Zaitsev had a rough season but he was on fire the first 10 games of the year then he got a concussion and shortly after returning from that he got some illness where he dropped 15 lbs. I really liked him in his rookie year and the beginning of this year I wouldn’t move on from him until we see what we have next year.
I would like to see where Rosen is in his progression next year too.
I don’t really mind trading Carrick or Pickard.
I’m not sure I understand why people value Tanev so much, I know he is decent defensively but he is always injured and has never played a full NHL season.

Think you pretty close. But...Moore didn't even play late in the year, he won't be back. Leafs aren't giving up Zaitsev, and really that's a big price to pay for Tanev who has just two year left till UFA, and he doesn't play a full season ever. Leafs aren't going to overpay for Carlson, and that 's the only way to get him. Gotta believe the Leafs are going to wait and see how their RFA signings go and maybe get into free agency in 2019 when their potentially lot of Dmen available.

Greening and Moore probably go to free agency, Par Lindholm (a recent sign) looks real promising and probably has the best shot at becoming 4th line center. Tanev trade was definatley overdone, Carrick and Rosen are just plain irrelevant in that trade, the leafs are probably losing one of McElhinney and Sparks, because sparks needs to clear waivers to be sent down after camp, so its either trade one of the 2 or try pulling that with your fingers crossed, so giving away pickard wouldn't be great... Zaitsev's contract is killer but that may not be so bad for the canucks. then you got the picks, overall this wasn't a bad post but had flaws

I don't think the Leafs are going to mvoe forward hoping Nylander can hold down the #3C spot, especially at $6.5M. I get the idea is that he and Kadri swap after a season or two, but as an organization I think they're better suited to seeing him on the wing. Otherwise we'd have probably seen more of Nylander at C this season. I think it's safe to think they'll look to find a FA center in July: they can rotate all 4 of Brown, Marner, Nylander, and Kapanen as the season progresses. I'd think it'd incredibly similar to how we've seen the end of this season go; Marner/Nylander/Brown/Kapanen with Kasperi featuring primarily in a PK role.

Dominic Moore is not going to resign in Toronto: Babcock isn't big on him, and no team should feel pressured to keep a +35y/o #4C. I don't think Leivo is a Leaf next season either: he holds more value to other cash-strapped teams than he does to the Leafs imo. If Aaltonen is ready, the spot's probably his. Gauthier works as a spare forward, but I think they'll try and trade him while he still has some hypothetical value left.

That Tanev deal stinks. Zaitsev's game last season stunk, but he got hurt and, well, a lot of the Leaf's defense stunk. I don't think trading him is necessary, and I feel that replacing him with $8M of John Carlson for SEVEN years (you know you gotta resign Matthews AND Marner, right?) is not a safe bet at all. See where he is in a year or two, then make a decision. Rosen is meh, but I'm certain Dubas sees more value on him in the AHL than as a throwaway in a trade.

All of Carrick, Pickard, the 2nd and the 3rd are probably too valuable to the organization right now to consider parting with. Considering the Leafs' absurd shortage of centers, defenders, and prospects in general, I can't see a 2nd or 3rd being moved. Carrick and Pickard, if traded, will be for picks to help keep the cycle of prospects going.

I agree with all four of those points completely.

I also hope that the Leafs go all in for Carlson. He looks to me like a bigger right hand version of Gardiner. Him being signed for top pairing would allow Zaitsev to go on the second pairing and Hainsey could go third pairing.

I think you logic is flawed regarding waivers. We would the Leafs trade one of Sparks or Mcillerny for probably just a meaningless pick? It's better to keep both of them. How? Well a player that is claimed on waivers has to remain the NHL club. So I don't know if any of team would go into next September hoping to pick up a back up goalie via waivers. My thought is the Leafs want to see Sparks in the NHL next October. Waive Curtis and hope he doesn't get claimed. He can play for Marlies and see how Sparks does. But if he's claimed so be it. But don't trade either one for a meaningless pick.