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Hockeyfan1234

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Jun. 25, 2022
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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 5 at 6:56 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 3 at 3:13 a.m.
Thread: Keegs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Affectionate_Side_64</b></div><div>Lmao yeah a highly touted defensive prospect who suffered through injuries and played his first real stretch of games this year posting 14 points in 25 games isn't worth 1.1 mil for 2 years haha... maybe 50% retained I'd give him a 7th lmao

Anybody who would actually sit back and think about whether they'd want a 7th, or a 6th, or even a 3rd more than a guy who performed the way Timmins just did at his contract, to decide the pick is more valuable, doesn't have a grasp on the values at play at all. It's not cool to be ignorant dude and it's cringy to watch someone start mocking others as if they truly know more.

Maybe start trying to get a grasp on reasonable trade values based on precedent and return with a thoughtful response.</div></div>

Timmons hasn’t been good. Who cares if he’s had a stretch of less than 1/3 of a season where he played on a stacked offensive leafs team and got 14 points (almost all assists) in 25 games. He got 7 points in the previous 41 games, so until he proves himself on an actual consistent basis, a 3rd, a 6th, and a 7th are absolutely more valuable to a cap strapped team than a 1.1 million 6th/7th D. Especially a team that has 7 nhl D that are just as good, if not better
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 2 at 12:29 a.m.
Thread: Some other ideas I have explored recently
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xspyrit</b></div><div>oooook, so I see that I'll have to walk you through it (italics is what I wrote)

- <em>Brannstrom is younger</em> : FACT (23 vs 24)

- <em>has a better PPG</em> : I meant to wrote "the last 3 years" to compare the same ages (FACT : 0.29 vs 0.27)

- <em>better defensive metrics</em> : I didn't realize I had to be extremely precise so here you go. I was talking on-ice last season at ES of course (FACT : CA/60, FA/60, SA/60, xGA/60)

- <em>more untapped potential</em> : this one is more of an opinion but was pretty standard among the hockey community. Brannstrom has higher pedigree, used to be ranked very high as a prospect

I don't know where you get your "<em>whole lot of inaccurate lol</em>" from. How could I know that I had to walk you through every little thing?


What I find funny is you calling for inaccuracy while the facts you brought are all around pts (I mean, I'm pretty informed in advanced stats so it made me chuckle a little) from last season and this :

Brannstrom mainly played with a declined Nick Holden who completely fell off a cliff last season, so much that he is without a contract now. POJ played with Ruhwedel, Petry, Rutta and Letang. Much better players than Holden.</div></div>

Again Brannstrom is younger by like 60 days. It’s still weak and grasping at straws. If you really had a legit argument you wouldn’t need to use age for players that are literally 2 months apart in age lol.

Ppg over the last 3 years. 1. Yes you should explain that as how would anyone assume that’s what you’re talking about since POJ has only played 1 full season (last year). 2. Again cherry picking stats is a weak argument. Idc and no GM is going to take what a player did 3 years ago over what they did last year. Hockey is a what have you done for me lately business. That’s just a fact and POJ had a better year than Brannstrom last year.

Wait you took offensive stats over the last 3 years but only took certain defensive stats over last year at ES. Talk about proving you are cherry picking stats. Have you ever heard of “Lies, damned lies, and statistics”? If not you should look it up.

It’s funny to me how you named half of the pens d that POJ played at least a few minutes with yet refused to acknowledge that Brannstrom also played with Chabot, Zub, Zaitsev also.
By the way, POJ’s most common parter was Ruhwedel, who is a 7th dman. His next most common partner was Petry who fell off a cliff and had a bad season. His 3rd most common partner was Rutta who was injured and just looked like a 6/7 d last year. He also played time with Dumo who was extreme hot garbage, Friedman who spent the majority of time in the AHL, Smith who also spent most of the time in the AHL, Kulikov who was injured most of the time he was here and was a cap dump.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 31 at 7:03 p.m.
Thread: Some other ideas I have explored recently
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xspyrit</b></div><div>Have you seen him play in the AHL? He definitely has a good offensive skillset but he won't ever get a good opportunity in Ottawa with all the D-men who want to claim PP time already (Chabot, Chychrun, Sanderson, Brannstrom, Kleven, even Zub)

His hockey IQ is what holds him back as his defense won't be good enough to be a 2nd pairing D-man but as a 3rd pairing OFD, somewhat sheltered and with PP time, he could be valuable


Sorry but no. Brannstrom is younger, has a better PPG, better defensive metrics, more untapped potential

The only reason it would be interesting for Ottawa is the pick and that it could be extra motivation for the 2 Josephs. OP intention with Pitlick is either to send him to the AHL or send Kelly instead.</div></div>

This is just a whole lot of inaccurate lol.
POJ had 21 points including 5 goals last year in 75 games vs Brannstrom who had 18 points including 2 goals in 74 games.
POJ is better on the PP, better finishing, better G/60, better A1/60, played vs better competition while playing with worse a worse partner. And doesn’t take as many bad penalties. POJ P/60 last year was 1.1 to Brannstrom’s .9. As for the age difference, they are like 60 days apart lol. That’s just a weak excuse grasping for straws
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 28 at 3:29 p.m.
Thread: Next off-season assuming this season goes south
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>You really have to question who wins a competition between Buchnevich and Rust? Playing 1st line doesn’t necessarily matter. Playing top 6 and getting minutes does. Meier is younger yes, but he also probably commanded 500k more AAV to sign because of that. Meier was an RFA correct, but he also had a 10m qualifying offer attached to that which essentially negates the QO unless things go so south you’re tanking the next season. The general outcome is you’re planning on extending both players to term.

The penguins have their core signed for the most part. Crosby shouldn’t increase in AAV on his next contract if he doesn’t retire, same with Malkin. Guentzel will but him and Buchnevich are completely different players.

They most likely can fit both players in long term. It negates the need to go through an extended period of being awful while having Guentzel signed if they do extend him. Buchnevich also plays all 3 forward positions. He probably shouldn’t be counted on as a center but he has extensive time on both wings.

The comparison to Meier is a top line winger. Which Buchnevich has been since he came to STL. I don’t see a large discrepancy in age given they both have at least 5+ good years in them. Meier isn’t exactly brand new to the league. You know what you’re getting with him as you do with Buchnevich</div></div>

Well Rust plays so well with Crosby and Malkin. While he would also play well as a 3rd liner, he’d be a very expensive one. Meier having a 10 million QO didn’t disqualify him as an RFA or getting QO’d. The devils had the cap to do that. That’s the point. Next season the pens only have 18 million in cap space if the cap goes up the projected 4 million. Almost half of that should go to Guentzel. Now add to the fact that following year when Buch, Reilly Smith, Crosby, MP are all free agents on top of now needing another 3C and signing/re-signing some other lesser players like Ty Smith, DOC, Nylander, etc. The 4 big players I mentioned for the following year should take up about half of the expected cap room that year and gives the pens only 12 players signed with roughly 20 million in cap space. It’s just not really feasible unless they know for a fact Crosby will take a huge discount.