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refboyardee
refboyardee
Member Since
Oct. 2, 2018
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 26, 2019 at 3:24 p.m.
Thread:
2 Nikitia are better than 1
I don't think Marner signs for 8 years regardless of the price tag. If the rumours are true Toronto has presented Marner's camp with an Auston Matthews level money deal and 8 years and apparently it was not received very well. Seems like he wants a 5-6 year deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9, 2019 at 11:19 p.m.
Thread:
TML 19-20
Marleau has one year left on his contract. He'll likely ride out this year before considering hanging it up.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 3, 2019 at 4:00 p.m.
Thread:
Major Leafs Oil Trade
Leafs would give you Marner signing rights for McDavid, and no less.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Nov. 4, 2018 at 4:33 p.m.
Thread:
a few trades
Leafs might consider it...if Calgary throws in all 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th rounders for the next three hundred years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 13, 2018 at 10:15 p.m.
Thread:
Nylander Trade
Leafs would never sign Nylander just to trade him immediately, so you would have to look at trading his signing rights, and Nashville will not trade a top tier D like Subban for just a mid round pick and the chance to talk with Nylander and hope he signs. Leafs would have to throw in a player and either a 1st and a 2nd or two 1sts just to make it plausible.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 12, 2018 at 11:41 p.m.
Thread:
PK Subban
It's an interesting thought, the idea of Jordan and PK reuniting under the Blue and White is an intriguing one, and bringing in PK helps the defense in a BIG way, having 50 points average over the last three years. Problem is, Leafs wouldn't sign Nylander just to trade him instantly, and Nashville isn't going to take his rights and an okay, yet promising player in Zaitsev for a top tier defenseman like PK and just the chance to talk to Nylander and hope that he signs. If this deal had any chance of working, the Leafs would need to throw in either a 1st and a 2nd or two 1sts, which is a big gamble to take when you're also giving up a potential future Hall of Famer in Nylander.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 10, 2018 at 1:51 a.m.
Thread:
Would any side consider this
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Random2152</b></div><div>I'd like to add that we have ~32 million in space next year.
If this scenario happens, it means that management is unsure what to do with Willy, and are considering a trade down the line.
Willy at 5.75 (5 yrs)+ Marner at 7.5 (6 yrs) + Matthews at 11(8 yrs) = 24.25 million
32 - 24.25 = 7.75 + Horton LTIR = ~13
Need to resign Kappy + Johnsson + Backup + 4C + Bring up a 4LW from the Marlies + Bring up 2 D from marlies + one more D.
Kappy + Johnsson should be 4. Backup plus 4C should be <2. 4LW <1, 2 Marlies D (Borg/Rosen and Liljegren) <2 = <9 million. 4 million to spend and only need 1 D + 1 extra (the 32 mil counts holl and goat)
I think the 2 stars was mean to this, as you don't seem to actually highlight a problem with the idea, considering the one thing you said did not take into account term (which is the important part of this ACGM).</div></div>
The problem with the idea is that there is no way Nylander would sign a deal for less than what he is worth regardless of the term. The 2 star rating was fair, as I highlighted a lot of things as well as the main problem with the deal. Nylander will not sign for anything less than 6 per year, and at minimum he MAY sign for 6.5 with a boatload of perks. The idea of him signing for 5.75, regardless of length, warrants a no star rating, so I think I'm being quite generous with two.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 6, 2018 at 2:05 a.m.
Thread:
Would any side consider this
This isn't realistic. But not for the reasons you think. Read on.
Nylander isn't going to sign for 5.75. You said it yourself, if he signed last year it would be at least for 6. Realistically he's worth anywhere between 6-6.75 AAV, so let's say for the sake of argument the lowest he'll go is 6.5M. This takes up slightly more of a cap hit, but regardless of the deal, that doesn't really matter.
This is the situation the Leafs face right now. With as many people the Leafs need to consider re-signing within the next 270 days, give or take, it basically comes down to sign Nylander or sign Matthews. With how much cap space they have (4th highest in the league at the moment according to this site), they still need to consider (with the exception of Matthews/Nylander) 6 forwards, 3 defencemen and a goalie. Suddenly that 15 ish million dollar pie (considering the rumoured cap increase to 82.5M, and of course this takes some rounding on my end) gets a hell of a lot smaller to divide.
The best case scenario for the Leafs, which in this day and age is a bit of a pipe dream, is to hope beyond hopes that Matthews and Nylander can agree to take a pay cut until 2020-21. Why then? Notwithstanding cap increases, there are two very big money hits that will dissipate. We can more or less assume that Marleau's current deal will be his last (dude will be 41 by the start of the 2020-21 season) and the hit caused by taking Horton's deal will finally be off our backs. That's 11.5M in cap space freed up. But that's two years from now. Until then, the Leafs are basically going to have to bow to every request that doesn't include a dollar sign just to get Matthews and Nylander to consider staying, with the promise of a large portion of a roughly 27 million dollar pie in two years being all the Leafs can do in terms of money talks, not counting any further cap increases to add to it.
In short, this is where the Tavares deal, as good for hype as it was, rears its ugly head. The Leafs are very likely to lose either one of them, if not both, as a direct result from the Tavares deal. As much of a pay cut he reportedly took, the hit on the cap still all but guarantees that at least one of them are leaving.
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