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Lineup and point prediction

Created by: Caufield
Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Jul. 25, 2023
Published: Jul. 25, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Pt prediction are all based on an 82 game season for every player, which doesn’t actually happen

CC22: 42 g 66 pts
NS14: 29 g 75 pts
AN15: 18 g 44 pts
JS20: 16 g 31 pts
KD77: 22 g 57 pts
SM91: 13 g 49 pts
RHP49: 22 g 38 pts
CD28: 15 g 37 pts
JA17: 26 g 37 pts
MP55: 6 g 11 pts
JE71: 5 g 23 pts
BG11: 17 g 27 pts

MM8: 14 g 53 pts
DS58: 6 g 23 pts
JH54: 11 g 33pts (breakout prediction)
KG21: 9 g 27 pts
AX72: 7 g 15 pts
JB52: 4 g 19pts
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the WSH
2025
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
2026
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,500,000$72,721,666$1,170,000$4,210,000$10,778,334
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 8
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,875,000$7,875,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,900,000$2,900,000
C, LW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,362,500$3,362,500
C, RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,985,000$1,985,000 (Performance Bonus$15,000$15K)
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LW, RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,450,000$4,450,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$812,500$812,500
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,875,000$4,875,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,400,000$1,400,000
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,925,000$1,925,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$828,333$828,333
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$275,000$275K)
RD
RFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$10,500,000$10,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$766,667$766,667
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2

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Jul. 25, 2023 at 1:33 p.m.
#1
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Joined: May 2019
Posts: 1,251
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Total : 282 GF

Last year, only 8 teams scored more than 282 goals.

Is MTL the 9th best offense in the league? I dont think so

Maybe RPH scores less and Harris doesn't breakout offensively. That would put MTL at best as an average offensive team

Good guess nonetheless
Caufield liked this.
Jul. 25, 2023 at 1:36 p.m.
#2
Thread Starter
Sennecke is a gem
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Quoting: pinslack
Total : 282 GF

Last year, only 8 teams scored more than 282 goals.

Is MTL the 9th best offense in the league? I dont think so

Maybe RPH scores less and Harris doesn't breakout offensively. That would put MTL at best as an average offensive team

Good guess nonetheless


Like I said, if they all play 82 games, this my projected pts. MTL will miss a lot of games in terms of injury
pinslack liked this.
Jul. 25, 2023 at 1:50 p.m.
#3
Habs 2010
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Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
That's a bold prediction for Harris, 11 goals in particular. What do you think changes that allows him to score 11 goals? He wasn't a goal scorer in college, he isn't nor will he ever be a powerplay guy in the NHL, and he doesn't have a dangerous shot. It would take some real serious luck for him to break 10 goals in my opinion, he is not known for offense - I think if he is going to break out it will be on the defensive side of things. McDonough was a top pairing defenseman and broke 10 goals just once in his career but was a really good two way guy... I think that's a more realistic scenario that Harris might be able to emulate stylistically.
Jul. 25, 2023 at 1:53 p.m.
#4
Thread Starter
Sennecke is a gem
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Likes: 2,368
Quoting: Shanesaw9
That's a bold prediction for Harris, 11 goals in particular. What do you think changes that allows him to score 11 goals? He wasn't a goal scorer in college, he isn't nor will he ever be a powerplay guy in the NHL, and he doesn't have a dangerous shot. It would take some real serious luck for him to break 10 goals in my opinion, he is not known for offense - I think if he is going to break out it will be on the defensive side of things. McDonough was a top pairing defenseman and broke 10 goals just once in his career but was a really good two way guy... I think that's a more realistic scenario that Harris might be able to emulate stylistically.


He’s got really good, fluide skating, and I could see him start to pop into the Ozone a bit more, and having a chance at more shots, sorta like Reinbacher did when he played in the Habs rookie scrimmage at the beginning of the season. I just think Harris has offensive potential that may breakout at some point in his career
Jul. 25, 2023 at 2:18 p.m.
#5
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Guhle had more than half those points in only 44games, unless you projected he'll miss a lot of games again, I think he can absolutly put up 35+.With a PP spot I predict 10g 38pts.

The rest is pretty good while being a little optimistic!
Caufield liked this.
Jul. 25, 2023 at 2:20 p.m.
#6
Thread Starter
Sennecke is a gem
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Likes: 2,368
Quoting: Daredevil514
Guhle had more than half those points in only 44games, unless you projected he'll miss a lot of games again, I think he can absolutly put up 35+.With a PP spot I predict 10g 38pts.

The rest is pretty good while being a little optimistic!


Which other ones are particularly high or low?
Jul. 25, 2023 at 3:16 p.m.
#7
Prime Primeau
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Posts: 5,575
Likes: 2,209
Great prediction! I just think Barron will be the one to breakout (not Harris).
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Jul. 25, 2023 at 3:18 p.m.
#8
Thread Starter
Sennecke is a gem
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Quoting: GuyGuyGuy
Great prediction! I just think Barron will be the one to breakout (not Harris).


Very possible!
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Jul. 25, 2023 at 3:33 p.m.
#9
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Joined: Apr. 2019
Posts: 670
Likes: 348
Quoting: Caufield
Which other ones are particularly high or low?


Dach goals and points are high (if he doesn't play with 22 and 14).

RHP goals and points are high (he won't have the same opportunities with a healthy team).

Anderson and Gallagher goals are high (I see 20 or 22 for Andy and Gally will barely surpass 10).

Matheson projection is a stretch. Yes he put up those numbers last years but I dont think he can sustain it in a full season.

Harris (I know its your breakout guy) but I just dont see it happening. Too much talent on the left with Matheson Guhle and Xhekaj. I think he's the odd man out unless someone plays off side.
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