*Published so you know I'm god if I get it right*
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In Depth Dive into Fantasy Land: Projecting MTL Team Statistics (This is ALL Bias, but I Based it off Them being Offensively Better then Last Year. Hate it or like it this is all just for fun anyways..
Team Record: 43-32-7 for 93pts Makes Playoffs as 1st Seeded Wildcard and 4th in Atlantic.
Team Stats - Forwards
Anderson : 39 Pts (21 Goals, 18 Assists) in 79 Games
Armia : 24 Pts (9 Goals, 15 Assists) in 70 Games
Byron : 13 Pts (4 Goals, 9 Assists) in 25 Games
Caufield : 57 Pts (28 Goals, 29 Assists) in 78 Games
Drouin : 44 Pts (11 Goals, 33 Assists) in 76 Games
Evans : 21 Pts (5 Goals, 16 Assists) in 76 Games
Gallagher : 56 Pts (24 Goals, 32 Assists) in 80 Games
Hoffman : 50 Pts (24 Goals, 26 Assists) in 80 Games
Kotkaniemi : 41 Pts (13 Goals, 28 Assists) in 77 Games
Lehkonen : 21 Pts (8 Goals, 13 Assists) in 75 Games
Paquette : 4 Pts (0 Goals, 4 Assists) in 14 Games
Poehling : 24 Pts (13 Goals, 11 Assists) in 71 Games
Perreault : 9 Pts (2 Goals, 7 Assists) in 19 Games
Suzuki : 80 Pts (23 Goals, 57 Assists) in 82 Games
Toffoli : 47 Pts (22 Goals, 26 Assists) in 82 Games
530 Pts (197 Goals, 333 Assists) in 984 (82 x 12) Games
Team Stats - Defense
Chiarot : 11 Pts (2 Goals, 9 Assists) in 82 Games
Edmundson : 14 Pts (2 Goals, 12 Assists) in 77 Games
Norlinder : 19 Pts (6 Goals, 13 Assists) in 74 Games
Petry : 58 Pts (17 Goals, 41 Assists) In 80 Games
Romanov : 28 Pts (9 Goals, 19 Assists) in 80 Games
Savard : 11 Pts(1 Goals, 10 Assists) in 82 Games
Wideman: 2 Points (1 Goals, 1 Assists) in 6 Games
Kulak: 4 Points (1 Goals, 3 Assists) in 11 Games
Total Points By Defense: 146 Pts (39 Goals, 108 Assists) in 492 (82 x 6) Games
Team Stats - Goalies
Price : 29 - 21 - 5 / 2.33 GAA and .923 SV%
Allen : 14 - 11 - 2 / 2.79 GAA and .911 SV%
Overall Team Stats - Compared to Last Year (Reg. Season)
Total Team Points: 677 Pts (245 Goals, 432 Assists) in 82 Games - 8.26 PPG as a Team / 2.98 GPG
Last Years Total: 415 (158 Goals, 257 Assists) in 56 Games - 7.41 PPG as a Team / 2.82 GPG
I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.
Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.
We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...
I actually like this. But I think KK's numbers are a bit lower then I expect. i also think price won't be that bad. he wont have to play b2bs and that playoff run will leave him hungry. i also think you're a bit low on toffolis numbers. he's in the prime of his career. nothing says to me that he can't score 30 again. hes locked in long-term and he knows his place on the roster. in van and LA, he moved around a lot and there was contract uncertainty. i think that mental weight off his shoulders will help. as for hoffman, i belive you're way off. he's a shooter and habs dont have to run their pp through weber. i think he scores 32-34 goals.
I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.
Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.
We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...
Good looking squad, tough f*cking division.
Cheers!
Goalies were a stretch yes, but I think if price can stay healthy the whole season he can be around those numbers , but it is indeed hopeful
I actually like this. But I think KK's numbers are a bit lower then I expect. i also think price won't be that bad. he wont have to play b2bs and that playoff run will leave him hungry. i also think you're a bit low on toffolis numbers. he's in the prime of his career. nothing says to me that he can't score 30 again. hes locked in long-term and he knows his place on the roster. in van and LA, he moved around a lot and there was contract uncertainty. i think that mental weight off his shoulders will help. as for hoffman, i belive you're way off. he's a shooter and habs dont have to run their pp through weber. i think he scores 32-34 goals.
KK- Depends on if he is playing constant 2C minutes or if they bring him closer to 3C minutes.. Would like to see him get more but rn hes under .5PPG so I went with a number slighty over that .5 PPG
Toffoli - With Hoffman and Drouin coming back I think toffoli will either go to a two way guy hovering around 22-25 goals with equal assists, but he could easily come out on fire again with the goal scoring and lead the team again.
Hoffman - Hoffman is good yes but Montreal's wing depth is insane, its why I don't have anyone over 30 goals. I think it'll be a balanced 3 line attack
What’s your take on 2x$750k for Poehling? He’s only owed a 1 year QO that’s 2way. So basically only 100k guaranteed. 10.2(c), so precedent setting for the organization as well.
Bergevin gives two years but 1 way in both, so $1.5mm guaranteed across the 2 years. Also, his cap hit makes it more likely for him to stick with the big club.
Plus that he’s behind Jake Evans on the depth chart, so there’s no real reason for Poehling to be above his cap hit.
Would seem to me a win win for both sides.
Love the Caufield and Suzuki goals and points calls.
I think the KK contract would be the right number for 3 years, but that both the team and the agent might prefer a 2 year deal with a 1 handle for future precedent setting for the team and young players, and the ability to reset quicker for the player.
I'm kinda a bit wary of the goaltending projection. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? I have my doubts.
Consider that, over the past 4 seasons, Price has hit both the GAA and Save % numbers zero times, and that Allen has done it with the GAA 3 times, but save % only once.
We all know that Carey Price is really, really good sometimes. The way I look at it though, is that the Habs are going to be in really, really tough in that division. Florida and Tampa have both improved, Toronto is a regular season team, and the Bruins, while they have question marks at 2C and between the pipes, always seems to be good. Not saying that all of these teams will be in front of the Habs, I just think that it's going to be tough sailing if Price goes on regular season vacation again...
Good looking squad, tough f*cking division.
Cheers!
I think the Habs have the recipe now with the Allen addition to Price.
1) play Price 2/3 - 3/4 of the time from now until the deadline.
2) have Price go on LTIR and rest his numerous injuries from before the trade deadline until the start of the playoffs.
3) hand the ball to Jake Allen and Cayden Primeau for the rest of the regular season.
4) use the LTIR cap space to bring in acquisitions at the deadline to get us over the finish line and players we’ll need in the playoffs.
5) healthy and mentally fresh Price (and maybe even Weber) for your playoff roster.
I agree though that it’s not going to be easy to get in, really tough division. Tampa hasn’t improved though. They’ve lost a lot of really good players.
Florida is my pick to win the division, any of 4 or 5 teams for me could come in 2nd.
What’s your take on 2x$750k for Poehling? He’s only owed a 1 year QO that’s 2way. So basically only 100k guaranteed. 10.2(c), so precedent setting for the organization as well.
Bergevin gives two years but 1 way in both, so $1.5mm guaranteed across the 2 years. Also, his cap hit makes it more likely for him to stick with the big club.
Plus that he’s behind Jake Evans on the depth chart, so there’s no real reason for Poehling to be above his cap hit.
Would seem to me a win win for both sides.
Love the Caufield and Suzuki goals and points calls.
I think the KK contract would be the right number for 3 years, but that both the team and the agent might prefer a 2 year deal with a 1 handle for future precedent setting for the team and young players, and the ability to reset quicker for the player.
Not much thought went into the 2 contracts TBH, I think Poehling will sign for 1 year and hopefully they let him stay in the lineup consistently cause he could be a solid option for 3C letting evans run the checking line with Lehkonen and Armia.
For KK I think the number is right but there's not much leaked to say what way they are leaning for 2 or 3 year deal. I Think 3 year would be good but could also mean a larger paycheck if he does show up and break out over those 3 years.
Suzuki playing with Caufield all year should only help the team. Caufield had 17 pts in 30 games this year(Reg. and Playoffs) and I think he'll come back with some insane confidence this year
My Hot Take of the year is I think we could see Drouin on the 1st line by seasons end, if he finds confidence again him and Suzuki played well together and Drouin is HEAVILY Pass first which would help Caufield out.
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