Based on what I saw in preseason

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: jonh514

Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens

Initial Creation Date: Oct. 8, 2023

Published: Oct. 8, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Predictions like this never work out, but here goes!

Suzuki 82 points
Caufield 60 points
Dach 60 points (moved to wing after 10-20 games IMO, he cannot win in the dot... probably when Dvorak is back)
Monahan 60 points
Newhook 45 points
Slafkovsky 40 points
Anderson 40 points
RHP 35 points
Gallagher 25 points
Pearson 25 points
Evans 20 points
Armia 0 points (benched or buried after 10 games)
Dvorak 35 points (he's been a 0.5 PPG player since he arrived, assuming he plays 70 games)
Pezzetta 20 points

Matheson 50 points
Guhle 40 points
Harris 35 points
Savard 10 points
Xhekaj 30 points
Kovacevic 10 points
Norlinder 25 points
Barron 10 points (called up at one point but does not stick)
Lindstrom 0 points (Laval or waivers)
Mailloux 10 points (called up at one point but does not stick)

Buyouts

Karl Alzner: $833,333

Retained Salary Transactions

Joel Edmundson: $1,750,000 (50%)
Jeff Petry: $2,343,750 (50%)

Buried

Joel Armia: $2,250,000 ($3,400,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$83,500,000	$72,665,416	$1,170,000	$4,210,000	$10,834,584

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Caufield, Cole $7,850,000$7,850,000 LW, RW UFA - 8	Suzuki, Nick $7,875,000$7,875,000 C UFA - 7	Dach, Kirby $3,362,500$3,362,500 C, RW RFA - 3
Newhook, Alex $2,900,000$2,900,000 C, LW RFA - 4	Monahan, Sean $1,985,000$1,985,000 ($15,000$15K) C, LW, RW UFA - 1	Slafkovsky, Juraj $950,000$950,000 ($3,500,000$4M) RW, LW RFA - 2
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël $1,100,000$1,100,000 LW, RW RFA - 2	Dvorak, Christian $4,450,000$4,450,000 C M-NTC UFA - 2	Anderson, Josh $5,500,000$5,500,000 RW, LW M-NTC UFA - 4
Pearson, Tanner $3,250,000$3,250,000 LW UFA - 1	Evans, Jake $1,700,000$1,700,000 C UFA - 2	Gallagher, Brendan $6,500,000$6,500,000 RW, LW M-NTC, NMC UFA - 4
Pezzetta, Michael $812,500$812,500 LW, RW UFA - 2

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Matheson, Michael $4,875,000$4,875,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 3	Harris, Jordan $1,400,000$1,400,000 LD/RD RFA - 2	Allen, Jake $1,925,000$1,925,000 G M-NTC UFA - 2
Guhle, Kaiden $863,333$863,333 ($420,000$420K) LD/RD RFA - 2	Savard, David $3,500,000$3,500,000 RD UFA - 2	Montembeault, Samuel $1,000,000$1,000,000 G UFA - 1
Xhekaj, Arber $828,333$828,333 LD/RD RFA - 1	Kovacevic, Johnathan $766,667$766,667 RD UFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Barron, Justin $925,000$925,000 ($275,000$275K) RD RFA - 1		Price, Carey $10,500,000$10,500,000 G NMC UFA - 3
		Wideman, Chris $762,500$762,500 RD UFA - 1

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:21 a.m.

Byrr

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 6,303

Likes: 3,045

A 3rd pairing defenseman who doesn't get PP time isn't going to score 30 points at even strength.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:22 a.m.

jonh514

Thread Starter

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 7,149

Likes: 3,116

Quoting: Byrr

A 3rd pairing defenseman who doesn't get PP time isn't going to score 30 points at even strength.

Are you talking about Xhekaj? Cause he does get 2nd PP time.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:23 a.m.

Byrr

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 6,303

Likes: 3,045

Quoting: jonh514

Are you talking about Xhekaj? Cause he does get 2nd PP time.

Doesn't change much. 2nd unit time on one of the worst PPs in the league isn't going to get him to 30 points. It just makes some of your guesses for higher scoring defensemen even more ridiculous.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:23 a.m.

Byrr

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 6,303

Likes: 3,045

double

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:28 a.m.

jonh514

Thread Starter

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 7,149

Likes: 3,116

Quoting: Byrr

Doesn't change much. 2nd unit time on one of the worst PPs in the league isn't going to get him to 30 points.

He was on pace for 0.25 PPG last season. Based on what I saw in preseason, he's better this year than last year and also playing more minutes since he is picking his battles for when to fight. Expecting him to play a full season and to improve his output by 8 points is not crazy...

corson liked this.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:33 a.m.

Jay27

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,963

Likes: 1,104

I really hope Dach and Slafkovsky end up forming a formidable duo on the 2nd line. Sure it’s great to have a stellar 1st line but the team won’t perform too great if the rest of the lines can’t score.
Also I really hope they don’t saddle Guhle with Savard again this year. Savard is a great locker room guy and solid on the PK but I hope he’s put on the 3rd pairing where he belongs.

One last point, don’t sleep on RHP especially if he gets to play significant time with Suzy and CC. I could see him putting up 20+ goals this season.

jonh514 liked this.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 9:39 a.m.

Jay27

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,963

Likes: 1,104

Quoting: Byrr

Doesn't change much. 2nd unit time on one of the worst PPs in the league isn't going to get him to 30 points. It just makes some of your guesses for higher scoring defensemen even more ridiculous.

You’re right the PP is atrocious. With that being said Arber has a heavy shot and if the coaching staff(not too hopeful for this since Burrows runs the PP) finds a way to utilize that then 30 points really isn’t an outrageous number. Harris scoring 35 may be a little high though.

jonh514 liked this.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 11:24 a.m.

Fran615

Joined: Apr. 2018

Posts: 1,185

Likes: 503

Armia at 0 points LMAO

That player is........ a burden.

jonh514 liked this.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 12:21 p.m.

jonh514

Thread Starter

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 7,149

Likes: 3,116

Quoting: Jay27

He was scoring at an unreasonable percentage last year. I think 35-40 points is in his grasp, but he's not going to magically become a player he has never been.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 12:26 p.m.

#10

jonh514

Thread Starter

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 7,149

Likes: 3,116

Quoting: Byrr

Doesn't change much. 2nd unit time on one of the worst PPs in the league isn't going to get him to 30 points. It just makes some of your guesses for higher scoring defensemen even more ridiculous.

The Habs are prioritizing offense by activating the defense. The points scoring by defensemen comes from that.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 12:27 p.m.

#11

jonh514

Thread Starter

HuGo is a Boss GM

Joined: Dec. 2021

Posts: 7,149

Likes: 3,116

Quoting: Jay27

3 points in 4 preseason games. I see him playing next to Matheson and picking up points 5-on-5 just by hanging with the big guns.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 8:34 p.m.

#12

Jay27

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,963

Likes: 1,104

Quoting: jonh514

He was scoring at an unreasonable percentage last year. I think 35-40 points is in his grasp, but he's not going to magically become a player he has never been.

What do you mean? RHP has been underrated everywhere he has ever played and has scored everywhere he has played…

Not saying he’s going to go out and be a ppg player this year just that 20+ goals and 40+ points is very possible if he gets significant time with Suzy and CC.

Oct. 8, 2023 at 8:37 p.m.

#13

Jay27

Joined: Feb. 2019

Posts: 1,963

Likes: 1,104

Quoting: jonh514

3 points in 4 preseason games. I see him playing next to Matheson and picking up points 5-on-5 just by hanging with the big guns.

If you look at past posts you’ll see I’m a Harris supporter just see him as a cerebral defender not really a point producer but hey you could be right if he ends up playing with Matheson.

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