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UBS_ARENA
Member Since
Aug. 4, 2021
Favourite Team
New York Islanders
Forum Posts
2389
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2.4
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 2, 2022 at 10:08 p.m.
Thread:
Next Year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SlevinKalevra</b></div><div>Stars pass. Just because most people on here hate Suter doesn’t mean the front office shares that feeling. Lol. Personally I think he’s just fine for what he makes</div></div>
isles can’t afford the extra year anyway
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 1, 2022 at 11:18 p.m.
Thread:
Having fun
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>UBS_ARENA</b></div><div>Thats kinda true (nelson, pageau are still in their primes but getting older) but that doesmt mean to trade a top pair RHD in his prime on a great deal. This team is built from the net out. Severely weakening the D to help a forward group that even with nylander would be below average while getting rid of any advantage the D would have is a horrible idea. Not to mention that the value just isnt there for NYI.</div></div>
Yeah they were the guys I was thinking of as "leaving their primes". Ie theyre not past their primes yet but they're at the end of them.
But yeah trading pulock would be a surprising move for the islanders. But if they feel Dobson can take over and it can make a big help to the team I suppose it's not impossible
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 1, 2022 at 11:37 a.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>worldwidesensei</b></div><div>My question is just why? BUF doesn't need Petterson....at all.
Demko would be nice to have, but as others have said, the package needs to be different. Plus, UPL has put up better numbers in his limited action.
Demko's 1st 10 NHL games: .909 sv%
UPL's first 13: .913
Just give UPL some time and the trade will be completely not worth it for both parties involved. If you want a goalie NOW, go throw a boat load at Oettinger in an offer sheet.</div></div>
Using first 10 games to compare a goaltender is a big head scratcher...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 8:49 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>UBS_ARENA</b></div><div>What model are you using? Bc those stats dont match up with his Jfresh card</div></div>
Moneypuck.com 5v5 stats. Unless you have a subcription to where you can find all of the player cards, I don't see any Demko cards by jfresh
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 7:57 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
You know it’s juicy when you have to scroll down to the comments. That being said Petersen is team controlled 1C for 4 years Demko a top 10 goalie locked up long term on a team friendly deal. The only thing I’ll comment is there is zero chance you get pick restrictions getting Petersen, I would also say I think the chances of VAN trading those guys and not getting either Dahlin or Power is basically zero.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 7:53 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juiceman</b></div><div>I suppose you could argue Pettersson outside of the top 15 centers given his "down season" where he was playing injured for half of it. Demko on the other hand, you cant really argue
Compared to other starting goaltenders around the league at 5v5 (minimum 50 games played), Demko is:
3rd in goals saved above expected
5th in goals saved above expected/60
3rd in save percentage
5th in goals against average
5th in goals against average better than expected
3rd in wins above replacement</div></div>
There were 17 goalies that started 50 or more games. That barely covers half of the leagues starters
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 3:55 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juiceman</b></div><div>Demko is a top 4 goalie in the league just behind Sorokin at #3. Pettersson is better than Barzal. Think about what package you want would for Barzal and Sorokin, and then add more simply because our defense is in shambles and losing Demko would make us a lottery team whereas the Isles actually have sustainable defense</div></div>
it's definitely a "three quarters for a dollar" type of trade, but like I said up top, the only way this even gets considered is if Vancouver does a full 180 on their organizational direction. I still think more needs to be added, but if i'm tearing everything down, I think a return that starts with guys picked in the first round this year and last year, plus 1sts next year and the year after, plus a couple decent young NHL-ready guys, it's a good place to start. I think I'd push for one of JJ Peterka or Jack Quinn to get added to this package, but if you could get that, the package would literally be a "Rebuild In A Box" - 2 1sts, 2 top prospects, plus a trio of U23 F/D/G players to build around.
editing to add: to answer your question, if something awful happened and the Isles had to tear it all down, I wouldn't hate this package for a Barzal/Sorokin trade. Basically values each guy at a young roster player, a top prospect, and a 1st, with an extra young player with upside thrown in. Not exactly the Eichel deal, but a good starting to point. Of course, if the Isles are in the position to make that kind of deal, there are going to be some super depressing winters in my future...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 3:49 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juiceman</b></div><div>Yeah lets compare this to a trade that happened 35 years ago. Sounds about right. How can a deal involving a top 15 C and a top 4 goaltender not even include any of the Sabres BEST assets? We are trading our two most valuable players and not getting any back any of your most valuable players. This is more quantity than it is quality. This would set us back around 6 years. Just look at our defense, we are a bottom team in the league without Demko. UPL is not good enough to carry this defense core</div></div>
I don't agree that demko is a top 4 goalie and I don't agree that pettersson is a top 15 center.
Petersson also now has 2 years left and will have a QO of 10.25 million
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 3:47 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shibbal18</b></div><div>None of Vasilevsky, Sorokin, or Shesterkin are not involved in this trade</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juiceman</b></div><div>Demko is top 5 goalie. Still, this is pathetic for a top 15 center and top 5 goalie in the league</div></div>
I don't see markstrom or hellybuck here either.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 3:28 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
-oooh baby i love a big swing, and this is a capital-b Big one. couple things: this would require Vancouver to make a massive shift in team philosophy from "on the cusp contender" to a full teardown. secondly, you are taking back -at least- one bad contract, probably Tucker Poolman since he has longer term than Jason Dickinson. He's your problem now. Lastly, I think Vancouver wants just a little more here. They're strong assets, sure, but this is basically the Eichel trade AND a top-10 goalie trade rolled into one. Remove the protections on the pick, throw one of Devon Levi or Erik Portillo in, and I think you've got something brewing.
-Skip this one if you included him in the Vancouver deal; otherwise, if he's definitely not signing, sure, get something back for him.
-Same vibe, Mittlestadt could use a change of scenery and I'm sure someone sends back a mid-rounder to take a flyer on a reclamation project.
-Probably no if Cizikas needs to be included - the vibe around the Isles fandom is that Lou gave Casey his 6x$2.5M because Seattle was dangling 3x$5M and the Islanders didn't have the cap. So Lou gives Casey the same money spread out over longer term, and I'm sure there's some sort of informal "we won't trade you early in the deal" type of handshake thing going on. Lou is very loyal to his "guys", and Casey truly feels like one to me. I'd also question why you'd target a physical 32-year old 4C with 4x$2.5M left as the guy in that trade when you could probably get a more useful prospect or even potentially get a little more back taking Josh Bailey's expiring $5M back in that deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 31, 2022 at 3:25 p.m.
Thread:
Goat head is back
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Nix</b></div><div>not even close on the van trade. power has to be part of that package right? top 3 goalie in the league and young 1C</div></div>
None of Vasilevsky, Sorokin, or Shesterkin are not involved in this trade
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 27, 2022 at 6:32 p.m.
Thread:
Big Isles Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TMLBRIAN</b></div><div>Why is that nonsensical? Trades like this happen from time to time. I don't see the Leafs doing it otherwise. This gives Isles exactly what they need also.</div></div>
Well it doesn't happen all the time, really for only players that want out. So the Isles tell Mayfield " Hey bud, we want your sorry ass outta here, so hurry up and forgo you UFA next summer, and sign a 3m X 3 year contract with the Leafs. But if you don't sign a contract now, you are welcome back to the Isles this year and maybe you get an extension from us." Yep I want to be in on that discussion.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 28, 2022 at 9:12 a.m.
Thread:
Byram or Girard
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Isles5513</b></div><div>He is under contract for five more years at a great price. He is a legit top four d man who can play top pair if needed. Terrible take.</div></div>
Another misconception. Not a great price. Pretty close to actual value. If anything it’s an overpayment as opposed to being a value deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 27, 2022 at 6:02 p.m.
Thread:
Realistic trade option
Trade proposals that are labeled "realistic" is a bit like when you see countries with names like "The Democratic Republic of East Germany". If democratic is in the name, the country usually isn't. Similar to "realistic".
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 24, 2022 at 1:22 a.m.
Thread:
USSR GOALIES PNT SHAVE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>possibilitiesnyislanders</b></div><div>isles fans overvalue roster</div></div>
So you went the opposite way? That's a ghastly return for a solid young player.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 24, 2022 at 12:38 a.m.
Thread:
USSR GOALIES PNT SHAVE
DeBrusk deal sucks for Boston. Salo and Beauvillier deals suck for NYI. Absolutely brutal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 24, 2022 at 12:52 a.m.
Thread:
USSR GOALIES PNT SHAVE
If that's the price for Beau, 30 other teams would like a word.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 23, 2022 at 9:32 a.m.
Thread:
this team is slow it sucks blow up it
1. Martin is worth a 6th and Cal is worth a 5th.
2. Coyotes aren’t giving up a 5th to bring in Bailey. The Isles would be giving the Coyotes picks to bring in Bailey
3. Lee is worth more than a 4th and a 2nd.
4. Isles decline.
5. Sharks accept but 9M? That’s to much money.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 3:06 p.m.
Thread:
Best C Depth
McDavid, Draisaitl, Nugent-Hopkins, and McLeod would like a word.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 4:31 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GenXHockey</b></div><div>He's flipping a young D for two veterans. Time to put in the Lou goggles. Lou re signs Miller and most likely overpays myers when his deal expires.
Lou has no issue moving out young talented Dmen and loves his vets.
Is this a trade you and I would make if we ran the islanders? No! But you can't claim to know what's going on in Lou's mind unless you're typing replies from a mental facility.</div></div>
I can't claim to know what's going on in his mind, true (neither can you FWIW), but for a guy that's been a GM since 1987, I sure as hell can look at a *ton* of trades that he's made in the past. And, like I said, he never has moved a player like Dobson for veteran help. He moves 1sts and prospects all the time, sure, but he doesn't move young roster players like Dobson. The only trade in his history that lines up with what you're saying is when he was forced to move Devon Toews because of the flat cap during the beginning of the pandemic - an outlier situation that literally has no bearing on what he'd give up for JT Miller.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 2:41 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Isles5513</b></div><div>Is there any chance a tsunami will hit Vancouver and destroy the entire city? Asking for a friend who is really annoyed by unfair ACGM’s.</div></div>
It’s not even a Canucks fan
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 2:37 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Isles5513</b></div><div>I don’t like the idea Kerfoot is a dump. I feel like at the very least someone like Detroit should trade a fourth for him.</div></div>
Red Wings have too many forwards already. No need for Kerfoot. Plus Fabbri should be returning from his latest knee surgery in January. Hopefully.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 2:33 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Isles5513</b></div><div>I don’t even think he has to worry about his job. Going from Chara and Greene to Romanov and Salo is going to be a huge boost for the entire roster. Those two were arguably the worst two players in the entire league last year.</div></div>
I was talking about 3-4 years from now when Lou is likely retired (turning 80 in October) and Kadri's game craters.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 2:32 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
Leafs take that and run, Isles not so much
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 22, 2022 at 2:30 p.m.
Thread:
Dobson Miller swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Isles5513</b></div><div>Sometimes the best transactions are the ones you don’t make — Lou</div></div>
Sometimes I can't move cap when I want to sign a player but I'm better off not doing it so I don't royally screw the next Isles GM.
Lou
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