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Projecting 2023-24

Created by: HockeyScotty
Team: 2023-24 Colorado Avalanche
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 16, 2023
Published: Jun. 17, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Using Frank Seravelli's latest contract AAV projections to build the best version of the Avs for next year given Lando's absence, cap crunch, and some key RFA deals.

If they are in contention then we go for it; if not then Devon Toews is likely a TDL move to ease the cap crunch next season with Landeskog's return (if he remains on track to do so). There is no accruing cap space so they need to spend up to the ceiling in the off-season. There could be some good buyout candidates between now and then but for now Monahan seems like the best 2C for the money we have; especially if surrounded by strong wingers.

The only stretch here is the Barbashev contract, which seems like too good of a steal according to Seravelli. I think he gets closer to $6 mil AAV due to the weak class; definitely more than Compher does; but using the reference he is a no brainer for a team like the Avs needing to replace Landeskog's presence on the ice and solidify their top 6 with at least 2 additions.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
3$950,000
3$950,000
2$950,000
2$975,000
2$2,250,000
4$4,200,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
4$4,200,000
1$2,000,000
2$2,200,000
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
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2024
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2025
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,500,000$83,290,000$637,500$160,000$210,000
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Barbashev, Ivan
$4,200,000$4,200,000
LW, RW
UFA - 5
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MacKinnon, Nathan
$12,600,000$12,600,000
C
NMC
UFA - 8
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Rantanen, Mikko
$9,250,000$9,250,000
RW, C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
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Lehkonen, Artturi
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 4
Monahan, Sean
$2,000,000$2,000,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
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Nichushkin, Valeri
$6,125,000$6,125,000
RW, LW
NMC
UFA - 7
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Newhook, Alex
$2,250,000$2,250,000
C, LW
RFA - 4
Kämpf, David
$2,200,000$2,200,000
C
UFA - 4
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Malgin, Denis
$950,000$950,000
LW, RW
UFA
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Meyers, Ben
$975,000$975,000
LW, C
UFA - 1
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Waivers ExemptPavel, Ondrej
$870,000$870,000 (Performance Bonus$80,000$80K)
C, LW, RW
RFA - 2
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O'Connor, Logan
$1,050,000$1,050,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
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Olofsson, Fredrik
$775,000$775,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
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Waivers ExemptPolin, Jason
$870,000$870,000 (Performance Bonus$80,000$80K)
RW
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
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Toews, Devon
$4,100,000$4,100,000
LD
UFA - 1
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Makar, Cale
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
UFA - 4
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Georgiev, Alexandar
$3,400,000$3,400,000
G
UFA - 2
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Girard, Samuel
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 4
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Manson, Josh
$4,500,000$4,500,000
RD
NTC
UFA - 3
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Francouz, Pavel
$2,000,000$2,000,000
G
UFA - 1
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Byram, Bowen
$4,200,000$4,200,000
LD/RD
RFA - 2
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Waivers ExemptMalinski, Sam
$850,000$850,000
RD
RFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
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MacDermid, Kurtis
$987,500$987,500
LD/RD, LW
UFA - 1
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Landeskog, Gabriel
$7,000,000$7,000,000
LW, C
NMC
UFA - 6

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Jun. 17, 2023 at 12:39 a.m.
#1
earl08
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IMO there's little chance Byram takes multiple years for less than $6M AAV with arb rights next summer. A 4x4 would be a massive discount for COL.
Jun. 17, 2023 at 12:46 a.m.
#2
HockeyScotty
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Quoting: earl08
IMO there's little chance Byram takes multiple years for less than $6M AAV with arb rights next summer. A 4x4 would be a massive discount for COL.


I wish they would sign him soon so we can know; but it is such a huge contract with lots of different ways it will go. I much prefer a bridge deal; not just because of our cap situation but because we need to see him stay healthy before committing to a huge contract. Anything above $4 million prices us out for any top 6 forwards on the UFA market.
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Jun. 17, 2023 at 1:08 a.m.
#3
BluesTheGreats
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Where’d you find frank ceravellis contract projections? Curious
Jun. 17, 2023 at 1:08 a.m.
#4
earl08
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Quoting: HockeyScotty
I wish they would sign him soon so we can know; but it is such a huge contract with lots of different ways it will go. I much prefer a bridge deal; not just because of our cap situation but because we need to see him stay healthy before committing to a huge contract. Anything above $4 million prices us out for any top 6 forwards on the UFA market.


Byram has indicated he wants 1st Pair minutes & money. Unfortunately, he has zero negotiating power this summer, but the Avs have also earned brownie points for being extremely accomodating towards him. This second point means a high likelihood he trusts the team enough to agree to a one year deal to bet on himself and not view it as an insult. Given the Avs recent history, I fully expect them to hold out as long as possible for a $4M x2. But since they really can't afford Byram holding out, I think its a late, one year contract like Gabe & Mikko. Comparable Dmen based on Age, GP, Pts, & Position seem to point towards $3M AAV.
Jun. 17, 2023 at 1:34 a.m.
#5
TJTwolf
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That bottom 6 still looks weak to me. I'm thinking Cogs may well come back for one last shot and possibly EJ too.
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Jun. 17, 2023 at 2:33 a.m.
#6
Xqb15a
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Monahan is most definitely not the answer at 2C I would rather just run Newhook at 2C. COL could just run it back and be in contention because that’s how good MacK Mikko and Makar are. Barbashev may be the guy that has pumped his value as much or more than anybody.
Jun. 17, 2023 at 9:31 a.m.
#7
HockeyScotty
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Quoting: BluesTheGreats
Where’d you find frank ceravellis contract projections? Curious


https://www.dailyfaceoff.com/news/bruins-dmitry-orlov-climbs-to-no-1-on-top-50-free-agents-board
Jun. 17, 2023 at 10:44 a.m.
#8
MeetYourMakar
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Quoting: earl08
Byram has indicated he wants 1st Pair minutes & money. Unfortunately, he has zero negotiating power this summer, but the Avs have also earned brownie points for being extremely accomodating towards him. This second point means a high likelihood he trusts the team enough to agree to a one year deal to bet on himself and not view it as an insult. Given the Avs recent history, I fully expect them to hold out as long as possible for a $4M x2. But since they really can't afford Byram holding out, I think its a late, one year contract like Gabe & Mikko. Comparable Dmen based on Age, GP, Pts, & Position seem to point towards $3M AAV.


Do you have a source for what Byram is asking? Something more than AJ saying "Byram knows his value"
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Jun. 18, 2023 at 3:00 p.m.
#9
earl08
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Quoting: MeetYourMakar
Do you have a source for what Byram is asking? Something more than AJ saying "Byram knows his value"


It's the same source that poo-poohs a ROR return (ie not AJ).
 
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