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badoob
Member Since
Apr. 12, 2023
Forum Posts
204
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 10:53 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>UpsideDownQue</b></div><div>They use on-ice stats for raw data but the whole point of RAPM is to use that data and control for teammates (and a ton of other factors) to isolate an individual players impact
<img class="for_img" src="https://i.imgur.com/FLz3QO4.png" alt="FLz3QO4.png"></div></div>
Tag him 3 more times please.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 8:52 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>OMG I so wish you understood how stunningly embarrassing this sentence is.
Bro... on-ice means the stays accrued while they are on the ice. With five other teammates. These are NOT individual stats. I cannot possibly dumb this down any more.
Get it or don't, we're done here. I feel like I'm Mike Tyson battering a baby squirrel. Feels icky.</div></div>
RAPM charts account for the players impact. Their xG produced offensively and defensively, etc etc. You’re choosing to toss it aside because “muhhh, the player has teammates!!11!!” Yeah, the model knows that.
Parayko is still average, and get off your high horse. I know how the charts work, you’re choosing to ignore them because they don’t fit your narrative.
If you don’t like RAPM charts, plenty of other public models don’t favour Parayko either. But let me guess, he played good in 2021 on a blue moon tuesday game?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 8:12 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>If you do not understand what "on-ice" means, you do not understand analytics. In the slightest. That's not a jab; that's basic rudimentary factual reality. And the fact that you persist here as if I am the one exhibiting bias is endlessly hilarious. You try to have a good one, man.</div></div>
You tried to debunk RAPM charts as “on-ice” as if that doesn’t change that they are still individual charts lol. As if it changes any of Parayko’s mediocrity.
Next time somebody criticizes a Vegas player, i’ll make sure to ignore any statistics provided and just say “do you watch him?”
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 6:42 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>In all your willfully clueless ramblings, you completely missed the fact that I have not once assigned any sort of tier level to Parayko. At all. You just build straw man after flailing straw man. You don't watch the player at all. You don't even understand the analytics you take as gospel. FFS you don't even understand what on-ice means, which is the pure basis of 99% of analytics. It would be funny if it wasn't so sad... nah, just joshin'. It's hella funny.</div></div>
I understand how RAPM charts work. As well as every other public analytic model that craps on Parayko. Me calling him average is almost a compliment considering how much of a step back he’s taken with more ice time.
You have 0 evidence to rebuttal me, aside from personal jabs. Your only comeback to “x player isn’t that good” is “lul well do you watch him?” That’s it. Every time.
I’d rather take the statistics as gospel than to have a <em>very</em> bias Blues fan tell me to “just watch him”. What am I going to find if I watch him, more mediocrity? Must be why the Blues are struggling to get out of the bottom of the central.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 6:30 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Except I am NOT trying to insinuate anything besides the FACT that solely looking at analytics tells you nothing (especially when you don't even understand what you're looking at, which you clearly do not).
AGAIN, I am not the one here desperately clinging to one fully subjective source of information. That's YOU, dude.
My argument that you need to watch a player to accurately judge a player holds ALL the water in this and all other dimensions and galaxies, past, present and future. OBVIOUSLY. Nobody ever said to ignore numbers. Just one more flailing straw man to throw on the pile.</div></div>
The numbers indicate he’s producing significantly less 5v5 defense impact than he did when he was playing behind Pietro. And each year, it gets worse. His defensive xG has trended downwards as well. He hasn’t done ANYTHING since Pietro left (aside from a random few month stint two seasons ago you wont stop talking about) that suggests he’s all that good. Combine that with a contract that clearly will not age well.
your eye test still means nothing to me, as well as everyone else on this site. they’ve seem to recognize that Parayko is painfully average, you’re the one still clinging on.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 4:44 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Says the guy throwing blatant falsehoods out left and right... your seems-meter needs to go to the shop.
Again, I am not putting up Parayko as elite. That's not what's happening here. You don't even understand the analytics you're using as your sole source (still waiting to hear how many times you've actually seen him play hockey).
So you don't know anything about Parayko except analytic numbers, which you don't understand, but I'm the crazy talker on the moon. Mmmnokaythen. Good luck with all that.</div></div>
Yeah, see, the “just watch him lul” argument doesn’t really hold as much weight as you think.
When you’re trying to insinuate that your singular eye test means more than actual numbers and statistics, you lost the plot. Don’t become a lawyer.
I’ll stick with the numbers, thanks buddy ol pal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 4:26 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>RAPM charts... :tearsofjoy Dude. Those are on-ice stats. FCOL.
Yeah. You're right. Your un-educatable. Enjoy your impregnable takes, clear misunderstandings and brazen projectionist straw men. I'm gonna go get personally attacked for not massively overrating every Leafs prospect. As usual.</div></div>
Is it not supposed to be on ice? Are we calculating his dressing room/60?
Seems to me you can’t accept the fact that your player isn’t that good, which isn’t a shocker considering you’re known to do so.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 4:14 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>I'll ask again: how many times have you watched him play this season? Funny how almost no one ever answers that question.
Who said I only go by the eye test? I'm not the one basing my stance on limited info from one source. And it's seems ridiculous that I should need to explain to you that analytics are almost always on-ice numbers - as in there's five other dudes out there. It's not an individual stat. Or an objective one. Just reading analytics tells you nothing except maybe how good a team someone plays for.
And yet again, nobody including me throws any hissy fit because you don't massively overrate him. That's just another bowl of manufactured bull****. They do try to correct you when you say wildly incorrect stuff like he's a 2RD, he's been mediocre, he's terrible, his contract is an albatross, blah blah blah. These are all false, but everyone trying to educate you against your will is the problem here. That is the Jeremy Bracco of viewpoints.</div></div>
Who’s everyone trying to educate me? It’s always you and that one other Blues homer who can’t accept the fact that Parayko is mediocre lol. Everyone else knows it.
RAPM charts are individual player stats based on their performance. To say “oh but his team!” is a cop out people use when they can’t accept the fact that their player isn’t that good.
https://twitter.com/miketgould/status/1735532094372405442/photo/1
(Ignore the Huby chart) Parayko seems average to me lmao
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 3:46 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>1 - He plays 1RD. Period. That was the point of contention. And you just admitted he plays 1RD. Whatever you think his real level is, that's irrelevant. He plays 1RD, so he's 1RD. It's not complicated.
2 - Saying he's been mediocre this season is another overt admission you don't actually know what you're on about. But whatever. You guys keep living on fantasy island, imagining that pundits like Dom have the smallest clue about Parayko. They don't. Simply reading analytics tells you nothing.</div></div>
My point of contention is just because a player plays in the 1RD position, doesn't mean he has that skillset. I guess Fabbro must be a 1RD with that logic, or Gudas?
What differentiates the numbers from your 'absolute' eye test? Does the eye test of one homer dictate that the numbers that indicate he's been on a steady decline are WRONG? You throw a hissy fit every time somebody doesn't massively overrate your painfully mediocre and overpaid defenseman lol.
Saying we live in fantasy land is the pot calling the kettle black mi amigo. Parayko is average, it's living in a fantasy land to suggest otherwise.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 3:38 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>badoob</b></div><div>He plays in the 1RD role because Pietro is gone. Doesn't make him good in that role, which he isn't.
Great. He was good within a short few months over two seasons ago. What does that do for him now?
per this season, he's very mediocre. and the results aren't much different for last season.</div></div>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 3:33 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>He plays all of his minutes against opposing top lines. That's precisely what 1RD means. Not only that, but you guys NEVER watch him play while speaking with the strictest authority on his play all because you think you understand analytics. Dude has been top notch this season. After a rough 22-23 start that had nothing to do with his defending, he was excellent down the stretch. He was #1 among all NHL Dmen in goal share for the last five months of the 21-22 season. But you somehow think he's been subpar for years on end.
AND exactly no one, including me, acts like or says he's an elite Dman. Simply does not happen. You guys just make **** up, repeat it ad nauseum and pretend like it's established fact. And it almost never is. So many people here drunk on their own abject nonsense.</div></div>
He plays in the 1RD role because Pietro is gone. Doesn't make him good in that role, which he isn't.
Great. He was good within a short few months over two seasons ago. What does that do for him now?
per this season, he's very mediocre. and the results aren't much different for last season.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 2:43 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dougford</b></div><div>Parayko is painfully average for how much this guy glazes him</div></div>
You don't get it man, he's just too good right now
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 2:27 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Black61</b></div><div>Not sure why you would want him.
Even at the point of signing the extension he had regressed to the point of being overpaid and is still signed into his lates 30s
This is the new vlasic contract.</div></div>
And when he's 35 Blues fans will still be yelling "but his minutes though!!!!"
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 2:26 p.m.
Thread:
Deadline moves id love to see
Why is nashville paying a 2nd for Timmins
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 2:19 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>By what conceivable metric is Parayko a 2RD? He played the hardest minutes of any Dman in the entire league. And now, half the time, they're making him do that against top lines with the Blues 3rd and 4th lines. His hardest minutes got even harder.</div></div>
Just because he plays there doesn't make him a 1rd. He's been subpar at best the past few seasons playing top minutes against top comp. If his metrics aren't all that good in a 1RD role, then he's not a 1RD.
This narrative that's constantly spun by like the 3 blues fans on this site that Parayko is some never seen before elite DFD is played out. He's average. And his contract is brutal. Full NTC until he's 35 with a modified clause until he's 37. No thanks
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 1:40 p.m.
Thread:
I Think Parayko Is Available
Parayko is not that guy. Average 2RD with a contract that will NOT age well. Could he fit what the Leafs need? Probably. But the cost to acquire him is way too high
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 1:29 p.m.
Thread:
Which would you pick
Gibson hasn't been that guy in years. You'd essentially pay an insane asking price for a bloated AAV in hopes he'd return to prime form. Better use of assets elsewhere
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Dec. 19, 2023 at 1:27 p.m.
Thread:
realistic
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>Nah, he is what he always has been, an average bottom pairing defenseman with an awful contract and left handed to boot. He's behind a minimum of 3 guys on the left side alone.</div></div>
What?
Matheson has been a legit top 4 guy for years now. Tallying 34 points in 38 games last year along with 21 points in 30 this year. All while on a crappy Habs team. Had a 31 point year on Pittsburgh prior
If you're going to evaluate players at least do it right. To say he's behind 3 players on the Jets is insane bias.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 1:23 p.m.
Thread:
A Realistic trade
You know Toronto tried bush, right? He is not that good
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Dec. 19, 2023 at 1:22 p.m.
Thread:
What I would like to see
Incoming mokumboi to scold you for trying to trade for his precious 4th liner
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 11, 2023 at 7:46 p.m.
Thread:
Lines n stuff
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>Correct
Which is why i mentioned our coach has history with him
Pretty sure i also admitted it was “dumb”
But i guess u can keep harping on it if u want
And paying Okposo & Girgs 2.5mil each for the role they play is $$ well spent
Also don’t know where your math skills are at?
They’re centered by Krebs, who is on a rookie deal, & those 3 salaries don’t add up to $8mil
Okposo is also our Captain & Girgs wears an “A”
Idk why so many are concerned about the Sabres when they aren’t even fans??
Maybe just stick to your own team
We’ll be just fine</div></div>
For what it’s worth, you can have a hockey discussion in you know, a hockey forum, without coming off with that snarl of “just focus on your own team”.
I apologize for not really keeping tabs on Buffalo and how they’ve been a lottery team for the past decade. This is your year though!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 11, 2023 at 7:13 p.m.
Thread:
Lines n stuff
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUF10</b></div><div>Girgensons and Okposo isn’t their 4th line it’s more of their 2nd line they get all the tough matchups they are very good defensive forwards. Never liked the Greenway move, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he turns into a good power forward.</div></div>
It's fine if he chose to do that, but those 4 players combined being worth 10m is wild, and running 8D when two of your goalies are barely AHL caliber is terrible.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 11, 2023 at 7:07 p.m.
Thread:
Lines n stuff
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>Jordan Greenway was dumb,
but we wanted to get tougher & our coach had history with him
That’s not actually our “4th line”
It’s our 3rd
Fans here list them as the 4th bc they’re our defensive line
They play against other teams top lines nightly
No offense, but u clearly don’t know what you’re talking about when it comes to our lineup
And Levi isn’t locked in as the starter
We’re gonna give him a shot & see how it goes
That’s part of the reason we likely carry 3 goalies to start the season</div></div>
Yikes. why so quick to get defensive?
3rd line or 4th line, doesn't change the fact that 8m (10m if you include Okposo) of your cap is going towards a line of 4th line caliber players that are meh in the defensive zone, and you didn't need to trade a 2nd for an overpaid Greenway when you could have put that money/picks towards goalie help. If Adams wanted to get tougher, there are a plethora of league min grinders that he didn't have to spend a second on lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 11, 2023 at 6:54 p.m.
Thread:
Lines n stuff
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>Don’t worry about the Sabres, we’ll be just fine
You’ve got enough to worry about with your own team anyways
🤣🤣🤣</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUF10</b></div><div>Adams still believes in UPL And there was no good goalies worth paying in the free agency market there was only 3 and they all resigned with their own team Varly, Raanta and Andersen. All they need is one of the three to be average with the way the Sabres score goals.</div></div>
Adams has made some great and bad decisions equally. Developing Tage and Cozens has panned out great. But then paying your 4th line 8m and trading a 2nd, 5th for Jordan freaking Greenway was terrible. I will agree that Levi is great but starting him is a gamble and a half.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 9, 2023 at 12:43 p.m.
Thread:
Lindholm Trades Ranked By What I Would Want To See
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>I'm seemingly more enjoyed than you my friend. I've tried to explain this to you several times. I thoroughly encourage you to read up on things like xGF and why zone starts do not affect them, and how that when they stats are literally per 60 minutes of ice time to take an average, it makes no difference...have a good day buddy. I hope your soul searching comes up with something if you embark on it.</div></div>
People clown on you when you aren't around man, I think I'll be okay LOL most disliked dude on this site. just throws a bunch of graphs in peoples faces.
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