How the Lightning Could Manage Karlsson

Initial Creation Date: Jul 6, 2018
Published: Jul 7, 2018 at 12:00 am
Team: 2019-20 Tampa Bay Lightning
Legend
Lefthanded
Original Team
Righthanded
Position
No Move/Trade Clause
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
McDavid, Connor
$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Team Explanation
New Jersey has over $20 million of cap space and should have no problem taking on Callahan's cap for two years. They get a promising prospect who is competitive to make their roster immediately, a draft pick, and a veteran leader. The Devils aren't a complete mess and Callahan originally played in the New York area, so New Jersey shouldn't be on his no trade list.

The Avalanche get much needed depth scoring, in the form of both J.T. Miller (a 20 goal scorer, even on the Rangers) and Barre-Boutlet, who plays a similar game to Yanni Gourde. I'm not sure if they'd actually give up a promising prospect like that knowing that the Lightning have little leverage, but other teams would take J.T. Miller without Barre-Boutlet and it makes sense for the Avalanche.

Perhaps I'm undervaluing Karlsson here, but you can exchange Sergachev for Foote if you want, and/or add in draft picks and prospects such as Somppi. I don't think the Senators will get any more than that from anyone. The point of this was to see if they could make the cap work, not to find a fair trade deal, though, and this is how I see the trade ending up.

All of these teams know the Lightning are desperate, but J.T. Miller is not exactly a cap dump and he provides much needed depth scoring. Teams would take him without any prospect, and the addition of a prospect should make it appealing enough that the Avalanche give someone who seems NHL-caliber at some point, such as Timmins or Meloche. If not, the Lightning have Cernak to call up anyway. The Devils get Volkov and a draft pick for two years of a contract they can afford, so even though the Lightning have their hands tied, they shouldn't want that offer to go to waste. And afterwards they should have enough to deal with a Karlsson trade.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Point, Brayden4$6,000,000
Kucherov, Nikita8$10,000,000
Koekkoek, Slater3$1,200,000
Erne, Adam3$1,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Gourde, Yanni3$4,500,000
Karlsson, Erik8$10,000,000
Trades
TBL
  1. 2019 6th round pick (NJD)
NJD
  1. Callahan, Ryan
  2. Volkov, Alexander
  3. 2021 2nd round pick (TBL)
TBL
  1. Meloche, Nicolas
COL
  1. Miller, J.T.
  2. Barré-Boulet, Alex
  3. 2022 1st round pick (TBL)
  4. 2020 4th round pick (TBL)
TBL
    1. Erik Karlsson
    OTT
    1. Katchouk, Boris
    2. Foote, Cal
    3. 2020 1st round pick (TBL)
    Additional Details:
    4. Jake Dotchin
    5. 2019 3rd round pick (becomes 2nd if the Lightning win the Cup)
    Buyouts
    • Matthew Carle: $1,833,333
    • Vincent Lecavalier: $0
    DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
    2020
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    2021
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    2022
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    TBL
    2019
    NJD
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
    20$82,000,000$81,929,164$0$1,215,000$70,836

    Roster

    Left WingCenterRight Wing
    Palat, Ondrej
    $5,300,000
    RW, LW
    NTC
    UFA - 3
    Stamkos, Steven
    $8,500,000
    C, LW
    NMC
    UFA - 5
    Kucherov, Nikita
    $10,000,000
    RW
    UFA - 8
    Gourde, Yanni
    $4,500,000
    RW, LW, C
    NTC
    UFA - 6
    Point, Brayden
    $6,000,000
    C, RW
    RFA - 3
    Johnson, Tyler
    $5,000,000
    LW, C, RW
    NTC
    UFA - 5
    Killorn, Alex
    $4,450,000
    LW
    NTC
    UFA - 4
    Cirelli, Anthony
    $728,333
    C
    RFA - 1
    Raddysh, Taylor
    $833,333
    RW
    RFA - 2
    Erne, Adam
    $1,000,000
    LW, RW
    RFA - 1
    Stephens, Mitchell
    $833,333
    C
    RFA - 1
    Joseph, Mathieu
    $728,333
    LW, RW
    RFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Hedman, Victor
    $7,875,000
    LD
    NMC
    UFA - 6
    Karlsson, Erik
    $10,000,000
    RD
    NMC
    UFA - 8
    Vasilevskiy, Andrei
    $3,500,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    McDonagh, Ryan
    $6,750,000
    LD
    NTC
    UFA - 7
    Sergachev, Mikhail
    $894,166
    LD
    RFA - 1
    Domingue, Louis
    $1,150,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Meloche, Nicolas
    $853,333
    D
    RFA - 1
    Koekkoek, Slater
    $1,200,000
    LD
    RFA - 1

    Special Teams

    Power Play 1
    Palat, O.
    Stamkos, S.
    Kucherov, N.
    Hedman, V.
    Johnson, T.
    Power Play 2
    Gourde, Y.
    Point, B.
    Raddysh, T.
    Cirelli, A.
    Karlsson, E.
    Penalty Kill 1
    Point, B.
    Cirelli, A.
    Hedman, V.
    Koekkoek, S.
    Penalty Kill 2
    Killorn, A.
    Erne, A.
    McDonagh, R.
    Meloche, N.

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    Top Comments

    Jul 7, 2018 at 12:03
    #1
    Joined: May 2018
    Posts: 1,963
    Likes: 307
    Going to lose Sergachev or Vasilevskiy as you won’t be able to afford them both
    Jul 7, 2018 at 12:31
    #2
    MK458
    Joined: Dec 2017
    Posts: 1,337
    Likes: 460
    You're still 3 players short of a roster and you'll have no money to sign Vas of Sergachev
    Jul 7, 2018 at 12:34
    #3
    Joined: May 2017
    Posts: 456
    Likes: 147
    Quoting: Kosterjr
    Going to lose Sergachev or Vasilevskiy as you won’t be able to afford them both


    There's an expansion draft next summer for Seattle, which is Tyler Johnson's home town. The hope would be that Yzerman convinces him to waive his NTC and leaves him exposed, and Seattle takes him (which would make sense, as he would be by far their most talented forward available). Otherwise, other teams that need depth scoring should be willing to take him - he's a very capable #2 center with playoff experience who can also play wing. Then, they free $5,000,000, they get another $2,000,000 when Carle's buyout comes off, and if the cap goes up by about $2,000,000, they have almost $13.5 million for both of them. I think Vasilevskiy gets $6,500,000 and Sergachev gets $5,000,000 on a bridge deal. They would then look to dump Killorn, and they can give up mid-draft picks, or, if need be, Somppi (one of the best in the QMJHL who should definitely be able to play on the NHL level). That leaves them with $9.5 million for Cirelli, Stephens, Joseph, and Meloche. Cirelli gets $4,000,000, Meloche gets $3,000,000 (or is replaced with someone worth that amount), and Stephens and Joseph are each signed short-term for $1,200,000 to prove that they can be consistently good before they get raises. The next season, the salary cap goes up more because of added revenue from Seattle, and they have some breathing room for contract expiries.
    Jul 7, 2018 at 12:40
    #4
    Joined: May 2017
    Posts: 456
    Likes: 147
    Quoting: mk458
    You're still 3 players short of a roster and you'll have no money to sign Vas of Sergachev


    According to the NHL rules, a roster is to have at least 20 players and no more than 23. So, we have 20. If anyone gets injured, they are put on LTIR and we get cap relief on and can call someone up from the minor league. I explained how to re-sign Vasilevskiy and Sergachev in my post above.
    Jul 7, 2018 at 12:56
    #5
    MK458
    Joined: Dec 2017
    Posts: 1,337
    Likes: 460
    Quoting: I_Know_Nothing_About_Hockey_Or_Any_Sport2
    According to the NHL rules, a roster is to have at least 20 players and no more than 23. So, we have 20. If anyone gets injured, they are put on LTIR and we get cap relief on and can call someone up from the minor league. I explained how to re-sign Vasilevskiy and Sergachev in my post above.


    Yes, but can you tell me a team that actually had a 20 man roster last year??? It doesn't happen. And what happens if Vasilevsky has an amazing season next year? Maybe he's only worth 6.5... But what if he's worth 8? Even 9? You think Johnson will waive his full NTC to leave one of the best teams in the NHL? What happens if Seattle says, "we could take Johnson, but this is one of the most skilled teams in the league, theres a better player available". I like your train of thought, I really do, but it just seems too implausible for me, sorry.
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