By March 1st

Edmonton declines, Dallas even more so.

Even if your values are horrible, can the Leafs realistically afford to wait until the deadline to start taking this season seriously? At this rate, they won't be worrying about Boston, and are more likely to miss the playoffs outright. Best-case scenario the Leafs finish 3rd in the Atlantic and they get a pissed-off Tampa Bay with fewer expectations (a la Capitals in 2018). This seems like an issue Dubas needs to resolve by like game 21, not game 60.

I'm a leafs fan but that's a no for sure from Edmonton

Thats a no from Edmonton. They are keeping one of Larsson/Bear. So likely Larsson would be traded. Johnsson+Ceci+pick for Larsson and Benson/Yamamoto/pick would be a deal.

Doubt the Oilers move Bear. Larsson for a winger makes sense for the Oilers but I don’t see them wanting Ceci as part of the return at all. Larsson for Kap or Johnson with pick(s) if necessary to balance

If Edmonton is giving up one of it's quality RHD and taking back Ceci, there isn't a f*cking hope in hell they add a Benson/Yamamoto/Pick. I don't think Johnsson has enough value on his own to warrant that kind of overpay.

Nevermind that Edmonton isn't moving either Larsson or Bear, but a trade surrounding Larsson for Ceci+Johnsson is about the Leafs adding a 2nd Round pick shy of being a good trade to begin with.