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CN10

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Forum: NHL SigningsSep. 25, 2019 at 1:05 p.m.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Danny12357</b></div><div>My thought would be that I don't think Aho money gets you 6 years if it took $7M to buy 3.

The way I would look at it the additional RFA year would have cost at least $9M or an increase in AAV of $500K, because the qualifying offer assures Tkachuk of that. If they wanted to buy UFA years, I don't see how they could be cheaper than $750K per season, but probably cost upwards of about $1M. All that considered I don't see how Tkachuk would have taken anythign that didn't start somewhere around $9M-$9.5M for a 6 year deal if it took $7M to get it done on a 3 year term.</div></div>

If you look into my linked ACGM post, I do have the fourth RFA year at $9M (Skinner) and the first UFA year at $10.5M (Kane) plus 3 RFA years at $7.5M (which is more than he's currently getting). This gets me to the 5 year $8.4M. For a 6th year assume another $10.5M (Kane) which brings it to $8.75M AAV. Therefore, I don't think Tkachuk would get over $9M AAV on a six year deal from Treliving.

Now that his current contract is essentially equivalent to a 4 x $7.5M (assuming he just signs his $9M QO to go UFA), and applying the same $10.5M - $11.5M (Kane - Panarin) to UFA years, the 5 year AAV should be $8.1M - $8.3M and the 6 year AAV would be $8.5 - $$8.833M. These are very player friendly as I don't think Tkachuk is as good as Kane &amp; Panarin, which is why I thought they may be able to drive down the AAV a bit to the neighborhood of 6 x $8.333M, which they could have fit by moving Czarnik.

Regardless, I'm happy they have him to a good value in their Johnny + Gio window, and in 3 years time they have a decent amount of flexibility to choose a direction to go in and hopefully keep the group together if they've had some team success.
Forum: NHL SigningsSep. 25, 2019 at 11:21 a.m.