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Andy_Dick

Member Since
Feb. 20, 2022
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Edmonton Oilers
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26 at 9:55 p.m.
Thread: Bigger
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MoxNix</b></div><div>Stop pretending Dvorak is anything but a cap dump. He might be worth something with 50% retention but don't expect another to do that for you.</div></div>

And another cap dumper !! Lets me guess, 75 % of the league are cap dump. Can’t you read a statement?
Dvorak is money going the other way. There a thing call Salary cap and lets me explain this in a simple way. Calgary received a first round pick, a solid prospect in Beck, a young established defenseman and a third round pick with the Dvorak money goiing the other way like it’s always the case in majority of the trade. Also cap dump are made by team that need absolutely to shed some salary to get under the cap. In this case it’s not the case. Monahan was a cap dump because Calgary needed the space to sign Kadri. Same for Marleau with the leafs a couple
Year prior. But i am not surprise that this simple principal is to hard to understand for many people here.
Dvorak isn’t Gretzky but he is still a valuable
NHL caliber players. Yes he make to much money but by no mean he is a cap dump. Gm are not stupid, they understand that there a maximum of contract that can be and also that they need players to full fill certain role. Calgary just lost 3 centerman in one season, Dvorak could very well be a season replacement option. But you didn’t think about that one minute. It’s easier to complain about the cap dump than use your brain to analyze the trade.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26 at 5:29 p.m.
Thread: Zegras is not coming to MTL please stop
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMDannyB</b></div><div>Can’t lie as a Flyers fan that likes Zegras I would buy those two for him u have plenty of other insane prospects already that I would go get him</div></div>

Dach is an instant no go. Habs are fully committed to him. His injury's over the past 2 years sucked, but they aren't connected in any way, and this years was really just an unlucky freak accident.

And Dach's "ceiling" is pretty universally agreed upon by Habs fans that it's higher than Suzuki's, so everyone is perfectly fine waiting for him to get healthy. Not to mention he showed really good chemistry with Slafkovsky. So yeah, I think every Habs fan would rather roll the dice for Dach's ceiling than Zegras. It would seem Gorton and Hughes agree with this as well, because if they refused to include Dach in a PLD trade, I don't see how that would change for Zegras.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26 at 3:17 p.m.
Thread: Reshape the Dub
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>You want to give them a pending UFA (the exact type of player they avoid like the plague, ESPECIALLY at the cost of roster pieces) to try and fix a problem that Guentzel doesn't fix? It's brainless. Stop it. Guentzel "oh scores goals". Nicely done. He plays with Crosby. Crosby made Conor Sheary a goal scorer. This is an absolutely mindless trade for Carolina that does nothing to help the team. Absolute joke. Your attempt to justify it makes it worse</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Canes pass. At best, theose players are of equal skill at different positions. Pesce has the better contract, is more difficult to replace, and plays the more valuable position. If you want Guentzel to Carolina, futures go back. Not core pieces.

And your brainless take of "Carolina needs scoring desperately"... what? Did you just forget Svechnikov was out all postseason? Imagine Malkin was out all postseason and Pittsburgh got to the conference finals back when he was good. Would you call that a failure? Exactly. Stop it</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KyleDubasWWEFAN</b></div><div>
"Brainless" lol. Its the literal meaning. They cant score goals. Nothing is brainless unless you can't extract the greater meaning behind the fact. Lets try your language... ... what? Did you forget that Svechnikov played in the playoffs the previous 4 seasons? Imagine Pacioretty out all postseason and Carolina got to the conference finals but getting swept. Would you call that a success? Exactly. Stop it
</div></div>

The bad takes from this guy. Brainless. Yup. You finally correctly described all your hockey knowledge

Don't need Guentzel, eh? lol
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25 at 2:07 p.m.
Thread: Habs should at least consider trading Guhle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>I don't see what would lead you to believe that.

Let's discount this season as far as shooting percentage goes because it's obvious from the fall-off in Caufield's that he hasn't made a complete recovery from his surgery yet. His historical shooting/scoring rate is 14.1%. Boldy's is 12.6%. Assuming each player takes 330 shots next season, that's five goals in Caufield's favor. Given the 50% disparity in assists in Boldy's favor and the fact that he plays with Kirill Kaprizov, I think that Caufield's goal surplus is likely to be swallowed up in the overall comparison. And it should also be noted that Boldy took almost 90 fewer shots this season than Caufield did.

Matt Boldy is one of the most underrated players in the NHL right now.</div></div>

I think your analysis falls apart with the assumption that Boldy will just start shooting an additional shot per game. Caufield has shown his willingness and capabilities to get open and shoot more often. With an improvement in shooting percentage, he's sure to surpass Boldy on goals for.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25 at 10:47 a.m.
Thread: Habs should at least consider trading Guhle
If Guhle could get someone like Boldy, then sure I'd be ok trading him. I just don't see it happening. Boldy is (or at least should be) one of MINs untouchables. Conversely, I'd say Guhle should be as close to untouchable for the Habs too... MTL has a plethora of LD sure, but Guhle is far and away MTLs best two-way player they have at that position. He's for sure their best skater (even more than Matheson), has a physical edge (where Guhle even admitted is going to be his off season focus to bulk up without losing any of his speed...), and is their most defensively reliable LD.
Comparisons are never 1 to 1, but Habs essentially have a younger version of Jacob Slavin with Guhle. Contending teams keep those players around, they don't trade them.

It's become a controversial topic among Habs fans (and it's a pretty even split), but if Habs move a Dman, it really should be Matheson... for a lot of the same reasons given here for moving Guhle.
On top of that, Matheson's value is at his highest right now, not just from his play this season, but from the fact that this offseason, the LD free agent market is very thin. Apart from maybe Skjei and Gostisbehere (I'd argue Matheson is better than both), there's really not much for offensive dman on the market. Not only that, but it also looks like there will be a new buyer on the market...Utah. and a vet LD would be exactly what they'd be looking for. Matheson probably doesn't get the same value as Guhle, but if Hughes can trade Matheson to Utah for a forward (my eyes would be on Lawson Crouse, who's 3 1/2 years younger than Matheson, and a pick/prospect added to him, I'd target Maveric Lamoureux). I'd prefer that over moving Guhle.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25 at 10:57 a.m.
Thread: Habs should at least consider trading Guhle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Andy_Dick</b></div><div>Truthfully, they'd be better off going for Marco Rossi whom has a connection to DR. He's already in the trade rumours according to Michael Russo, beat reporter of the Wild, and said it's a high chance that Marco gets moved for more scoring/size.
Marco would be a cheaper price and would fit a need in the center of the ice instead of relying on Dach's health and Beck to make the immediate jump. The Wild need scoring so one of Mesar/Farrell could easily be included with a Dvorak so this would fit the same model as the Newhook trade as the Habs get their promise and the other team Avs/Wild have the more established player Ross Colton/Dvorak</div></div>

Rossi is definitely a prime candidate to be the next Dach/Newhook trade of this offseason. But for sure another Center or two would have to move out of MTL to do it (Dvorak probably being #1 on the list, but I think there will be a better market for someone like Evans. And Habs might want to keep some Left-handed Centers around like Dvorak, with Suzuki, Dach, even Beck all being righty's, although Rossi is a lefty...)

Not sure how much Rossi would cost... I hope it's not similar to Newhook, although I'm very happy with Newhook, looking back, a late 1st and early 2nd still feels rich.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25 at 9:38 a.m.
Thread: Get rid of all the Dubas players
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Andy_Dick</b></div><div>I love it! You are triggering the hell out of these ppl that never played the game and only look at the hockey analytics that arent even standardized across the industry BUT change their model every other day or so to fit their own narrative.

Hockey analytics pioneers are not even statistics majors in most cases. They have limited specific education in the area. Some of them proficient at Math but have no idea about proper statistical methodology, conclusion, paradigms etc. Hockey is an infinitely complicated game.

<strong>Not baseball.</strong></div></div>

Yup couldn't have said it better myself!!!! Any cup winner would say that grit, heart, and physicality gets you through the playoffs. Skill gets you to the playoffs

I remember when everyone gloated about how Dubas robbed the Florida Panthers in the Denis Malgin for Mason Marchment deal. One is scoring NHL playoff goals right now and the other is playing pond hockey in a soft Swedish league. Also, I find it funny how Dubas thought it was wise to keep Kerfoot, Holl, Malgin, and Engvall around and let Hyman walk to the Oilers, what a massive mistake that was

Kerfoot: 0G 0A 0P in 0 playoff games
Holl: 0G 0A 0P in 0 playoff games
Malgin: 0G 0A 0P in 0 playoff games
Engvall: 0G 1A 1P in 2 playoff games

Hyman: 4G 1A 5P in 2 playoff games
Marchment: 1G 0A 1P in 2 playoff games
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 25 at 9:28 a.m.
Thread: Get rid of all the Dubas players
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan98</b></div><div>But he's still a Dubas guy? No?

Or is it because he has 8 hits, he now doesn't count?

Wasn't Marner the obvious pick at the time?

Wasn't JT an obvious signing at the time (like Kadri was to CGY?)

Using big players underperforming and calling them the former GM's guys isn't truthful...</div></div>

- Matthews has evolved as a player under Treliving, he actually has the stones this time to defend himself and not laugh it off like how Kyle Dubas explained it to him

- JT was not the obvious signing, it was a bone headed move by Dubas and cost us at the expense of moving Kadri who later told Dubas to "kiss his a**" when he raised that cup above his head. There is a reason why the Islanders didn't bring him back (not captain material)

- I'm taking Jake DeBrusk over Mitch Marner. One shows up in the playoffs and the other disappears (I do not care about regular season participation awards)