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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 26, 2022 at 4:02 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>That's simply a bad take, never going to happen.

Cat is a proven 24 year old elite player in the league and specifically a elite goal scorer. A "potential" elite goal scorer (holtz) doesn't equate to one that already is obviously, and the risk for taking on "the potential" for a player to be close to or as good as Cat is significant. It's the bird in hand argument. Chicago would have to get at least (3) top prospects or mid to early first round draft picks or the equivalent.

Put this into perspective; Cat is worth more then Eichel was when he was traded....Why? Because Cat would be traded in the offseason when teams have more cap flexibility. He's not a UFA in 4 years. He doesn't carry a $10m cap hit that very few teams can afford to add mid season only to be gone in 4 years thus significantly limiting the market of teams interested. He's a year younger. He's not injured and headed for an unknown surgery and unknown long term future because of a major surgery, and maybe most importantly, he's not in dispute with his current team and no need for either the Hawks or Cat to move on. Had all these things been equal between Cat and Eichel then no question Eichel is more valuable but these attributes significantly hurt Eichel's value thus making Cat more valuable. So a good starting place is understanding the Eichel value he was moved for won't convince Chicago to let go of Cat; they will need a little more then that.

Therefore, you can easily understand why the 1st and (2) B prospects isn't remotely close...not a chance in a million years half the teams in the league don't offer a better a package for Cat let alone Chicago accepting that kind of offer. If Chicago shops Cat, he easily becomes the top target of pretty much every team in the league. They will get a king's ransom for him and is completely irrelevant what the fans of a particular team feel they would give up, but what is relevant is realizing there will likely be plenty of other teams giving up more then the fans of a particular team want to. Any trade that happens for Cat will be painful for the fans of that team to accept; it's that simple. I'm willing to bet Chicago would get a top 1st round pick (top 10), top A prospect (such as Holtz) possibly a role player as well, or (2) mid to late 1sts, and a top prospect all day long. Throw in the fact that Chicago can take on cap dumps as well since they have plenty of cap space and the price will go up further.</div></div>

Understand where you are coming from but I think you are undervaluing the trade proposal, the 2OA pick its self is worth at least 2 mid to early first rounders and the second rounder + Nolan Foote equates to a late first rounder IMO. Which is in the same ballpark of the value you proposed of three mid to early first round picks or equivalent, and if you read my response to your post I said I’d replace the Second rounder with next years first if he’s not being shopped(he isn’t rn) which is definitely meeting the value you are placing on Cat.

For your bird in hand argument, obviously a trade only works in the real world if the Hawks choose to trade cat which most likely means they would rather go the high risk high reward route and receive picks and prospects. Since the POTENTIAL value going to the hawks outweighs Cats current value.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 26, 2022 at 2:02 p.m.