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GMtommyhawk
Interim Avian GM
Member Since
Jul. 29, 2021
Favourite Team
Chicago Blackhawks
Forum Posts
77
Posts per Day
0.1
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 20, 2023 at 4:19 p.m.
Thread:
Mercy Buckets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMtommyhawk</b></div><div>Yeah that definitely makes sense, I’d rather have Guttman getting bigger minutes as a 2C over resigning Domi. Plus it’s probably a lot more entertaining to have Reichel and Bedard feeding passes to each other.
I don’t think we have to worry about them improving their standings that much though. I mean the Oilers finished 29th in the season after they drafted McDavid. That team had Hall, Draisatl, Eberle, and RNH to go along with him.</div></div>
True. But if we were to add Killorn AND Domi or players of their caliber, and rolling 3 fairly skilled lines under Richardson, they could probably do a lot better than most people would think. I'm not worried about making the playoffs. But, I am worried about slipping out of the top 5, or, god forbid, the top 10 next year. haha. There are still a lot of great players next year too. But the caliber and depth is looking to be significantly lower at every tier.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 20, 2023 at 7:33 a.m.
Thread:
Mercy Buckets
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMtommyhawk</b></div><div>I like these moves a lot, although I would like to keep Kurashev and resign Domi. That Reichel-Domi-Kurashev line only got three games together last season, but they looked pretty good at generating offense. Although if the Hawks can get a second pick in the top ten and get their hands on Ryan Leonard that’s a slam dunk.</div></div>
Yeah. I've thought about that a lot too. But, with Bedard likely coming straight into the NHL and likely being utilized as a center, I'd rather not push Guttman (as well as Raddysh and Johnson) down the lineup. Because if you bring back Domi and want to roll that line, what do you end up with? A top 9 like this, maybe...
Someone - Bedard - Someone
Reichel - Domi - Kurashev
Johnson - Guttman - Raddysh
Idk... I guess KD will just give Richardson the bodies and let the coaching staff figure all of that out, anyway. But, I find it hard to strike that balance between creating competition to make the roster and being loose and not blocking opportunities for young players and prospects. I also worry that this would be too good of a lineup for the rebuild, thus lowering the quality of our draft capital.
Do you then start Bedard on the 3rd line and shelter him a bit while he acclimates? I don't know if that is possible. Like most people, I think he is going to step right in and be a threat and start the season on the top line.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 17, 2023 at 8:33 p.m.
Thread:
Crazy idea
That's not close for Keller. I'm thinking it's at least two 1st's and at least one high end prospect (Reichel, Nazar or Kirchinski type prospects) and then maybe a guy like TRad to fill the lineup hole. Acquiring him is going to "hurt" whatever team that is.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 15, 2023 at 11:02 p.m.
Thread:
2024 unprotected first plus for Michkov
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Kyle_Davidson</b></div><div>If Chicago were to finish last next season they would have a 25% chance to draft celibrini. I’ll trade the lottery combos + sweeteners for a player who would go first overall in most draft classes if not for geopolitical considerations.</div></div>
I get the premise and I'm a big fan of Michkov, but that's a really potentially steep price to pay for a guy you're not getting for 3 years. We don't know how good the 2024 class really is yet, they still have another season to play.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 15, 2023 at 11:06 p.m.
Thread:
2024 unprotected first plus for Michkov
Chicago is not in position to do that. Even with Bedard, this team is still 3-4 years away from contending. Can’t give up picks this early in the rebuild.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 15, 2023 at 8:39 p.m.
Thread:
Supporting Bedard
I got as far as 7 years for Caleb Jones and skipped the rest. I'm sure the rest of this is similarly unrealistic.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 14, 2023 at 11:32 a.m.
Thread:
Top 5 next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tonyhzs</b></div><div>Until the ownership changes, the organization doesn't deserve fans. If this happened in my Red Wings organization, I'd probably be a a Hawks, Leafs, or Jackets fan.
I will not "be better." Reminding people of what happened IS being better. The league swept this under the rug so fast it is sick. Don't forget, the Hawks knew of Aldrich's despicable acts, and wrote him a letter of recommendation.
The Hawks should have been punished far worse. If th LA Clippers owner can be forced to sell the team for saying racist things, the Hawks ownership should have been forced to sell for supporting a rapist.</div></div>
The way the league handled it can be criticized for sure, but that’s not what you are doing. You are bringing up someone else’s trauma when it is convenient for a quick rise from a group of people who are equally disgusted with what happened. The people who held the most responsibility have been punished, the franchise was able to reach settlements with the affected parties and while that does not excuse the actions that took place there should eventually come a point when healing can start to take place. Don’t misunderstand what I say, healing doesn’t involve the mindless forgetting of what caused harm, but it also doesn’t include tactlessness in reexamining the wound.
You can consider what you would do if it had been the redwings involved in this scandal, but it’s a pointless exercise because it wasn’t them. Instead I challenge you to look beyond the names and places and see that this atrocity was allowed to take place due to an overarching toxic hockey culture.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 14, 2023 at 11:17 a.m.
Thread:
Trade for No 8
"value" is probably fine if you're going off of the athletic's pick value chart or whatever, but it makes zero sense for the caps to trade back from their highest pick in a decade
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 14, 2023 at 10:19 a.m.
Thread:
Top 5 next year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tonyhzs</b></div><div>Why didn't you bring back Toews and Kane to cover up more sexual misconduct?</div></div>
It’s Bedard’s team now, also Kyle Beach’s trauma is not so cheap as to be used to Jab fans of the team. We did nothing wrong, and everyone involved with that situation has either been fired or moved on.
Understand that and be better.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 13, 2023 at 11:50 p.m.
Thread:
Trade for No 8
This is a bad trade for the caps. That is a significant drop in the draft. The quality of player you can draft at 8 is so much higher than 19. No reason to do this trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 13, 2023 at 11:06 p.m.
Thread:
Trade for No 8
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hawksguy81</b></div><div>When I saw your title, i thought this was a trade for Ovi!
Based on the pick value chart I have. 8 for 19, 35 and 55 is pretty much a wash. Fair value. So Hawks take Mantha for free. I'm with exo2769. #8 would be great, but Hawks shouldn't make this deal.</div></div>
Pick value charts don’t work for Top 10 Picks because of how often these picks are traded. Here’s a hint, they’re basically never traded. No matter what the pick value calculator tells you, use historical context, the picks are simply not available and the calculator has practically no historical context to base its algorithm on, thus the algorithm fails miserably.
The Caps certainly don’t do this trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 13, 2023 at 10:04 p.m.
Thread:
Trade for No 8
Last year #11 went for #27, #34, #45.
#8 for #19, #35, #55.
I know #11 to #8 is lower down the draft...so I get the increased cost, but #27 - #19 is large too. AND Mantha??? As a Hawks fan, I'd pass.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 13, 2023 at 10:19 p.m.
Thread:
Trade for No 8
When I saw your title, i thought this was a trade for Ovi!
Based on the pick value chart I have. 8 for 19, 35 and 55 is pretty much a wash. Fair value. So Hawks take Mantha for free. I'm with <a href="/users/exo2769" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@exo2769</a>. #8 would be great, but Hawks shouldn't make this deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 13, 2023 at 1:22 p.m.
Thread:
Building Around Bedard Look to the Future
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheRevanchist17</b></div><div>You're dilusional for 2 reasons
1. You actually think VAN would be stupid enough to make such a terrible trade
2. You believe Reinbacher will still be available at 11
If VAN waits til July 1 Myers will be easy to move since he's only owed $1M in salary, Boeser is a positive asset and no way VAN gives up the 11th overall pick for cap relief. Replace Myers with OEL and VAN might talk to you.</div></div>
1. It's spelled "delusional".
2. Calling Boeser a positive asset at that cap hit is a stretch. Re: Myers, there aren't a lot of teams eager to add $5M to their cap this summer, period, regardless of actual cash owed.
3. I would be shocked if Reinbacher was there at 11, which is why I think Ryan Leonard is the more likely pick.
4. Trading OEL wouldn't be a swap of firsts, it would be you giving up your 1st++.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 10, 2023 at 1:49 p.m.
Thread:
bedsy bring the hawks to cup
We should start a hawks ACGM bingo game.
Brought back Toews, check
Brought back Kane, check
Traded for Debrincat, check
Traded out multiple 1st round picks, check
Spent back up the the cap, check
Misguided belief that this is a playoff team, check
Aaaaaaand Bingo!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 10, 2023 at 1:43 p.m.
Thread:
Toe-drag release Bedsy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>J_w64</b></div><div>I appreciate the feedback. I was unsure on Granlund because that contract isn't great but he's still a middle six nhl forward and it would give bedard at least a reliable vet to have. Am I the only one who's aware of how bad Matt Murray honks???</div></div>
Oh, Murray stinks. He and Mrazek would be co-tank commanders. But the reality is it doesn't take anything close to a 1st to dump a 1 year $4.7m cap hit. If it's Murray and the Boston 1st, Leafs are getting back a late 2nd, early 3rd in return. From Hawks, mist likely Rangers '23 2nd (#56) or Hawks '23 3rd (#69).
My feeling is Hawks will be more aggressive than last season in free agency to support Bedard. Like I said, love the Domi idea. I'd like to see Hawks make a run at Bunting as well. Like his game and he has that edge to stick up for Bedard when necessary
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 10, 2023 at 1:40 p.m.
Thread:
bedsy bring the hawks to cup
Not sure of any cup team that has Jarred Tinordi on their top pair :tearsofjoy
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 10, 2023 at 1:40 p.m.
Thread:
Toe-drag release Bedsy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMtommyhawk</b></div><div>Hawks can probably get a second just by taking Bailey, no need for Raddysh to be included.
Same goes for the Granlund trade, no reason for Guttman to be in there. They also can get more if they’re taking him, they got a second and a fourth for Zaitsev.</div></div>
Thanks for the feedback, while I agree there's no reason for Guttman or TRad to be included from a Hawks perspective, both of the teams could use those pieces, hence the draft pick compensation.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 10, 2023 at 1:30 p.m.
Thread:
Toe-drag release Bedsy
Like the Domi signing a lot. No way Leafs make that deal. Murray has more value than that. Hawks don't make the other two trades. Bailey takes a 2nd to move to the Hawks. And Hawks hang on to TRad. TRad going back to Isles costs a 1st plus. I doubt the Hawks would take Granlund for a single 2nd. Probably takes more. And Hawks are high on Guttman. They love his game. Guttman would be the 2C over Granlund even if Hawks did acquire Granny.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 1:36 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hawksguy81</b></div><div>You are spot on with your assessment that Hawks value Murphy as a mentor for their young D and as a team leader in the room. Only way they move him is if they get blown away by a trade offer in my opinion.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMtommyhawk</b></div><div>Trading Murphy is probably best for the Hawks. Davidson has talked about letting the young guys grow into leadership roles, so I could see Murphy being traded to clear the deck for someone like Vlasic or Korchinski to take the reigns. The Hawks also need to give more NHL ice time to their defensive prospects to see who actually has NHL regular potential. </div></div>
I've read that Murphy himself has embraced that role and isn't downtrodden by the prospect of a long rebuild and losing more than winning but I haven't read or heard if the Hawks plan includes him. Jones also seems OK with staying in Chicago through the rebuild.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMtommyhawk</b></div><div>Although I would like the Hawks to try and package Murphy with either Tampa’s 1st or a pair of their seconds to get Buffalo’s 1st this year (assuming it doesn’t move too high up in the lottery).</div></div>
If the Sabres were to relinquish their 1st, I think you're right in presuming that they'd either want the TBL 1st or the Hawks' 2nd....
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jeep71589</b></div><div>Yeah i think Murph would waive to Buf. A up and coming young team in the US. He has a 10 team no trade list and he is from Ohio. Yeah a 2nd and prospect I think may get it done. I know buffalo could use a Murphy.</div></div>
One would think so even though he seems tied to Chicago even more after getting married this summer to a Chicago-born woman - but, if the Hawks come to him and want to deal him, Murphy's fondness of living and playing in Chicago would be moot. Buffalo's situation - not just their trajectory towards a likely playoff team next season and Granato connection but chance to play with Dahlin or Power as a partner - would seem to be the next best thing for him.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Buffalo accepts and add Kisakov</div></div>
Even if Rosen, Biro, Weissbach or Cederqvist were necessary, that'd be fine. Savoie and Kulich are the non-starters at the moment.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 2:19 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rktkt66</b></div><div>Despite the fans' disdain for Olofsson, he's still been a reliable 20-goal scorer each season and it's been speculated by many that he should be worth at least a 2nd round pick to teams eager to add offense and/or PP help. The Sabres aren't trying for a cap dump so your theory that the Hawks taking Olofsson back to warrant the 1st is off - but, like GMTommy suggested, the Sabres might give up a better draft position to Chicago (i.e. giving up Buffalo's 1st for TBL's 1st or pair of CHI's 2nds).</div></div>
Fair enough. I'd assume the hawks would think about it for a pair of seconds if they really like a player in buf's 1st round. Just shooting things around. I imagine the hawks would either like to move up the TB pick at either 19-20th or at least add another 1st for this year even if it was at the end of the 1st.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 1:41 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jeep71589</b></div><div>Buffalo guys if your 1st round pick stayed where it was, would you include it in a Murphy trade if the hawks also took back Olofsson? Maybe the hawks add a pick. Just a thought. Seems like they would like to move on from him.</div></div>
Despite the fans' disdain for Olofsson, he's still been a reliable 20-goal scorer each season and it's been speculated by many that he should be worth at least a 2nd round pick to teams eager to add offense and/or PP help. The Sabres aren't trying for a cap dump so your theory that the Hawks taking Olofsson back to warrant the 1st is off - but, like GMTommy suggested, the Sabres might give up a better draft position to Chicago (i.e. giving up Buffalo's 1st for TBL's 1st or pair of CHI's 2nds).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 12:45 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
My thought on Murphy and i like him, is they resigned Tinordi to be a mentor. The TJ trade is because when healthy he has produced at a very solid level, the avs need center depth and he has stanley cup pedigree i am TB would want him back if they could afford him. I was being moderate on returns because everyone on here thinks to dump players its 1st and 2nd round picks and if it is for this draft which is pretty deep, teams aren't going to be willing to just give those picks away. My thought on some of these cap dumps is they are only 1 year, we can provide some of these guys with top line minutes hope they can produce to flip at the deadline. All need good fun and great discussions from everyone.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 12:31 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rktkt66</b></div><div>From a Buffalo POV, that deal is an emphatic 'yes' and I imagine the Sabres would even add a medium prospect or depth player - but the questions are: 1) do the Hawks want to trade Murphy rather than keep him as mentor for their youth?; and, to a lesser degree, 2) does Murphy have Buffalo on his M-NTC list? If so, if the Hawks came to him with the intent to move him, I'd assume that his history with Granato would favor Murphy agreeing to a Buffalo trade.</div></div>
You are spot on with your assessment that Hawks value Murphy as a mentor for their young D and as a team leader in the room. Only way they move him is if they get blown away by a trade offer in my opinion. I think Murphy wouldn't hesitate to waive for Buffalo. Sabres are a team on the cusp of being a perennial playoff team. That's very appealing!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 5, 2023 at 12:25 p.m.
Thread:
During Draft day amp after
Not a bad effort! Kings won't want Blackwell - they have more forwards than they can play already. And Hawks keep that 4th. Takes Turcotte at a minimum to move Peterson. Murphy doesn't get moved for less than two 2nd's or a 1st. Not sure the Hawks take Mantha for that 3rd. They definitely don't send Dickinson back to Caps. Don't see why the Av's make that deal and not sure they have cap space for Johnson anyway. The trades all seem feasible as possibilities - just not built in a way that Hawks would make them as proposed in my opinion.
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