mantha boeser swap

Team: 2022-23 Washington Capitals

Initial Creation Date: Dec. 10, 2022

Published: Dec. 10, 2022

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

I do not think this will happen, and everyone is reading way too much into Friedman basically doing his own ACGM. However, here is the Caps' perspective on a Mantha Boeser deal.

Mantha over the last 3 years:
122 GP, 67 points, 59 EV points, on-ice xG% of 52, 57, and 53, Lars Eller most common linemate
2 years left at 5.7M

Boeser over the last 3 years:
148 GP, 111 points, 68 EV points, on-ice xG% of 55, 58, and 46, JT Miller most common linemate
3 years left at 6.65M

Neither player holds much value right now as complimentary wingers making more than 4m per. I repeat, NEITHER PLAYER HOLDS MUCH VALUE RIGHT NOW, and both have been disappointing so far this year.

That being said, Mantha has performed around equally with Boeser at everything except producing on the powerplay, while also spending most of his time with significantly worse players. He also has 1 year and 1M less on his contract, which matters a lot to a team that has say a 9.2M center on LTIR that needs to come off at some point this year. Boeser's biggest advantage over Mantha for the Caps is that he is younger and shoots right. That being said, he is the only one of the two that was a warmup injury away from being a healthy scratch this year.

Caps would need to have something else coming back to make this swap worth it, and something pretty significant too. Using the Vrana trade as an example, where they gave up a 1st and a 2nd to get "their guy" as well as shave ~ 2.5M off the cap by dumping Panik, Vancouver would have to add at least a 2nd.