Quoting: Jco5ta5
where can i find these pick charts?
This is one based on the pure value:
http://statsportsconsulting.com/main/wp-content/uploads/Schuckers_NHL_Draftchart.pdf
This one shows average value:
https://bluebulletreport.com/2019/06/05/2018-19-draft-model-update-part-iii-blue-bullet-draft-pick-value-chart/
I can't share my google doc where I did my own but here's a copy and paste from another comment referring to defensemen in case we end up picking Drysdale at 4OA:
"Larsson (T4)
Murray (T4)
Reinhart (B)
Reilly (T4) (E)
Jones (T4) (E)
Hanifin (T4)
Juolevi (B)
Makar (T4) (E) (M)
Heiskanen (T4) (E) (M)
Top 4 D (T4): 7/9= 0.77%
Elite/Top Pairing DMen: 4/9: 0.44%
Marner-level DMen: 2/9: 0.22%
Concluding: Very few Defensive prospects are considered good enough to get drafted top-5. When a D-Man is drafted in the top-5 it is usually for his QB abilities or mature game. Between 5-15 there is a higher likelihood of an Elite DMan, but Drysdale safely falls into the top-5 category."
Assuming Nylander is equivalent to a top-4 RHD then theres a 77% chance we get a fairly equal player and a 44% we get something better. (Data is non-exclusive)
Sorry I can't find mine for forwards but take my word on it it is signifigantly better with a 80-90% depending on the draft they become 2nd line or fringe first line (Nylander is better then that imo) and around a 50% they become an elite player. I reccomend you do your own to see for yourself. It's pretty eye-opening to how often we over high-end draft picks.
I can write out another pick chart in a format I can paste into a comment if you want.