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Granlund TDL Discussion

Created by: yikes
Team: 2023-24 San Jose Sharks
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 14, 2023
Published: Dec. 14, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Legend
Left Handed
Original Team
Waivers Exempt
Right Handed
Position
Trade Clause
Max Perf. Bonus
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
Waivers ExemptMcDavid, Connor
$12,500,000 (Performance Bonus$250,000)
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Description
Read the descriptions of the trades before referencing the actual trades - up for discussion not trades made as statements.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
1$800,000
Trades
1.
SJS
    Granlunds first 13 games as a Shark were rocky, not amazing play and his totals:
    13 games
    4 assists
    0 goals
    10 pointless games

    ——

    Grandlunds last 9 games, he’s looked phenomenal, his play starting improving right after the Grier locker room talk. It’s not just points it’s also how he looks. His totals:
    9 games
    15 points
    5 multi point games (two 3 point games)
    3 goals
    1 pointless game

    In 22 games Granlund has 19 points. He’s around (under tho) a 70 point pace. It Granlund is retained, @50%, he should return easily over a first+ at 2.5m aav for 1 more year (2 playoff runs).

    Lars Eller (obviously a rounded player, not just points) had 16 points in 60 games. Returned a 2nd last TDL. Jordan Greenway had 7 points in 45 and returned OVER a 2nd.

    Tyler Bertuzzi, had injury problems, was a UFA, and cost basically the same AAV as Granlund (but Granlund has 1 more year). Bertuzzi had 14 points in 30 games (obviously a different player). He received a first and fourth.

    My guess is; I’d Granlund, let’s say reaches the TDL with the following Statline - which would have a slight reduction in his current performance/ pace included (to be safe):

    Let’s say 50 games played (rested and needs some games for healing):
    And let’s even reduce his points by a handful.

    37 points in 50 games. 2 years/ 2 playoff runs @2.5m AAV. Plays center and wing, has shown speed and agility with some amazing play and puck work.

    What teams are going to be willing to offer a first + prospect?
    If you disagree sure but if all you say his “guy sucks” well his play suggests otherwise. So let’s discuss who and what?
    COL
    2.
    SJS
    1. Gulyayev, Mikhail [Reserve List]
    2. 2024 1st round pick (COL)
    Additional Details:
    KHL won’t play till 2026

    Not selecting any teams top 5 prospects.

    Idk if the AV’s are going to be in the market to be big buyers, idk why just a gut feeling.
    COL
      Granlund 2.5m AAV x 2y
      3.
      SJS
        I like the NYR fit a lot. More then the AVs by a mile.
        I think the Rags not only are going to be buyers, but they’re looking for a cup. The Metro is a gongshow (not in a positive way) and if they pull the Flyers they’re laughing to the 2nd round, basically a buy.

        I’ve got 2 proposals for the Rangers.
        NYR
          Granlund 2.5m AAV x 2y
          4.
          SJS
          1. Sýkora, Adam
          2. 2024 2nd round pick (NYR)
          Additional Details:
          I think Grier would target Sykora, even take a discount. Let’s see how to make this work, a 1st and Sykora seems too costly, so a conditional 2nd to be a first if the Rangers make the SCF and Granlund players 50%?
          NYR
            Granlund 2.5m AAV x 2y
            5.
            SJS
            1. Goodrow, Barclay
            2. 2024 1st round pick (NYR)
            Additional Details:
            To be simple let’s keep the last trades framework. But now, let’s argue the Rangers want to move Goodrow, Granlund comes cheaper and better, and gives them a little $$$ to have more wiggle room in the offseason with resigning.
            Now Goodrow never will be a waste in my eyes but financially he’s a burden if the Rangers also see they could use his term off the books. Now the Rangers need to add. Does this work better
            Adam Sykora
            *lottery protected 2024 first*
            *Conditional 2024 2nd round pick (NYR) if the Rags make the ECF?*
            Too much??
            NYR
              Granlund 2.5m AAV x 2y (50% retained)
              6.
              SJS
              COL
              1. Gulyayev, Mikhail
              2. 2024 1st round pick (COL)
              Additional Details:
              I don’t think the AV’s want to bid with the Rangers. I think:

              Goodrow
              Sykora
              Conditional 2nd
              Protected first

              Granlund 50% starts to make way more sense
              7.
              SJS
                Would they bid on Granlund?
                VGK
                8.
                SJS
                  Granlund also looks like a perfect fit here?
                  Would EDM try to make cap room?
                  EDM
                  Buyouts
                  Retained Salary Transactions
                  Buried
                  DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
                  2024
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the PIT
                  Logo of the NYR
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the NJD
                  Logo of the NYR
                  Logo of the VGK
                  Logo of the PIT
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the NJD
                  2025
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the WPG
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the WSH
                  2026
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  Logo of the SJS
                  ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
                  21$83,500,000$82,014,168$25,000$1,145,000$1,485,832
                  Left WingCentreRight Wing
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $3,000,000$3,000,000
                  LW, RW
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $5,000,000$5,000,000
                  C, RW
                  UFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $1,450,000$1,450,000
                  RW
                  RFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
                  LW
                  RFA - 3
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $6,750,000$6,750,000
                  C
                  NMC
                  UFA - 7
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,500,000$2,500,000
                  RW, LW
                  M-NTC
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $4,500,000$4,500,000
                  LW
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,750,000$2,750,000
                  RW, C
                  RFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $775,000$775,000
                  RW
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the New York Rangers
                  $3,641,667$3,641,667
                  C, LW
                  M-NTC
                  UFA - 4
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $762,500$762,500
                  LD/RD
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $1,100,000$1,100,000
                  RW, LW
                  RFA - 1
                  Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $3,250,000$3,250,000
                  LD
                  UFA - 3
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $1,100,000$1,100,000
                  LD/RD
                  UFA - 3
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,750,000$2,750,000
                  G
                  UFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $789,167$789,167 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
                  LD
                  RFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,750,000$2,750,000
                  LD/RD
                  UFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,350,000$2,350,000
                  G
                  UFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $912,500$912,500 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
                  LD
                  RFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $825,000$825,000
                  RD
                  RFA - 1
                  ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $800,000$800,000
                  LW, RW
                  UFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $7,000,000$7,000,000
                  LD/RD
                  M-NTC
                  UFA - 3
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $8,000,000$8,000,000
                  C
                  M-NTC
                  UFA - 4
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $1,250,000$1,250,000
                  RD
                  UFA - 3
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $2,000,000$2,000,000
                  C
                  UFA - 2
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $775,000$775,000
                  RD
                  RFA - 1
                  Logo of the San Jose Sharks
                  $775,000$775,000
                  RW, C
                  UFA - 1

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                  Top Comments

                  Dec. 14, 2023 at 3:23 p.m.
                  #1
                  Avatar of the user
                  Joined: Jan. 2017
                  Posts: 9,567
                  Likes: 4,573
                  Easy no for the Avs at that price.
                  MeetYourMakar, Android_H_Jones, Anus_McLeod and 2 others liked this.
                  Dec. 14, 2023 at 3:24 p.m.
                  #2
                  DRW2025
                  Avatar of the user
                  Joined: May 2023
                  Posts: 608
                  Likes: 134
                  He's probably worth a 2nd.
                  MeetYourMakar and Anus_McLeod liked this.
                  Dec. 14, 2023 at 3:24 p.m.
                  #3
                  Avatar of the user
                  Joined: Aug. 2021
                  Posts: 5,231
                  Likes: 2,276
                  I’d probably do the Goodrow trade. Maybe add another pick to try and get Barb/Duclair
                  Dec. 14, 2023 at 3:24 p.m.
                  #4
                  EklundCelebriniSmith
                  Avatar of the user
                  Joined: Sep. 2019
                  Posts: 10,072
                  Likes: 12,828
                  Quoting: TJTwolf
                  Easy no for the Avs at that price.


                  Yeah I stated in the post I don’t think the Avs are going to do anything major at TDL. They just seem more up in the air on what they’re shopping for
                  Dec. 14, 2023 at 3:25 p.m.
                  #5
                  EklundCelebriniSmith
                  Avatar of the user
                  Joined: Sep. 2019
                  Posts: 10,072
                  Likes: 12,828
                  Quoting: Rags21
                  I’d probably do the Goodrow trade. Maybe add another pick to try and get Barb/Duclair


                  I think SJS wants to keep Duke and the rangers don’t have many other picks to add to get Duke - felt too complicated without involving a quantity of picks/ another prospect.

                  Quoting: DRW2025
                  He's probably worth a 2nd.


                  Way worse players, less term, traded for more last year - so hard disagree if what I outlined happens with Granlund. Hes currently near a .90 pace and I reduced it to .73 to be modest, and removed more games of his totals for “injury/ healing time”. Bertuzzi had .50 and was a UFA for a first and fourth.
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