up position. I don't think Johnson is coming back.

I think this is a lineup that we could see on October 4th in Edmonton if BT can get a deal done for Nino. I have Klimchuk with Backlund, and Janko as the 4th line centre. I also call Bennetts line the 2nd. That line is the one I think would be the difference against teams like Edmonton and Anaheim, and have been promoting it for a month or more. They would be deadly.

The problem with playing Anaheim is that after Getzlaff neutralizes Monahans line, Kesler kills Backlunds line, then there was such a big fall off for us. Anaheim (And Edmonton) cant match these top 3 lines and one of them runs rampant over the over teams 3rd line. Lazar may be our best weapon by the time this season is done.